TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,400,824
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,615,650

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,400,824 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 515 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa6a8…ba32backed Under71c231,853$163,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67,952.861485.7%12 W · 2 L+4.8wins+0.34per pick51cpaid+88.1%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Over30c66,982$20,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,094.555334%18 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f12…8140backed Over32c61,055$19,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,537.674025%10 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6cd…2f2cbacked Under70c50,000$35,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,0004178%32 W · 9 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+35%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over32c44,977$14,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,271.772,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc15b…38afbacked Under69c40,000$27,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,399.993063.3%19 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1228…a86ebacked Over1c38,557$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.922524%6 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick17cpaid-16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x447d…5eeabacked Over31c28,120$8,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,717.27447.3%35 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed Over31c26,000$8,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,009.998931.5%28 W · 61 L-9.0wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Under71c21,137$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,136.7510457.7%60 W · 44 L+10.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa092…11e3backed Over29c20,000$5,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,874.312846.9%60 W · 68 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Over28c17,715$4,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,960.2820731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdb46…fe05backed Over31c14,900$4,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,618.972254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over13c14,495$1,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,948.61,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ff1…2dd7backed Over31c13,320$4,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,129.21553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked Over31c12,645$3,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,920.084932.7%16 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf245…e750backed Under70c12,551$8,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,765.451070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+78.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over24c11,219$2,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,711.161,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Over23c10,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30021937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Over32c10,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,20027345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over29c10,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9001,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over20c9,861$1,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,952.293,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over30c9,110$2,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,775.918,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Over30c8,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40050243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over30c8,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.9847144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Over30c8,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.9548441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over29c7,403$2,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,146.871,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e63…0857backed Over4c7,401$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.81626.5%4 W · 58 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe666…713abacked Under69c7,246$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,246.381650%8 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Under69c7,000$4,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,169.9715128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Over13c6,646$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.2437223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Over30c6,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80047643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under70c5,876$4,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,786.777152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Over30c5,600$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,68044144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over20c5,322$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.842,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5041331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x657e…9781backed Over29c4,860$1,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.35633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-26.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over14c4,791$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.792,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under69c4,733$3,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,453.2231851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over30c4,700$1,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4061,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfe9…5f53backed Over30c4,410$1,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,322.992853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid0%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over26c4,331$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,128.192,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Over30c4,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20047442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over16c3,806$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.361,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97d6…69e1backed Over31c3,548$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1009839.8%39 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Under69c3,500$2,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08531152.7%164 W · 147 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over28c3,223$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.942,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ecc…7850backed Over32c3,126$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.273351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bca…835dbacked Under69c3,000$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9306241.9%26 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under69c2,722$1,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.273,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51b3…3989backed Under70c2,697$1,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.146660.6%40 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under69c2,580$1,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.7525857.4%148 W · 110 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf90c…0850backed Under69c2,526$1,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.126445.3%29 W · 35 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under69c2,500$1,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.283,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over29c2,412$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69971638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Over31c2,222$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.8219037.4%71 W · 119 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under69c2,162$1,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.123,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11fd…a851backed Over30c2,067$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6203810.5%4 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-66.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over30c2,048$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.41,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6008247.6%39 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b5a…7070backed Under70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6005863.8%37 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Over30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60011755.6%65 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8046…6ea0backed Over30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6008723%20 W · 67 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over31c1,987$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.9611122.5%25 W · 86 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Over31c1,935$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60026644%117 W · 149 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38ce…1581backed Over31c1,911$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.415234.6%18 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over29c1,724$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.962,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over29c1,724$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.962,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over29c1,724$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.963,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under68c1,640$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.9236031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over32c1,563$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50036038.1%137 W · 223 L-15.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over32c1,563$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5f9…a28cbacked Over32c1,563$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002725.9%7 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-30.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over32c1,531$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over29c1,520$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.661,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over29c1,506$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.648047.5%38 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x782f…b46abacked Over31c1,490$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.92941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3947…6c1ebacked Under69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.282576%19 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over28c1,429$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.1259752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under69c1,428$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.762,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec1…7e30backed Under71c1,425$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.13812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-82.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Under71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.4519062.6%119 W · 71 L+13.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x500a…6866backed Under70c1,341$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.439341.9%39 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad1c…7c56backed Over16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001010%1 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over30c1,229$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.893,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Over28c1,155$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.546550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Under71c1,102$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.4613742.3%58 W · 79 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07ce…db5cbacked Under70c1,079$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.787230.6%22 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over28c1,064$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.9225848.4%125 W · 133 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over31c1,054$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.7743826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x710c…5df6backed Under69c1,037$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.593971.8%28 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd708…b9d2backed Over32c1,031$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3309751.5%50 W · 47 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under69c1,001$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.2697742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31021957.5%126 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Under71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2909454.3%51 W · 43 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41f3…85cabacked Over32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3202532%8 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3c6…4366backed Over31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3106637.9%25 W · 41 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Over29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29030345.2%137 W · 166 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010718.7%20 W · 87 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+14.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under70c999.97$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.991,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.