Champions League · resolved market
Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x409c5a221106632fac81309f7fc554b5feab895e6943a1dba9003e57c6108326
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,144 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5331…69d8backed No | 32c | 11,063$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 66c | 5,580$3,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.33 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 31c | 5,256$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,635.12 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed Yes | 69c | 5,032$3,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.33 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +144.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…b7f8backed No | 31c | 2,441$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.23 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 68c | 2,387$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.81 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -27%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 68c | 2,074$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked No | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccba…11f0backed Yes | 72c | 1,284$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…d3dabacked Yes | 70c | 1,141$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…58e4backed No | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…33babacked Yes | 70c | 999.99$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Yes | 69c | 999.84$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.45 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 30c | 891.93$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.58 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed No | 31c | 723.13$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.96 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5f…dc31backed Yes | 71c | 681.65$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.68 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 72c | 610.72$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.53 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 13c | 575.94$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.08 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf60a…b45ebacked No | 31c | 550$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ff…e5a2backed Yes | 71c | 514.37$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 69c | 500$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 10c | 425.55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b00…d78bbacked Yes | 71c | 406$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29be…7675backed Yes | 70c | 379.15$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.8 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 30c | 364.55$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.48 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 20c | 361.77$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 163 | 27%44 W · 119 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed No | 30c | 357$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 30c | 330$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf45…c508backed No | 30c | 309.92$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.98 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked No | 8c | 277.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 29c | 237.49$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…706cbacked No | 31c | 225.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57de…20cbbacked Yes | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 9c | 205.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 212 | 17%36 W · 176 L | -37.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…af3abacked Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 79 | 24.1%19 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe50…6eb6backed Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd210…92dfbacked No | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Yes | 70c | 185$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5c…3912backed No | 19c | 182.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 9c | 176$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | +156.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3327…d03bbacked Yes | 80c | 161.93$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca94…838fbacked Yes | 69c | 160.87$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.87 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f4…d4b0backed Yes | 71c | 157$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8eb…3df0backed Yes | 71c | 154.38$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0e…c0bfbacked Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed Yes | 71c | 141.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +4.5wins | +0.34per pick | 58cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8e56…3a1ebacked Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 10c | 140.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd00d…697dbacked No | 31c | 133.91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked No | 17c | 131.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 68c | 125$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53f4…0e38backed No | 20c | 121.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 12c | 114.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 10c | 102$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed No | 31c | 100.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…0ae5backed Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…6f5bbacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…bfdebacked Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…4943backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7894…c230backed No | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…16bdbacked No | 36c | 99.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes | 72c | 99.22$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…2068backed No | 30c | 93.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ac…e1f7backed No | 32c | 92.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 12c | 85.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 99 | 66.7%66 W · 33 L | +13.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed No | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…d33ebacked Yes | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…e99bbacked Yes | 68c | 72.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Yes | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…9f6cbacked Yes | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7533…285ebacked No | 31c | 61.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…da96backed No | 31c | 57.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 34c | 51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2968…20c8backed Yes | 71c | 50.7$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ad…411abacked No | 31c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9bb…38f6backed Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555a…931abacked Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 155 | 38.1%59 W · 96 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x024b…9c00backed No | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…bcc6backed Yes | 71c | 49.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d1…a021backed Yes | 71c | 49.15$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…41b6backed Yes | 71c | 47.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…fd89backed No | 29c | 44.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked No | 30c | 44.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -7.3wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5259…88c6backed Yes | 71c | 42.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6317…9c45backed Yes | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…04cdbacked Yes | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed No | 28c | 39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d1…0220backed No | 31c | 38.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +43%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?this page
- Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?Yes won
- Will Atalanta reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?No won
- Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?Yes won
- Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?Yes won
- Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?Yes won
- Will Bodø/Glimt reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?No won
- Will Chelsea reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?No won
- Will Galatasaray reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?No won
- Will Leverkusen reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?No won
- Will Manchester City reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?No won
- Will Newcastle reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?Yes won
- Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?Yes won
- Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?Yes won
- Will Tottenham Hotspur reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.