Tennis · resolved market
Croatia Open: Alex Molcan vs Valentin Royer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb004f7e4a1edebcbc4675eb8a4be2f7fbf34c596ef29465a73cb5e2dd6324e6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alex Molcanof Alex Molcan, Valentin Royer
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $144,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Alex Molcan | 60c | 12,591$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,090.93 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Valentin Royer | 41c | 12,500$5,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,071.5 | 374 | 50%187 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Valentin Royer | 34c | 8,895$3,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.53 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Alex Molcan | 59c | 7,500$4,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,045 | 647 | 55.2%357 W · 290 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Valentin Royer | 41c | 7,158$2,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,909.09 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc25…2d39backed Valentin Royer | 25c | 7,000$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.99 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Alex Molcan | 64c | 5,518$3,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,991 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Valentin Royer | 40c | 5,453$2,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,187.12 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Valentin Royer | 30c | 5,122$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.31 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Alex Molcan | 64c | 5,040$3,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,807.12 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Alex Molcan | 64c | 5,015$3,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.85 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Alex Molcan | 60c | 4,920$2,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984.7 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Alex Molcan | 65c | 4,641$3,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.65 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Valentin Royer | 40c | 3,852$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.36 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Valentin Royer | 38c | 3,745$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.69 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Valentin Royer | 40c | 2,695$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.96 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…d21fbacked Valentin Royer | 28c | 2,517$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.43 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +40%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Valentin Royer | 37c | 2,222$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.09 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db8…0ed7backed Alex Molcan | 60c | 2,147$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.57 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Alex Molcan | 60c | 2,106$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.12 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Alex Molcan | 67c | 1,846$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.64 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Valentin Royer | 41c | 1,500$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.17 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Valentin Royer | 9c | 1,429$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.51 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Valentin Royer | 35c | 1,400$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.15 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…3d5cbacked Alex Molcan | 67c | 1,104$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.31 | 303 | 53.5%162 W · 141 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Valentin Royer | 41c | 1,015$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Alex Molcan | 67c | 973.63$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.27 | 523 | 55.6%291 W · 232 L | +26.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Valentin Royer | 42c | 949.99$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.99 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Valentin Royer | 21c | 800$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Alex Molcan | 71c | 710.75$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.12 | 390 | 46.4%181 W · 209 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Alex Molcan | 58c | 595.14$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.15 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Alex Molcan | 67c | 586.86$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.25 | 365 | 57.3%209 W · 156 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Valentin Royer | 19c | 563$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.53 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Alex Molcan | 65c | 545.62$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.39 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…f4aabacked Alex Molcan | 59c | 505.9$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.9 | 368 | 48.4%178 W · 190 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5baf…3e56backed Valentin Royer | 39c | 500$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.49 | 658 | 40.9%269 W · 389 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…3ca3backed Alex Molcan | 58c | 471.1$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.95 | 494 | 47.2%233 W · 261 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Alex Molcan | 59c | 441.69$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.12 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed Valentin Royer | 37c | 419.72$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.77 | 172 | 24.4%42 W · 130 L | -16.4wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Valentin Royer | 40c | 409.99$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.57 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Alex Molcan | 67c | 402.94$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.25 | 397 | 59.4%236 W · 161 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d2…d00fbacked Valentin Royer | 40c | 395.31$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.1 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…b4a5backed Alex Molcan | 72c | 370.77$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.48 | 549 | 55.2%303 W · 246 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Valentin Royer | 37c | 367.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.53 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Valentin Royer | 21c | 360.01$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.82 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Alex Molcan | 58c | 348.48$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.37 | 659 | 42.2%278 W · 381 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Valentin Royer | 41c | 334.95$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.39 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Alex Molcan | 67c | 334.43$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.5 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Valentin Royer | 41c | 327.65$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.29 | 437 | 43.7%191 W · 246 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Valentin Royer | 31c | 323.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Alex Molcan | 58c | 317.41$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.25 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Valentin Royer | 43c | 304.5$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Alex Molcan | 64c | 298.94$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.7 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Valentin Royer | 41c | 276$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.33 | 726 | 38.8%282 W · 444 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Valentin Royer | 32c | 267.38$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.47 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Valentin Royer | 23c | 257.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.71 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Valentin Royer | 41c | 255.95$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.65 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Alex Molcan | 73c | 250$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.82 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Valentin Royer | 43c | 242.15$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Valentin Royer | 31c | 241.61$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.98 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…d29fbacked Valentin Royer | 43c | 210.77$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 306 | 42.2%129 W · 177 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Alex Molcan | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.3 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Valentin Royer | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.4 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Valentin Royer | 42c | 199.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.4 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba7…dd5abacked Valentin Royer | 37c | 174.86$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 175 | 54.3%95 W · 80 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked Alex Molcan | 58c | 173$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.66 | 143 | 57.3%82 W · 61 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…594bbacked Alex Molcan | 63c | 158.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.98 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Alex Molcan | 54c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 489 | 41.1%201 W · 288 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Valentin Royer | 41c | 148.28$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Alex Molcan | 77c | 148.13$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Valentin Royer | 32c | 148.04$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.78 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Valentin Royer | 41c | 139.87$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.51 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Valentin Royer | 10c | 109.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Valentin Royer | 40c | 109.04$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Alex Molcan | 70c | 107.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 394 | 69%272 W · 122 L | +27.8wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Alex Molcan | 73c | 107.23$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 609 | 62.7%382 W · 227 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32c6…bf45backed Alex Molcan | 59c | 101.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Alex Molcan | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1112…90dbbacked Valentin Royer | 21c | 97.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Valentin Royer | 41c | 97.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Valentin Royer | 41c | 96.35$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.41 | 265 | 46.4%123 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Valentin Royer | 40c | 89.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Alex Molcan | 59c | 88.2$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Valentin Royer | 23c | 83.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Valentin Royer | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 684 | 30%205 W · 479 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Valentin Royer | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…9cf0backed Valentin Royer | 42c | 76.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Valentin Royer | 42c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Valentin Royer | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f88…0111backed Alex Molcan | 63c | 74.3$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +29%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Alex Molcan | 61c | 73.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 241 | 59.3%143 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Valentin Royer | 42c | 71.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 434 | 44.9%195 W · 239 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f1…e83ebacked Alex Molcan | 72c | 69.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…2a32backed Alex Molcan | 60c | 69.03$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2819…c2fcbacked Valentin Royer | 35c | 67.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Alex Molcan | 58c | 65.69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 278 | 36.7%102 W · 176 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Valentin Royer | 34c | 64.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Alex Molcan | 77c | 64.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x065c…47debacked Alex Molcan | 60c | 64.09$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Valentin Royer | 29c | 62.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Croatia Open: Alex Molcan vs Valentin Royerthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Molcan vs RoyerMolcan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.