TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will AC Milan vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$260,166
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$275,330

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $260,166 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes35c69,008$24,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,594.254254.8%23 W · 19 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+34%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No62c32,925$20,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,553.223852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed No69c31,774$21,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,867.842450%12 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+54.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4f8…96a4backed No69c30,000$20,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,699.8120%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2e3…fbb2backed Yes35c14,783$5,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,537.61333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes31c12,915$4,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,911.0598544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No65c11,846$7,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,718.5432650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No61c9,785$5,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,979.0893252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes31c7,438$2,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,131.9419952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Yes36c6,751$2,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,347.751346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Yes32c6,064$1,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,145.941442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x608c…4f52backed No1c4,780$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes31c4,487$1,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,095.943756.8%21 W · 16 L+7.6wins+0.20per pick36cpaid+81.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x31cb…a34bbacked No69c4,200$2,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,898.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95a9…4352backed No70c4,146$2,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,901.891968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No50c3,434$1,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,705.671,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No69c3,000$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,069.98463.1%53 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes36c2,659$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,711.1741144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked No14c1,875$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.476132.8%20 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No51c1,857$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.822743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No48c1,847$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.9611053.6%59 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-19.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Yes31c1,790$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,235.324254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No23c1,600$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37013636.8%50 W · 86 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Yes31c1,546$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.833450%17 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x389b…8d69backed Yes65c1,499$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.971741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fd0…93acbacked Yes31c1,438$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.155131.4%16 W · 35 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No68c1,391$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.6968750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Yes31c1,237$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.513129%9 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Yes31c1,144$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.45837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No42c1,028$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.315244.2%23 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed No70c983.3$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.011963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd4e1…62a2backed No69c981.28$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.161464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+44.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes31c856.16$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.5113839.9%55 W · 83 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No70c854.12$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.7541954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No59c847.97$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.32867.9%19 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes35c816.74$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.2617744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda70…66b3backed No70c799.98$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No42c759.29$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.3512044.2%53 W · 67 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No13c722.01$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3631738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes31c652$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.8835646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde80…d8b9backed Yes34c649.68$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.791435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes66c643.64$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.9549137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58d4…aa98backed Yes31c618.45$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.73666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+51.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No40c599.99$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9915450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes31c541.04$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.7626241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4db9…14f5backed No49c509.95$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.871752.9%9 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick33cpaid+62.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No45c496.81$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.9618125.4%46 W · 135 L-18.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-45.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9e16…b78abacked Yes66c489.8$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.533100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+133.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes29c460.05$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.644845.8%22 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+85%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No61c454.49$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.452,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x046b…340dbacked Yes31c449.34$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No62c423$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.2623345.1%105 W · 128 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed No71c415.18$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.7812950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5df…0f22backed Yes30c411.94$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes31c401.99$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.388644.2%38 W · 48 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed No14c400$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565219.2%10 W · 42 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-42.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No68c400$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27222551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Yes30c383.2$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.241637.5%6 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick22cpaid+144.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes31c373.53$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.7314651.4%75 W · 71 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes41c358.74$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.0249850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d87…abeabacked Yes66c334.47$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.72475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+34.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Yes66c329.5$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.033756.8%21 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes33c317.59$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.7812035.8%43 W · 77 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No63c310.24$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.5714159.6%84 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Yes31c309.23$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.373537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e4a…f43dbacked No14c307.47$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.963243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes66c303.76$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.922035%7 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a99…8302backed Yes31c293.33$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.42259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yes30c287.4$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.18955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+26.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed No26c270$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.23243.8%14 W · 18 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+88.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed Yes33c237.07$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.841741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c1…d98bbacked Yes41c235.27$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.81475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes25c226.74$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3730828.9%89 W · 219 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes31c216.09$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.16628.8%19 W · 47 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1894…9b71backed No72c213.35$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.56825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-60.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No62c212.82$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.9514347.6%68 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb03…9732backed Yes31c201$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.696262.9%39 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x28ff…d56cbacked Yes31c197.9$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.551361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+64.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No68c157.5$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.2510549.5%52 W · 53 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes31c154.61$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.681741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+39.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fab…775abacked Yes31c154.61$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb36b…0cb1backed Yes31c154.61$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Yes71c151.79$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.693141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5782…74e4backed Yes33c145.42$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.43333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe84c…5269backed Yes33c145.42$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.431747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes35c143.18$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2126747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d9d…6703backed Yes36c140.43$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+174.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No67c139.06$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.1712350.4%62 W · 61 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd496…4108backed Yes35c137.29$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.243100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+82.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ec1…3f7bbacked Yes36c133.56$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.48742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+9.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbf70…957bbacked Yes31c132.5$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.43250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+61.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x844d…780bbacked No29c131.67$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.571258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Yes34c130.8$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.332520%5 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No58c125.27$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0620749.3%102 W · 105 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed Yes80c123.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.71266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No64c112.52$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.028457.1%48 W · 36 L+7.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No56c110.62$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.043953.8%21 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d76…6fd4backed Yes36c106.84$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.3810147.5%48 W · 53 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes31c102.04$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.412060%12 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+39.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes38c101.35$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.844647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.