TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Plovdiv: Petr Nesterov vs Tommaso Compagnucci

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Petr Nesterovof Petr Nesterov, Tommaso Compagnucci
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,543
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,164

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,543 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Tommaso Compagnucci26c3,996$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.228,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Petr Nesterov73c2,563$1,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.849,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57c8…3d9bbacked Tommaso Compagnucci49c1,010$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.8619052.1%99 W · 91 L-12.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Tommaso Compagnucci21c1,000$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.179,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Petr Nesterov51c959.56$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.114,34152.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L+63.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc26a…b715backed Tommaso Compagnucci23c933.83$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.7857321.8%125 W · 448 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Tommaso Compagnucci29c897.28$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.332,88739.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L-84.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Petr Nesterov76c879.6$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.964,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6581…f4ddbacked Petr Nesterov53c735.03$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.93053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Petr Nesterov79c700.91$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.951,82446.5%849 W · 975 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Petr Nesterov45c682.53$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.011,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Tommaso Compagnucci47c444.62$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.973,31948.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L-52.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2de6…fb10backed Petr Nesterov53c439.62$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.6246255.8%258 W · 204 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Petr Nesterov47c324.21$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.831,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Petr Nesterov74c244.23$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.475,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Tommaso Compagnucci26c231.54$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.851,47643.8%647 W · 829 L-26.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5803…3f3fbacked Petr Nesterov77c206.88$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8899148.6%482 W · 509 L+43.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Tommaso Compagnucci12c192.75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.734,25345%1,912 W · 2,341 L+20.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tommaso Compagnucci27c187.23$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.688,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Tommaso Compagnucci40c179.66$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.636,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Tommaso Compagnucci50c170.75$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.781,77252.1%923 W · 849 L-1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Tommaso Compagnucci21c167.11$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4799244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Tommaso Compagnucci39c142.52$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.572,08952.2%1,090 W · 999 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Tommaso Compagnucci23c135.74$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2219725.9%51 W · 146 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8bb…7cefbacked Tommaso Compagnucci29c120.64$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8636743.6%160 W · 207 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd1e…4754backed Tommaso Compagnucci29c118.49$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3244144.7%197 W · 244 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Tommaso Compagnucci55c109.18$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.142,32652.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L+85.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Tommaso Compagnucci35c103$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.911,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Tommaso Compagnucci31c101$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.312,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Tommaso Compagnucci16c87.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.411,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Tommaso Compagnucci20c84.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3360452.5%317 W · 287 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Tommaso Compagnucci50c78$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.641,73052.2%903 W · 827 L-8.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Tommaso Compagnucci22c70$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.469429.8%207 W · 487 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Tommaso Compagnucci25c68$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc5b…2a5abacked Petr Nesterov41c62.72$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9916955.6%94 W · 75 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Tommaso Compagnucci39c60.88$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7373951.7%382 W · 357 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20bf…2be9backed Petr Nesterov51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8214942.3%63 W · 86 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Tommaso Compagnucci23c49.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.31,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91aa…c94abacked Petr Nesterov51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.024047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Petr Nesterov73c42.12$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3911,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Tommaso Compagnucci36c34.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.43,15557.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L+176.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Petr Nesterov63c33.02$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.186,57446.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L-45.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Petr Nesterov58c31.59$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.221,83253%971 W · 861 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Tommaso Compagnucci49c31.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.462,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x74df…2b11backed Petr Nesterov52c28.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.712832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-34.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Tommaso Compagnucci49c25.51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.51,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Petr Nesterov76c23.58$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.732,06946.7%966 W · 1,103 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ff3…29d4backed Petr Nesterov79c23.28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.89366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-5.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc5f4…8cf0backed Tommaso Compagnucci56c19.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.718351.8%43 W · 40 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.