TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6581…f4dd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst La Liga at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT3053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Plovdiv 2: Daniel Galan vs Georgi Georgievbacked Georgi Georgiev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.71
Croatia Open: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Federico Agustin Gomez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$393.78
Croatia Open: Marko Topo vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Marko Topo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$263.23
Croatia Open: Alex Molcan vs Valentin Royerbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.37
Croatia Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$4,059Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$1,726.55
Croatia Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Henrique Rochabacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+53.5%+$49.08
Croatia Open, Qualification: Juan Carlos Prado vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdobacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,951Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,950.75
Croatia Open, Qualification: Lukas Neumayer vs Marko Topobacked Marko Topo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+58.4%+$63.15
Croatia Open, Qualification: Andrea Guerrieri vs Federico Agustin Gomezbacked Federico Agustin Gomez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,013Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$1,042.3
Croatia Open, Qualification: Raul Brancaccio vs Federico Agustin Gomezbacked Federico Agustin Gomez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$566Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$306.09
Plovdiv: Petr Nesterov vs Tommaso Compagnuccibacked Petr Nesterov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+88.4%+$344.9
Plovdiv: Sandro Kopp vs Dali Blanchbacked Sandro Kopp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+76.1%+$117.01
Plovdiv: Daniel Michalski vs Inaki Montesbacked Daniel Michalski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.29
Plovdiv: Andres Santamarta vs Ognjen Milicbacked Andres Santamarta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$64.41
Halle Open: Taylor Fritz vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,958Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$605.32
Halle Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$176.36
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+95.1%+$152.84
Halle Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,744Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+141%+$3,867.6
Halle Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,289Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+78.1%+$1,006.11
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritzbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Halle Open: Raphael Collignon vs Mattia Belluccibacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$872Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$320.03
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Ethan Quinnbacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$469.04
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$34.09
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritzbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.22
Halle Open: Karen Khachanov vs Ethan Quinnbacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+73.8%+$69.6
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$35.47
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.53
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Will Bodø/Glimt reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick11cpaid+79.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked McNeese State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.85
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Siena Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.08
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+799.2%+$159.23
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthersbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.99
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.94
All 5 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+71.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+111.6%+$122.72
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.