Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ee42242dc205516d88bd4327ddbd29cc0695ac4ca103ec6f34b0797f16ad8ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $399,853
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $475,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $399,853 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 13c | 23,652$3,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,124.63 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 14c | 16,020$2,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,322.04 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Over | 15c | 15,000$2,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,248.82 | 219 | 37%81 W · 138 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…7c86backed Over | 7c | 12,137$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.96 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c03…522dbacked Over | 4c | 10,174$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.15 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Over | 5c | 9,462$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.49 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b8…aa04backed Over | 13c | 7,700$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 15c | 7,211$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.59 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…9a17backed Over | 15c | 6,581$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Over | 14c | 5,252$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.27 | 142 | 19.7%28 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 13c | 4,604$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.07 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 5c | 4,027$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.25 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 13c | 4,008$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.54 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 14c | 4,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 14c | 3,404$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.6 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f4…49afbacked Over | 15c | 3,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 190 | 37.4%71 W · 119 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Over | 15c | 3,268$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.85 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f8…9a41backed Over | 5c | 3,045$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Over | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63c1…9af2backed Over | 6c | 2,594$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.19 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -87.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Over | 3c | 2,237$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.26 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1686…bfecbacked Over | 14c | 2,143$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 10c | 1,808$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.52 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Over | 14c | 1,789$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.09 | 727 | 22.7%165 W · 562 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 13c | 1,731$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Over | 2c | 1,672$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3726…1d58backed Over | 6c | 1,605$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.32 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…bfbabacked Over | 14c | 1,566$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.24 | 246 | 16.3%40 W · 206 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 15c | 1,526$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.78 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 10c | 1,411$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.34 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f82…b06cbacked Over | 14c | 1,389$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.44 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0886…b3a6backed Over | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 329 | 22.5%74 W · 255 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 14c | 1,306$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.05 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 14c | 1,223$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.17 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5415…f764backed Over | 15c | 1,200$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…6d4abacked Over | 5c | 1,170$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 15c | 1,024$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 14c | 1,015$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.12 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c6…4366backed Over | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Over | 15c | 999.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 16c | 977$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.32 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 14c | 974.98$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 14c | 947.74$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.29 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 9c | 824$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.16 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…8c57backed Over | 14c | 806$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.84 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Over | 14c | 749.96$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 471 | 27.8%131 W · 340 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Over | 2c | 740.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 14c | 714$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97d6…69e1backed Over | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 15c | 660.45$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.44 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4850backed Over | 15c | 654.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…464ebacked Over | 15c | 646.8$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.02 | 121 | 17.4%21 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d1…1a38backed Over | 15c | 641.4$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.21 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad1c…7c56backed Over | 12c | 583.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x372e…4453backed Over | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 148 | 29.1%43 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Over | 14c | 461.93$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.67 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e0…08eebacked Over | 16c | 459.75$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.56 | 262 | 43.1%113 W · 149 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7a…86cfbacked Over | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 234 | 29.1%68 W · 166 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Over | 10c | 388.24$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 372 | 23.4%87 W · 285 L | -25.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 14c | 347.57$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…8220backed Over | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 282 | 24.1%68 W · 214 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Over | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Over | 15c | 326.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 229 | 19.2%44 W · 185 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…a02dbacked Over | 15c | 316.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 257 | 37%95 W · 162 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Over | 15c | 299.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 229 | 51.1%117 W · 112 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Over | 15c | 299.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Over | 3c | 294.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 81 | 30.9%25 W · 56 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 438 | 19.2%84 W · 354 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…b89bbacked Over | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 522 | 17.4%91 W · 431 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…7ef8backed Over | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 110 | 31.8%35 W · 75 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 14c | 239.59$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Over | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 120 | 13.3%16 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…4985backed Over | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Over | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 224 | 49.1%110 W · 114 L | +20.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf89…6568backed Over | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 10.2%5 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…f37abacked Over | 15c | 186.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a2…b58ebacked Over | 15c | 181.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe369…0515backed Over | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Over | 14c | 165.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 328 | 37.2%122 W · 206 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…de9bbacked Over | 15c | 162.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8320…e302backed Over | 8c | 149.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 301 | 37.2%112 W · 189 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x702a…26f9backed Over | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 14c | 131.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Over | 15c | 126.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 34.3%36 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6b…3e58backed Over | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 109 | 11%12 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…d024backed Over | 16c | 120.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 774 | 33.1%256 W · 518 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…be0abacked Over | 15c | 119.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223b…971cbacked Over | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Over | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 235 | 28.1%66 W · 169 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc70…1a8dbacked Over | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad4…682dbacked Over | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x206c…d936backed Over | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…e74fbacked Over | 15c | 93.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2f…06bebacked Over | 16c | 87.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 237 | 36.3%86 W · 151 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Over | 15c | 74.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe059…daaebacked Over | 15c | 73.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca9…37d1backed Over | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +5.8wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 4.5this page
- Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 3.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 5.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 6.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 7.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 8.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceSpain won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Portugal (-2.5)Spain won
- Spread: Portugal (-3.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Spain (-3.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Spain (-4.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Spain (-5.5)Portugal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.