TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$262,701
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$281,423

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $262,701 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under76c72,322$55,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,249.514,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Under70c29,500$20,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,710.67163.4%45 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over32c17,394$5,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,488.7123942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over15c12,891$1,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,975.094,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over31c10,930$3,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,386.612,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Over31c9,872$3,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,044.821833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over31c9,774$3,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,010.242,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over21c5,944$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,236.592,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under79c5,907$4,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.164,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under70c5,030$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5301,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Under70c5,000$3,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,524.9920724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over11c4,428$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.113,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under71c3,590$2,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.812,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over32c3,422$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.0432656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x36d1…5305backed Over31c3,247$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.551030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over29c2,748$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.578,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under69c2,400$1,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.813,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under69c2,161$1,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.823,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under69c1,890$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.863,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over26c1,870$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.992,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over31c1,731$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.7270244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over31c1,697$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.282,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over17c1,624$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.082,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5f9…a28cbacked Over32c1,563$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002725.9%7 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-30.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Over24c1,233$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30026644%117 W · 149 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over11c1,114$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.11,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under69c1,084$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.283,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30063152.9%334 W · 297 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Over30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30046546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Over31c999.98$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.9932042.2%135 W · 185 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7950…0e5abacked Over31c989.77$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.83425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b6d…27bbbacked Over11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004238.1%16 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under69c882.95$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.721,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over2c719.95$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.42,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6648…4798backed Over16c700$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1147748.1%37 W · 40 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf663…5654backed Over31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008037.5%30 W · 50 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d91…2109backed Over31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006835.3%24 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under77c626.13$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.341,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdd…c26abacked Over32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013148.1%63 W · 68 L+10.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+11.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5895…1d0ebacked Over32c618.16$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe020…ff13backed Under69c579.71$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.714667.4%31 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over30c523.98$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.1972722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under69c512$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.721,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under69c509.98$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.0917052.9%90 W · 80 L+13.0wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5669…0f13backed Over24c504.99$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.28140.7%33 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe4e…d0c6backed Over5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511035.5%39 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15047127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under68c499.99$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16095739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over11c461.17$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.731,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb36…a357backed Over17c458.82$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787211.1%8 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over30c454.97$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.3797742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Over3c445.83$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1217736.7%65 W · 112 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over6c421$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.621,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b7a…86cfbacked Over31c400$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12423429.1%68 W · 166 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Over31c379.74$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.729036.7%33 W · 57 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Under70c375.3$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.591,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under70c337$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.167354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd865…96babacked Over31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009337.6%35 W · 58 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f4c…14ddbacked Over31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x128e…dd0fbacked Over30c306.67$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-49.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed Under69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9328164.1%180 W · 101 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7afb…61eabacked Under69c290$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.912048.3%58 W · 62 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x351a…04c7backed Over16c289.75$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.361225%3 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+38.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4dd…39e4backed Under71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.695042%21 W · 29 L-6.8wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-27.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3f82…b06cbacked Under69c220.29$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.291838.9%7 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over30c214.89$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.471,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over14c207.59$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.822,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Under69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6214244.4%63 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Over23c186.56$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4229338.2%112 W · 181 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over14c185.42$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.892,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over17c170.58$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.491,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fcd…bf45backed Over31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504725.5%12 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid+5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7a0…2930backed Over31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa86d…af7bbacked Over31c156.26$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.44944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Over32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015645.5%71 W · 85 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56b2…b5c7backed Over32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508452.4%44 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33b9…359dbacked Over31c154.84$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90fe…b7b8backed Under69c154.38$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8616449.4%81 W · 83 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under74c152.26$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.841,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c16…4d41backed Over31c151.58$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.861225%3 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-42%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc3c…b218backed Over32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4811854.2%64 W · 54 L+9.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under68c149.98$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.691,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd169…8ff6backed Over32c147.04$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0517241.3%71 W · 101 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa898…71c1backed Over31c130.1$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.331533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2216…5a86backed Over31c114.52$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.52722.2%6 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc82e…de2abacked Over31c112.9$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351936.8%7 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick24cpaid-5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x330b…6e60backed Over32c109.38$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3524132.8%79 W · 162 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Over30c107.01$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.132837.2%122 W · 206 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4519…49e4backed Over31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314910.2%5 W · 44 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-61.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed Under69c99.84$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9517460.3%105 W · 69 L+14.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under69c94.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.142,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca77…d7a8backed Over27c92.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255839.7%23 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked Under69c84.11$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0726344.1%116 W · 147 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked Under69c83.6$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7978559.7%469 W · 316 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0195…1e21backed Over30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2544144%194 W · 247 L-0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Over30c81.36$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4166056.8%375 W · 285 L+34.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4681…dbecbacked Over32c80.78$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.853112.9%4 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-55.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under72c79.95$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0142554.4%231 W · 194 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over31c76$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5616344.2%72 W · 91 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.