TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Croatia Open: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Matteo Arnaldi

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Matteo Arnaldiof Federico Agustin Gomez, Matteo Arnaldi
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$132,497
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$150,046

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,497 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x54ba…04e4backed Federico Agustin Gomez8c17,935$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38071729.8%214 W · 503 L-39.8wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Federico Agustin Gomez33c14,443$4,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,751.741,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Federico Agustin Gomez23c5,691$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,308.433,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Matteo Arnaldi77c3,871$2,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.431,26756.6%717 W · 550 L-18.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1db8…0ed7backed Matteo Arnaldi77c3,567$2,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.428350.6%42 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78cc…a081backed Federico Agustin Gomez8c3,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2403221.9%7 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick23cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6581…f4ddbacked Federico Agustin Gomez15c2,649$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.783053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Federico Agustin Gomez23c2,599$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.81,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Matteo Arnaldi77c2,500$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57552844.7%236 W · 292 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Federico Agustin Gomez15c2,449$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.354,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Federico Agustin Gomez23c1,703$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.985,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Federico Agustin Gomez24c1,628$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.726,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Federico Agustin Gomez31c1,344$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.11,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Federico Agustin Gomez23c1,288$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.171,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c70…caf0backed Matteo Arnaldi79c1,267$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.710470.2%73 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Federico Agustin Gomez21c1,107$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.472,17436.9%802 W · 1,372 L+39.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Federico Agustin Gomez8c1,071$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.728,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Federico Agustin Gomez8c881.3$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.912,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Federico Agustin Gomez14c874.76$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.993,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Matteo Arnaldi51c726.68$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.6811435.1%40 W · 74 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Matteo Arnaldi75c643.85$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.9693055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Federico Agustin Gomez8c634.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5042930.5%131 W · 298 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ce8…4dd6backed Matteo Arnaldi79c627.2$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.257950.9%295 W · 284 L+2.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Federico Agustin Gomez25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030542.6%130 W · 175 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Matteo Arnaldi77c383.38$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.181770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+35.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4d6…9357backed Matteo Arnaldi67c368.9$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.375971.2%42 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Federico Agustin Gomez3c366.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.941,04236.5%380 W · 662 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Federico Agustin Gomez24c358.12$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.422,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9455…7defbacked Federico Agustin Gomez6c320.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.996049.5%475 W · 485 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf8b…bff8backed Federico Agustin Gomez23c300$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6937238.2%142 W · 230 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Federico Agustin Gomez7c257.82$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.054,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Federico Agustin Gomez8c252.64$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7528835.1%101 W · 187 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed Federico Agustin Gomez8c251.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1544349%217 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Federico Agustin Gomez23c249.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.532333.7%109 W · 214 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x019a…f457backed Matteo Arnaldi77c246.75$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.7518557.8%107 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Federico Agustin Gomez9c215.23$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.386,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef9…11b4backed Matteo Arnaldi75c200.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.516467.7%111 W · 53 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Matteo Arnaldi77c191.69$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.091471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+67.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5ac6…e020backed Matteo Arnaldi77c180$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.434761.1%212 W · 135 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Federico Agustin Gomez9c176.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.472,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Federico Agustin Gomez25c153.85$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.461,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Federico Agustin Gomez26c150$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Matteo Arnaldi74c149.27$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2724159.3%143 W · 98 L-0.7wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Federico Agustin Gomez31c132.64$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7242042.6%179 W · 241 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Federico Agustin Gomez23c130$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.91,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe741…a9d1backed Matteo Arnaldi78c127.88$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8825948.6%126 W · 133 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Federico Agustin Gomez16c107.31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.39,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c0b…c814backed Federico Agustin Gomez45c103.74$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6738459.9%230 W · 154 L+29.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Matteo Arnaldi77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2341272.8%300 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6994…fc1fbacked Matteo Arnaldi55c98.74$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4310945.9%50 W · 59 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Matteo Arnaldi77c95.84$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.047349.3%36 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa8f…14d1backed Matteo Arnaldi67c92.62$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4724936.5%91 W · 158 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Matteo Arnaldi79c87.37$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7865652.1%342 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Matteo Arnaldi76c83.42$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.025651.8%29 W · 27 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+25.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x84e5…3fedbacked Matteo Arnaldi78c83.33$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.339367.7%63 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf595…fd9ebacked Matteo Arnaldi67c74.74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.746159%36 W · 25 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Federico Agustin Gomez24c70$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.848245.6%220 W · 262 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2262…21a1backed Federico Agustin Gomez26c68.83$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8176355.6%424 W · 339 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Federico Agustin Gomez17c63.1$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4391051%464 W · 446 L+23.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Matteo Arnaldi77c62.49$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.377146.5%33 W · 38 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Federico Agustin Gomez24c61.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.845751%233 W · 224 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x18a7…206cbacked Federico Agustin Gomez24c60$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.185637.7%323 W · 533 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Matteo Arnaldi77c54.55$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.552,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Federico Agustin Gomez22c53.02$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.93,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8920…9c0cbacked Matteo Arnaldi74c53$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7829347.4%139 W · 154 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c99…ebdcbacked Federico Agustin Gomez25c48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1213043.1%56 W · 74 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Matteo Arnaldi77c43.16$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.931656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Matteo Arnaldi74c42.54$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.061,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Matteo Arnaldi66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.388935.2%313 W · 576 L+1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Matteo Arnaldi66c30.29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.281,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x39a0…00a6backed Matteo Arnaldi76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.326254.8%34 W · 28 L-7.0wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked Matteo Arnaldi69c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7651942.6%221 W · 298 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa67…0ed7backed Matteo Arnaldi68c21.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.991662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked Matteo Arnaldi78c20.59$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5373648.1%354 W · 382 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb37…189abacked Matteo Arnaldi50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021451.9%111 W · 103 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x061a…5a89backed Matteo Arnaldi50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1052157%297 W · 224 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Matteo Arnaldi71c18.46$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.381,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc62f…1781backed Matteo Arnaldi71c14.85$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.3226664.7%172 W · 94 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.