Spread: Spain (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf075d746536b9a9a0f076c1cde8cce2052305b8364539c625470a7e5b037d8c3

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Portugalof Spain, Portugal
Resolved: Jul 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,548,950
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,537,683

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,548,950 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 645 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Portugal	75c	708,223$533,505 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174,718.4	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Spain	27c	399,999$108,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107,999.81	223	48.4%108 W · 115 L	+11.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56b4…a84bbacked Spain	27c	307,299$82,971 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82,970.73	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Portugal	73c	167,927$122,587 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45,340.42	335	38.2%128 W · 207 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Spain	19c	61,725$11,428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,428.38	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa701…47cdbacked Portugal	73c	50,000$36,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,500	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-1.8wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Spain	25c	40,000$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	81	35.8%29 W · 52 L	+4.9wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked Portugal	73c	40,000$29,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,799.98	152	49.3%75 W · 77 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Spain	15c	39,940$6,109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,109.41	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x355d…65e0backed Spain	27c	30,000$8,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,100	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+3.2wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+24%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3e7…ea94backed Spain	27c	18,519$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	137	25.5%35 W · 102 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Spain	21c	17,560$3,608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,608.16	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Portugal	73c	14,731$10,784 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,947.4	71	53.5%38 W · 33 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Spain	26c	14,444$3,755 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,755.44	140	45.7%64 W · 76 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x772d…45bbbacked Spain	24c	11,414$2,712 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,711.69	68	19.1%13 W · 55 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Portugal	74c	11,378$8,414 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,963.34	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Spain	16c	10,000$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,600	98	39.8%39 W · 59 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Portugal	73c	9,455$6,868 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,586.92	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e7c…6392backed Spain	27c	9,259$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	34	11.8%4 W · 30 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed Spain	5c	9,167$477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$477.2	180	56.1%101 W · 79 L	+14.8wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Portugal	73c	9,000$6,585 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,415.09	406	55.7%226 W · 180 L	+17.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Portugal	73c	8,464$6,217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,246.53	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked Portugal	74c	8,000$5,920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,080	116	57.8%67 W · 49 L	+6.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ab6…05febacked Spain	26c	8,000$2,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,080	61	32.8%20 W · 41 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Portugal	76c	7,811$5,930 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,881.58	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Spain	27c	7,407$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	249	17.7%44 W · 205 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Spain	14c	6,624$915 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$914.79	372	23.4%87 W · 285 L	-25.7wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Spain	9c	6,150$574 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$573.86	1,559	52.4%817 W · 742 L	+97.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spain	10c	5,770$573 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$572.75	831	53.3%443 W · 388 L	+15.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Portugal	74c	5,752$4,261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,490.9	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a79…b1a8backed Spain	27c	5,500$1,485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,485	77	29.9%23 W · 54 L	-5.1wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-32%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4608…d049backed Spain	26c	5,000$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,299.99	84	58.3%49 W · 35 L	+9.7wins	+0.12per pick	47cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Spain	27c	5,000$1,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,349.98	292	50.7%148 W · 144 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked Spain	27c	4,815$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	98	23.5%23 W · 75 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Portugal	73c	4,315$3,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,165.07	360	31.7%114 W · 246 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Portugal	73c	4,227$3,086 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,141.29	281	62.6%176 W · 105 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Spain	26c	4,208$1,094 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,094.08	299	52.5%157 W · 142 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72f7…92f7backed Portugal	74c	4,000$2,944 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,056	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Spain	26c	4,000$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,040	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Spain	24c	4,000$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$959.98	255	37.6%96 W · 159 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Spain	19c	3,947$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	250	19.6%49 W · 201 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Spain	27c	3,933$1,062 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,061.86	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d87…896fbacked Spain	26c	3,846$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a86…201abacked Spain	28c	3,571$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fdd…2fb9backed Portugal	73c	3,562$2,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$961.64	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed Spain	27c	3,397$917 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$917.31	75	33.3%25 W · 50 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked Spain	9c	3,349$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317.37	312	32.4%101 W · 211 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Spain	24c	3,329$808 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$808.44	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Portugal	73c	3,072$2,253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$819.2	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Portugal	73c	3,031$2,201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$829.98	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Portugal	74c	3,000$2,220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$780	432	48.4%209 W · 223 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d51…9b21backed Spain	27c	2,755$744 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$743.87	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.7wins	-0.28per pick	45cpaid	-78.