TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,144

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,144 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5331…69d8backed No32c11,063$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes66c5,580$3,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,914.3328543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No31c5,256$1,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,635.1213843.5%60 W · 78 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed Yes69c5,032$3,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,540.333447.1%16 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+144.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e2c…b7f8backed No31c2,441$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.231540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes68c2,387$1,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.813129%9 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick19cpaid-27%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes68c2,074$1,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.7911743.6%51 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked No35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7009343%40 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.5712036.7%44 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccba…11f0backed Yes72c1,284$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.33540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick69cpaid-43.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5672…d3dabacked Yes70c1,141$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.77560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5016…58e4backed No30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x332a…33babacked Yes70c999.99$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Yes69c999.84$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.451241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No30c891.93$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.5814953%79 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed No31c723.13$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.969034.4%31 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a5f…dc31backed Yes71c681.65$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.681553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked Yes72c610.72$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.5310137.6%38 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed No13c575.94$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.085424.1%13 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf60a…b45ebacked No31c550$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.51241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ff…e5a2backed Yes71c514.37$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.17450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Yes69c500$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1574628.3%13 W · 33 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-51.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No10c425.55$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.641225%3 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b00…d78bbacked Yes71c406$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.92633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-54.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f6…f699backed No8c400$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29be…7675backed Yes70c379.15$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.82339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-36.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No30c364.55$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.4811843.2%51 W · 67 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No20c361.77$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.816327%44 W · 119 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed No30c357$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.129350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed No30c330$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9914332.2%46 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf45…c508backed No30c309.92$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.983333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-33.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ac…f23dbacked No8c277.77$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.222245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No29c237.49$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8729138.1%111 W · 180 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ea…706cbacked No31c225.81$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57de…20cbbacked Yes71c211.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.27955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-22.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No9c205.55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9121217%36 W · 176 L-37.2wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-69.3%equal weight33-0.16 edge/pick
0xa3fa…af3abacked Yes70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605437%20 W · 34 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked No31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed No6c200$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117924.1%19 W · 60 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe50…6eb6backed Yes70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602470.8%17 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+29.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd210…92dfbacked No31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+82.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x747c…443bbacked Yes70c185$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf5c…3912backed No19c182.14$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.391764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed No9c176$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.312817.9%5 W · 23 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick10cpaid+156.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3327…d03bbacked Yes80c161.93$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.56450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-33.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca94…838fbacked Yes69c160.87$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.87666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5f4…d4b0backed Yes71c157$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8eb…3df0backed Yes71c154.38$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.77666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac0e…c0bfbacked Yes69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.93944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3c5…f095backed Yes71c141.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.251392.3%12 W · 1 L+4.5wins+0.34per pick58cpaid+64.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8e56…3a1ebacked Yes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.85366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No10c140.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2125735%90 W · 167 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd00d…697dbacked No31c133.91$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.530%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked No17c131.33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.853423.5%8 W · 26 L-5.1wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-49.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes68c125$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405630.4%17 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53f4…0e38backed No20c121.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.71728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No12c114.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.28175.9%1 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick16cpaid-59.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked No10c102$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-59.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x110d…cd01backed No31c100.65$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.25244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9901…6adbbacked No30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303447.1%16 W · 18 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick34cpaid+36.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x39a5…87f2backed Yes71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed No31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3110237.3%38 W · 64 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce1f…0ae5backed Yes68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305935.6%21 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb251…6f5bbacked No30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecba…bfdebacked Yes69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde30…4943backed Yes69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7894…c230backed No30c99.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-41.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865d…16bdbacked No36c99.95$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.98633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes72c99.22$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.63026.7%8 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a3d…2068backed No30c93.73$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.123132.3%10 W · 21 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-32.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb9ac…e1f7backed No32c92.87$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked No12c85.23$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.279966.7%66 W · 33 L+13.5wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x71f6…e115backed No31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255050%25 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09b6…d33ebacked Yes70c80$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.851650%8 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e08…e99bbacked Yes68c72.33$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.23565.7%23 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Yes70c70$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d16…9f6cbacked Yes70c70$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7533…285ebacked No31c61.56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.842055%11 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee1…da96backed No31c57.05$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4745…5916backed No34c51$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.34742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-41.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2968…20c8backed Yes71c50.7$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-43.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a90…2ff9backed No42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217635.5%27 W · 49 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8ad…411abacked No31c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.330%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9bb…38f6backed Yes71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x555a…931abacked Yes70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+38.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9238…b73ebacked Yes70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1515538.1%59 W · 96 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x024b…9c00backed No31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x093b…bcc6backed Yes71c49.3$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7d1…a021backed Yes71c49.15$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e94…41b6backed Yes71c47.5$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.99475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x61af…fd89backed No29c44.38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.87633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-22.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked No30c44.11$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.284427.3%12 W · 32 L-7.3wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5259…88c6backed Yes71c42.42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6317…9c45backed Yes71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.25875%6 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x263c…04cdbacked Yes71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2514655.5%81 W · 65 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed No28c39$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62d1…0220backed No31c38.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+43%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.