Tennis · resolved market
Croatia Open, Qualification: Lukas Neumayer vs Marko Topo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf64b60695c2b5b53582e7dfc669a0639c6b7663efc540559a16dcc5f00cd8038
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marko Topoof Lukas Neumayer, Marko Topo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lukas Neumayer | 31c | 14,046$4,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,424.32 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Marko Topo | 62c | 13,769$8,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,274.87 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Marko Topo | 44c | 7,749$3,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,340.3 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Marko Topo | 64c | 3,570$2,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.17 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0390…da52backed Lukas Neumayer | 54c | 3,565$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.02 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Marko Topo | 46c | 2,616$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.32 | 1,632 | 52.7%860 W · 772 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Marko Topo | 61c | 2,063$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.59 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Lukas Neumayer | 62c | 1,826$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.72 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…1af5backed Marko Topo | 59c | 1,693$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.43 | 226 | 47.8%108 W · 118 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Lukas Neumayer | 61c | 1,569$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.72 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Lukas Neumayer | 24c | 1,472$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 599 | 65.8%394 W · 205 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Lukas Neumayer | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Marko Topo | 64c | 1,254$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.52 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Marko Topo | 70c | 1,022$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.5 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…920bbacked Lukas Neumayer | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -7.1wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -26%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Lukas Neumayer | 25c | 918.85$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.01 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Marko Topo | 28c | 907.4$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.61 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Lukas Neumayer | 25c | 891$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.29 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Lukas Neumayer | 58c | 886.21$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514 | 1,091 | 60.2%657 W · 434 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Lukas Neumayer | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,123 | 50.3%565 W · 558 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Lukas Neumayer | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.95 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lukas Neumayer | 54c | 780.97$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.63 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Marko Topo | 30c | 769.59$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.82 | 330 | 43.9%145 W · 185 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Lukas Neumayer | 29c | 716.55$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.6 | 1,673 | 53%887 W · 786 L | +45.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lukas Neumayer | 53c | 685.62$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.72 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Lukas Neumayer | 71c | 634.01$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 625 | 57.6%360 W · 265 L | -18.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…c46ebacked Lukas Neumayer | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 282 | 21.6%61 W · 221 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd169…8ff6backed Lukas Neumayer | 43c | 549.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.5 | 284 | 37.3%106 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8100…1d33backed Lukas Neumayer | 38c | 526.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 117 | 65%76 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Marko Topo | 64c | 493.6$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.92 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Marko Topo | 63c | 488.41$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.75 | 782 | 48.3%378 W · 404 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…2970backed Marko Topo | 55c | 470.3$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.9 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Lukas Neumayer | 61c | 464.08$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.6 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Marko Topo | 22c | 454.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.51 | 1,131 | 45.4%514 W · 617 L | -34.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…1283backed Marko Topo | 27c | 453.7$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Lukas Neumayer | 53c | 400$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.51 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Lukas Neumayer | 24c | 395.6$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.94 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Marko Topo | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Marko Topo | 37c | 369.68$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.48 | 248 | 56.9%141 W · 107 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Lukas Neumayer | 51c | 330.14$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.03 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Lukas Neumayer | 35c | 329.29$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1,053 | 40.9%431 W · 622 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Lukas Neumayer | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…7047backed Lukas Neumayer | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 256 | 33.6%86 W · 170 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Marko Topo | 59c | 320.36$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.13 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lukas Neumayer | 54c | 309$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.68 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed Marko Topo | 67c | 306.34$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.91 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Lukas Neumayer | 71c | 300$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Marko Topo | 37c | 274.01$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.21 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Lukas Neumayer | 24c | 273.39$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 499 | 43.1%215 W · 284 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Lukas Neumayer | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 929 | 53.5%497 W · 432 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Marko Topo | 46c | 250.74$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.65 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Marko Topo | 26c | 240$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.6 | 1,580 | 42.3%668 W · 912 L | +18.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Lukas Neumayer | 27c | 233.03$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.53 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Marko Topo | 72c | 225$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 287 | 53%152 W · 135 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb2…1bfcbacked Marko Topo | 36c | 216.67$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.3 | 293 | 54.9%161 W · 132 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Lukas Neumayer | 45c | 216.16$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 1,824 | 46.5%849 W · 975 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Marko Topo | 55c | 216.12$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.25 | 1,371 | 38.3%525 W · 846 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…72d2backed Marko Topo | 69c | 212.23$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.79 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Marko Topo | 26c | 208$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.92 | 744 | 38.7%288 W · 456 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Lukas Neumayer | 59c | 206.43$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.89 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Lukas Neumayer | 39c | 204.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.28 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Marko Topo | 74c | 202.07$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.61 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Lukas Neumayer | 61c | 197.72$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.74 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lukas Neumayer | 57c | 191.87$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.37 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Lukas Neumayer | 42c | 187.98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.09 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Marko Topo | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 790 | 47.5%375 W · 415 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Lukas Neumayer | 60c | 185$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 1,785 | 48.7%869 W · 916 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6581…f4ddbacked Marko Topo | 63c | 171.25$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.15 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30b8…b6a0backed Marko Topo | 67c | 167.16$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.16 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Marko Topo | 25c | 165.13$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.4 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Lukas Neumayer | 32c | 159.38$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00e8…0039backed Lukas Neumayer | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 15.5%15 W · 82 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Marko Topo | 27c | 142.86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.29 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Lukas Neumayer | 32c | 140.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Lukas Neumayer | 40c | 136.65$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.21 | 881 | 57.9%510 W · 371 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked Lukas Neumayer | 74c | 135.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 179 | 72.6%130 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed Lukas Neumayer | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…9bc4backed Marko Topo | 77c | 127.6$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 472 | 74.4%351 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…4134backed Lukas Neumayer | 26c | 120$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 449 | 49.4%222 W · 227 L | +23.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lukas Neumayer | 55c | 115$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.73 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Lukas Neumayer | 47c | 112.77$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…9cf0backed Marko Topo | 35c | 112.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.73 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32c6…bf45backed Marko Topo | 27c | 111.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.33 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lukas Neumayer | 54c | 107.18$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.34 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Marko Topo | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.33 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Lukas Neumayer | 56c | 99.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…4fffbacked Marko Topo | 30c | 97.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Lukas Neumayer | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Marko Topo | 28c | 90.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Marko Topo | 75c | 88.82$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 316 | 53.2%168 W · 148 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Lukas Neumayer | 59c | 85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 1,877 | 59.4%1,115 W · 762 L | +8.5wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x538d…55afbacked Lukas Neumayer | 28c | 81.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7046…4677backed Marko Topo | 16c | 80$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Lukas Neumayer | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,009 | 38.3%386 W · 623 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Marko Topo | 30c | 75.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.43 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a31…ddc0backed Marko Topo | 27c | 74.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.78 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1afd…427ebacked Marko Topo | 70c | 74$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Lukas Neumayer | 47c | 72.61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 1,476 | 43.8%647 W · 829 L | -26.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Lukas Neumayer | 34c | 68.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 336 | 56.8%191 W · 145 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Lukas Neumayer | 70c | 68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Croatia Open, Qualification: Lukas Neumayer vs Marko Topothis page
- Neumayer vs. Topo: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Neumayer vs. Topo: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Neumayer vs TopoTopo won
- Set 2 Winner: Neumayer vs TopoTopo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.