TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$399,853
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$475,568

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $399,853 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over13c23,652$3,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,124.634,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over14c16,020$2,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,322.041,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Over15c15,000$2,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,248.8221937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb7c…7c86backed Over7c12,137$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.965320.8%11 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c03…522dbacked Over4c10,174$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.153030%9 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Over5c9,462$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.4969826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20b8…aa04backed Over13c7,700$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0012920.7%6 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick18cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over15c7,211$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.5970244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7795…9a17backed Over15c6,581$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010927.5%30 W · 79 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Over14c5,252$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.2714219.7%28 W · 114 L-0.5wins0.00per pick20cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over13c4,604$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.071,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over5c4,027$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.251,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over13c4,008$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.542,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over14c4,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5601,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over14c3,404$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.61,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Over15c3,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9519037.4%71 W · 119 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over15c3,268$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.851,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30f8…9a41backed Over5c3,045$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.7640%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Over14c3,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42035229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x63c1…9af2backed Over6c2,594$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.191010%1 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick25cpaid-87.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Over3c2,237$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.266429.7%19 W · 45 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+46.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1686…bfecbacked Over14c2,143$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over10c1,808$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.522,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over14c1,789$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.0972722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over13c1,731$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22569744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Over2c1,672$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.751,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3726…1d58backed Over6c1,605$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.321533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf31a…bfbabacked Over14c1,566$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.2424616.3%40 W · 206 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over15c1,526$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.784,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over13c1,500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19589443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over10c1,411$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.342,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f82…b06cbacked Over14c1,389$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.441838.9%7 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over14c1,306$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.053,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over14c1,223$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.173,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5415…f764backed Over15c1,200$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1809428.7%27 W · 67 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb28a…6d4abacked Over5c1,170$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.98713.8%12 W · 75 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick11cpaid-11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over15c1,024$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.61,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over14c1,015$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.1267447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3c6…4366backed Over15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506637.9%25 W · 41 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Over15c999.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15046546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over16c977$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.3243826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over14c974.98$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.597742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over14c947.74$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.298,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over9c824$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.161,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7087…8c57backed Over14c806$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.843517.1%6 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over14c749.96$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9947127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Over2c740.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7784738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over14c714$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9671638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97d6…69e1backed Over15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009839.8%39 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over15c660.45$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.441,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04d2…4850backed Over15c654.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003414.7%5 W · 29 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-64.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaf16…464ebacked Over15c646.8$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0212117.4%21 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93d1…1a38backed Over15c641.4$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.211030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad1c…7c56backed Over12c583.33$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701010%1 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x372e…4453backed Over15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7514829.1%43 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over14c461.93$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.6795739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72e0…08eebacked Over16c459.75$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.5626243.1%113 W · 149 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b7a…86cfbacked Over16c400$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6423429.1%68 W · 166 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Over10c388.24$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1937223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over14c347.57$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.51,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Over15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028224.1%68 W · 214 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ee…5513backed Over15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503815.8%6 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over15c326.67$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4922919.2%44 W · 185 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x490f…a02dbacked Over15c316.67$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4825737%95 W · 162 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Over15c299.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4522951.1%117 W · 112 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Over15c299.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4518051.1%92 W · 88 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked Over3c294.15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108130.9%25 W · 56 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over11c272.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3043819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over15c266.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4052217.4%91 W · 431 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb68c…7ef8backed Over15c266.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011031.8%35 W · 75 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over14c239.59$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.781,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed Over16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3212013.3%16 W · 104 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd3c…4985backed Over15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick22cpaid-71.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Over15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022449.1%110 W · 114 L+20.3wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdf89…6568backed Over15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304910.2%5 W · 44 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-46.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4929…f37abacked Over15c186.67$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286434.4%22 W · 42 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0a2…b58ebacked Over15c181.27$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.197022.9%16 W · 54 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe369…0515backed Over15c166.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255614.3%8 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Over14c165.72$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.232837.2%122 W · 206 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ad1…de9bbacked Over15c162.2$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.335269.2%36 W · 16 L+7.0wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+25.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8320…e302backed Over8c149.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.630137.2%112 W · 189 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x702a…26f9backed Over11c136.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15385.3%2 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick14cpaid-66.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over14c131.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6884844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed Over15c126.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1919939.2%78 W · 121 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010534.3%36 W · 69 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6b…3e58backed Over16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010911%12 W · 97 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Over16c120.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2677433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…be0abacked Over15c119.47$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.924346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x223b…971cbacked Over15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1516040%64 W · 96 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe196…7976backed Over15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1523528.1%66 W · 169 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc70…1a8dbacked Over15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ad4…682dbacked Over15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154926.5%13 W · 36 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x206c…d936backed Over16c93.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153831.6%12 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick21cpaid+62.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a4e…e74fbacked Over15c93.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf2f…06bebacked Over16c87.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144513.3%6 W · 39 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-32.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over13c80$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.423736.3%86 W · 151 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over15c74.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4617747.5%84 W · 93 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe059…daaebacked Over15c73.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1111720.5%24 W · 93 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick17cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ca9…37d1backed Over16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103951.3%20 W · 19 L+5.8wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+18.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.