TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,413,247
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,413,934

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,413,247 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 707 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4a6f…eb91backed Yes55c570,428$311,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311,049.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed No45c191,154$86,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105,134.72333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No48c165,103$79,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86,033.650149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Yes47c155,803$73,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,919.8310450%52 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No49c128,001$62,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,009.524,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No49c91,328$44,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,749.921,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes42c75,134$31,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,865.9715034.7%52 W · 98 L+0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No50c49,097$24,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,704.032,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes51c43,684$22,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,278.949743.3%42 W · 55 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No49c41,956$20,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,461.1914146.8%66 W · 75 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes37c35,236$13,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,123.0756439.2%221 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No46c34,036$15,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,379.365337.7%20 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No46c22,806$10,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,321.786839.7%27 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes48c18,252$8,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,690.619840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No55c17,774$9,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,014.681,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No53c15,912$8,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,446.773,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No51c14,052$7,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,948.5213744.5%61 W · 76 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c0a…a9bebacked No49c11,000$5,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,610333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed No53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,7002166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x08f0…b809backed No46c10,000$4,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,415.222356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked No54c9,999$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,599.75253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Yes52c9,563$4,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,972.582951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No49c9,000$4,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,619.9711154.1%60 W · 51 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes32c8,938$2,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,854.045230.8%16 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No45c8,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,399.972650%13 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b0e…6257backed No52c7,428$3,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,565.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked No52c7,090$3,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,403.08850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5438…8206backed No50c7,008$3,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5042100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+64.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No61c6,602$4,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,572.311,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No45c6,566$2,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,591.4214951%76 W · 73 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No45c6,410$2,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,501.7515459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…abcebacked No49c6,307$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,186.581457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No49c6,016$2,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,089.3421322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No55c6,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,70015952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No59c6,000$3,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4605853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No59c6,000$3,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4605750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No59c6,000$3,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4605749.1%28 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Yes50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No59c6,000$3,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4606051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Yes46c5,756$2,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,647.541729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No53c5,729$3,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,692.8613645.6%62 W · 74 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3c7…c83bbacked No51c5,570$2,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,747.861442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-34.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc294…570ebacked Yes56c5,357$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0003240.6%13 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed Yes45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2503441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-28.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No53c4,769$2,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,226.6935442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed No49c4,500$2,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,294.991952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes51c4,385$2,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,236.379348.4%45 W · 48 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No45c4,291$1,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,360.057653.9%41 W · 35 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+28.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed Yes52c4,200$2,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,183.927656.6%43 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x70d8…a237backed No55c4,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.942962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes58c3,790$2,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,180.454665.2%30 W · 16 L+8.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+52.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes54c3,704$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0008343.4%36 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6581…f4ddbacked Yes52c3,646$1,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,895.91540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Yes44c3,600$1,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,594.286431.3%20 W · 44 L-7.5wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-37.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked No55c3,571$1,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,607.142842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfe3…c693backed Yes58c3,500$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,030714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-62.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb7b…3051backed Yes52c3,405$1,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,785.66771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+90.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No51c3,298$1,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,622.5363757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No55c3,202$1,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,444.2640357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed No47c3,192$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,692.448251.2%42 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003627.8%10 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed No47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5908246.3%38 W · 44 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0075…5f10backed Yes52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5602240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed No54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.996640.9%27 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.985942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+30.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No58c2,986$1,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.3111054.5%60 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes45c2,956$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,33049447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed No55c2,879$1,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,295.52544%11 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No50c2,844$1,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,421.1383650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa2b…5dfebacked No57c2,785$1,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.153548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked Yes51c2,706$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3804845.8%22 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09d3…3128backed Yes45c2,357$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.654042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed No45c2,222$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.224100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed No49c2,200$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1227851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes45c2,150$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.515516.1%25 W · 130 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes46c2,126$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.0110938.5%42 W · 67 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-3.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No47c2,100$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1136764.2%43 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7670…43b9backed Yes52c2,100$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,09210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes53c2,086$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.799944.4%44 W · 55 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes45c2,059$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.6721254.2%115 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed No48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.961442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No50c1,989$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.7132545.2%147 W · 178 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No53c1,953$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.5320159.2%119 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes31c1,928$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60023727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed No41c1,917$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.111225%3 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-45.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x80b4…a52ebacked Yes24c1,913$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4584240.5%17 W · 25 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+40%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4607…d542backed Yes53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+41.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb30d…5cf1backed Yes54c1,845$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.01875%6 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8d…acc4backed No49c1,832$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.671050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No42c1,832$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.929561.1%58 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No54c1,687$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.9911258%65 W · 47 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes61c1,535$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93010556.2%59 W · 46 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked No53c1,533$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.571752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No48c1,522$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.3292345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No55c1,500$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67518650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed No56c1,500$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6606546.2%30 W · 35 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed No59c1,500$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6154850%24 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked No55c1,475$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.843253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08f9…c741backed Yes18c1,452$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2582222.7%5 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick15cpaid+122.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc079…8accbacked No49c1,441$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.913946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.