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Spain	27c	2,672$714 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$713.67	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac59…ac78backed Portugal	73c	2,616$1,910 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$706.44	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	63cpaid	+26%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Spain	27c	2,500$675 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$674.99	122	27.9%34 W · 88 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7aae…3132backed Spain	27c	2,455$663 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$662.85	34	14.7%5 W · 29 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Portugal	73c	2,422$1,768 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$653.85	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9566…1563backed Portugal	74c	2,351$1,740 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$611.35	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.12per pick	34cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Portugal	73c	2,202$1,604 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$597.45	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f50…3191backed Portugal	73c	2,030$1,482 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$547.49	45	60%27 W · 18 L	+5.3wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+12%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Spain	27c	2,000$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	237	29.1%69 W · 168 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb72b…989abacked Spain	28c	2,000$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560	104	56.7%59 W · 45 L	+6.8wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Portugal	73c	2,000$1,460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$539.99	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed Spain	26c	2,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$519.98	77	33.8%26 W · 51 L	-7.0wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Portugal	74c	1,892$1,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$491.89	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd2c1…a09ebacked Spain	27c	1,852$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	74	44.6%33 W · 41 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf4e…bd80backed Spain	27c	1,852$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	149	46.3%69 W · 80 L	+9.7wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc78e…4718backed Portugal	78c	1,849$1,437 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$412.26	187	39%73 W · 114 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b1…83a0backed Portugal	73c	1,800$1,314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$486	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x846c…4b12backed Spain	28c	1,759$493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.58	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	31cpaid	-78.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac9b…d9e9backed Spain	27c	1,712$462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$462.18	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Spain	2c	1,586$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.08	272	27.6%75 W · 197 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Spain	25c	1,531$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.75	186	33.3%62 W · 124 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Spain	25c	1,500$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375	49	40.8%20 W · 29 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11be…7712backed Spain	26c	1,482$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.4	226	20.4%46 W · 180 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Spain	27c	1,481$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	894	43.4%388 W · 506 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0e1…b9b4backed Spain	27c	1,481$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	71	46.5%33 W · 38 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Portugal	73c	1,370$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$369.9	73	64.4%47 W · 26 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	59cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…2d14backed Portugal	74c	1,351$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$351.35	73	60.3%44 W · 29 L	+5.1wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Portugal	74c	1,351$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$351.35	253	36.8%93 W · 160 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ef0…bb7cbacked Spain	27c	1,347$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$363.64	51	37.3%19 W · 32 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Spain	9c	1,311$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.99	825	37.1%306 W · 519 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Spain	26c	1,271$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.43	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Portugal	76c	1,268$966 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$301.35	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.12per pick	63cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66e5…bb87backed Portugal	73c	1,263$922 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$341.09	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-42%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Spain	11c	1,251$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.47	791	49.2%389 W · 402 L	+28.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x817a…7f1cbacked Spain	20c	1,250$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.5	62	32.3%20 W · 42 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Spain	10c	1,229$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.58	770	51.3%395 W · 375 L	+29.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Portugal	73c	1,228$896 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$331.56	119	52.9%63 W · 56 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Spain	27c	1,188$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325.41	168	31.5%53 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6752…5977backed Spain	14c	1,170$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.9	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-70.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x76aa…58cebacked Portugal	73c	1,164$850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$314.38	97	60.8%59 W · 38 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Portugal	79c	1,145$902 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.24	268	41.8%112 W · 156 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62e0…32dfbacked Spain	27c	1,111$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	173	45.1%78 W · 95 L	+11.1wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8984…774ebacked Spain	27c	1,111$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b4d…5f4abacked Spain	27c	1,111$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	81	21%17 W · 64 L	-4.1wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-36%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0547…9926backed Spain	27c	1,111$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	214	43%92 W · 122 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8b5…280cbacked Spain	27c	1,111$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	81	35.8%29 W · 52 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4064…5f1ebacked Spain	27c	1,108$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.04	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+2.4wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x468a…c764backed Portugal	74c	1,099$813 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$285.77	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	+1.6wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Spain (-1.5)this page
Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 3.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 4.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 5.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 6.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 7.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 8.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceSpain won
Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Spain won
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)Spain won
Spread: Portugal (-3.5)Spain won
Spread: Spain (-2.5)Portugal won
Spread: Spain (-3.5)Portugal won
Spread: Spain (-4.5)Portugal won
Spread: Spain (-5.5)Portugal won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event