Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cbc2f06d4222eb2f0ba677d55b6aca6c1a90d403c0d3bf68ace0511f1ba1efe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,941
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,758
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,941 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 6c | 31,485$1,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.12 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Over | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 219 | 37%81 W · 138 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 1c | 7,195$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.88 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Over | 7c | 5,125$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.47 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 5c | 3,543$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.82 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Over | 4c | 3,380$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.14 | 372 | 23.4%87 W · 285 L | -25.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 4c | 3,194$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.03 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 6c | 3,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked Over | 6c | 2,666$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.96 | 122 | 6.6%8 W · 114 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…6d4abacked Over | 2c | 2,500$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 5c | 2,230$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.12 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 6c | 2,051$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.53 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Over | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Over | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +220.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…7c86backed Over | 4c | 1,449$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.14 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Over | 5c | 1,320$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 6c | 1,133$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.52 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c1…9af2backed Over | 3c | 1,046$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -87.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 7c | 1,010$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.37 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Over | 6c | 999.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 471 | 27.8%131 W · 340 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8981…ce82backed Over | 4c | 886$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 98 | 30.6%30 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 3c | 800$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd8…f260backed Over | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 379 | 19.5%74 W · 305 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4850backed Over | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e63…0857backed Over | 4c | 709.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 4c | 625$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 438 | 19.2%84 W · 354 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Over | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7a…86cfbacked Over | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 234 | 29.1%68 W · 166 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 6c | 454.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…b89bbacked Over | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 522 | 17.4%91 W · 431 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Over | 7c | 385.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 229 | 19.2%44 W · 185 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9287…0098backed Over | 6c | 376$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 235 | 40.9%96 W · 139 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 4c | 351.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 719 | 39.1%281 W · 438 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 6c | 301.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Over | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 141 | 19.9%28 W · 113 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Over | 6c | 259.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 727 | 22.7%165 W · 562 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 6c | 222.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Over | 6c | 215.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 328 | 37.2%122 W · 206 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Over | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 235 | 28.1%66 W · 169 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…e868backed Over | 7c | 195$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 200 | 14.5%29 W · 171 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2f…06bebacked Over | 7c | 192.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 5.5this page
- Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 3.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 4.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 6.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 7.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 8.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceSpain won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Portugal (-2.5)Spain won
- Spread: Portugal (-3.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Spain (-3.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Spain (-4.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Spain (-5.5)Portugal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.