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Serie A · resolved market

Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$208,973
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$234,144

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,973 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 259 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x440a…035abacked Yes27c34,838$9,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,549.271030%3 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee0d…57abbacked No65c22,849$14,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,997.258743.7%38 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed No66c16,157$10,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,493.33154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No75c14,166$10,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,548.4493252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No75c12,562$9,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,170.652,02339.4%798 W · 1,225 L-10.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No66c11,574$7,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,916.6272050.1%361 W · 359 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No72c10,122$7,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,848.6251349.3%253 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes34c7,452$2,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,563.3214441%59 W · 85 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f04…7994backed Yes21c6,765$1,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,420.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7b…7f37backed Yes35c6,646$2,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,326.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-46.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32bd…c195backed Yes34c5,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,700333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fec…62f0backed No66c4,000$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc788…8545backed Yes34c3,486$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.14450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc294…570ebacked Yes29c3,301$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde8e…3289backed No66c3,192$2,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.154955.1%27 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes34c3,107$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.441241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2af2…ec6fbacked Yes21c2,993$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.072835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Yes33c2,909$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.863423.5%8 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Yes35c2,746$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9613450%17 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No65c2,500$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.999149.5%45 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+110.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No74c2,249$1,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.6936827.4%101 W · 267 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No67c2,222$1,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.2624953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x32df…cce8backed Yes34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6802138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No66c2,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.934671.7%33 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No71c1,871$1,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.5855038.9%214 W · 336 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No76c1,871$1,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.223743.5%103 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Yes34c1,780$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.05837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4c3…dbb5backed Yes35c1,562$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53fa…83f9backed Yes21c1,519$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.73633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dfe…a5d6backed No66c1,484$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.641163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42ff…6ecebacked Yes35c1,481$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.4540%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xab4a…55aabacked Yes33c1,454$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd44f…6225backed Yes34c1,412$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.21338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fcd…f84fbacked Yes35c1,373$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes21c1,157$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.7149137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Yes34c1,151$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.421752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes17c1,118$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.042236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes35c1,070$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.494725.5%12 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked Yes9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902714.8%4 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-58.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe23…ea54backed No66c989.4$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.392100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cca…08a9backed Yes34c960.4$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.543040%12 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Yes6c935.61$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.876132.8%20 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b71…c4d0backed Yes34c847.41$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.121127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-44.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No67c795.01$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.6136046.4%167 W · 193 L-1.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No66c758.16$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.3944654.7%244 W · 202 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes34c752.79$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.9523839.1%93 W · 145 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes42c730.63$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.588457.1%48 W · 36 L+7.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes27c708.3$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.241030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid+23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes35c705.13$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.795543.6%24 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb1a…dfcfbacked Yes35c686.43$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.25825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f84…be62backed Yes25c686.21$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.95714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-60.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b94…c347backed Yes29c650.88$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.551421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-54.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed No68c635.47$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.358644.2%38 W · 48 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No73c624.9$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.7532950.5%166 W · 163 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Yes34c614.51$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d5…b0b8backed Yes26c607.57$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.98540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes35c606.8$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.385339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcff3…2eeebacked Yes32c593.9$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes35c572.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.354940.8%20 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbdd…c26abacked Yes35c549.14$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.230%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1e2…2213backed Yes35c535.41$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.450%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6581…f4ddbacked Yes34c506.92$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes31c498.9$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.8615050.7%76 W · 74 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x353c…01d9backed Yes34c494.32$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.071612.5%2 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.22per pick35cpaid-48.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfdeb…0b10backed No66c489.8$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47a0…60d2backed Yes35c439.31$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No70c423$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.924246.3%112 W · 130 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Yes35c411.86$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.154060%24 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bb9…351fbacked Yes35c411.86$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.15837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+55.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Yes32c408.94$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.866142.6%26 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85e8…474abacked No67c397.22$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.081741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No65c383.86$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.355160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No71c364.86$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.8132939.5%130 W · 199 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No66c364.19$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.3599944.7%447 W · 552 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No65c340$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11936456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd3a…3203backed No68c318.88$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.042245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa89e…431dbacked Yes34c312.67$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.611526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes7c299.8$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.043243.8%14 W · 18 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+88.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed No66c296.85$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.933148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes16c296.75$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4813131.3%41 W · 90 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes34c295$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.314742.9%63 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes28c290.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.73324.2%8 W · 25 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick40cpaid-52%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes33c290.85$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.986822.1%15 W · 53 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-35.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes33c290.85$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9813753.3%73 W · 64 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes23c290.01$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3841644%183 W · 233 L+1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5574…47abbacked Yes33c289.25$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.99728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10fd…633bbacked Yes34c288.12$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.962045%9 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked No77c277.93$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.923852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes35c274.57$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.11650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d7f…8ca5backed Yes35c274.57$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95a4…8a24backed Yes35c274.57$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.11118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-36.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x214a…408abacked No72c263.55$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.79366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No65c245.92$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.3614846.6%69 W · 79 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1de…2898backed Yes35c243.76$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.32475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+29.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd876…4c8bbacked Yes16c234.73$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.561127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Yes31c231.68$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.91323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-52.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Yes9c220$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191637.5%6 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick22cpaid+144.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes27c216.14$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.468718.4%16 W · 71 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6059…2800backed Yes35c204.76$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.11127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-50.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No74c203.91$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.443953.8%21 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.