TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$193,510
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$148,276

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,510 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes26c19,542$5,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,086.691030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes26c15,003$3,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,900.736127.9%17 W · 44 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-41.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed No73c13,378$9,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,642.114959.2%29 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes30c9,424$2,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,784.454,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes27c8,307$2,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,267.881,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes30c6,740$2,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,004.483611.1%4 W · 32 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-64%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes29c6,607$1,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,916.091942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+27.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No76c6,315$4,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,511.9613844.9%62 W · 76 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes23c5,129$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.1992345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes23c4,833$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.6660147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d46…3248backed Yes15c4,495$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.2520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes26c4,225$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.6783444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No75c3,795$2,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.2957139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Yes10c3,770$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3776839.7%27 W · 41 L+12.9wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+118.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xc198…6d2cbacked Yes26c3,592$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9471361.5%8 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick37cpaid+93.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes24c3,406$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.391,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No71c3,303$2,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.633,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe54…3eddbacked Yes26c2,938$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-38.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No74c2,400$1,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6249457.4%54 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No75c2,333$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.339666.7%64 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes23c2,117$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.2358548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes1c2,100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217553.3%40 W · 35 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4bc6…a5bdbacked Yes20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed No74c2,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5203073.3%22 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes26c2,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.9919255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x287a…02d2backed No72c1,931$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.753476.5%26 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No74c1,742$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.8840357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes19c1,727$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.0113658.1%79 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes19c1,715$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.2321322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…d922backed Yes8c1,606$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.35825%2 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+135.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No74c1,600$1,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41611054.5%60 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x361f…5edabacked Yes31c1,572$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcff0…fa1abacked Yes9c1,400$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12670%0 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeaf3…e802backed Yes33c1,400$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-71.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes33c1,212$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40012020%24 W · 96 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No74c1,200$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3127358.9%43 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fe4…d0f1backed No73c1,137$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick77cpaid+31%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes9c1,098$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4912823.4%30 W · 98 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed Yes25c1,023$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.752240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Yes26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2604837.5%18 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed No74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2608246.3%38 W · 44 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Yes27c999.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2703743.2%16 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+24.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes27c950.56$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.6583650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No74c946$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.9620159.2%119 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes24c928.53$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22023727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f70…ce77backed Yes9c900$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8190%0 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked No74c819.36$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.032766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes26c805.45$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.3368450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No74c800$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20812863.3%81 W · 47 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No74c700$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18210760.7%65 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x734e…5ba1backed Yes33c684.27$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.811338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No74c679.98$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.7648251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes25c646.98$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.7428045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No74c628$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.2815459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No74c600$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15610558.1%61 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes31c555.47$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.3810556.2%59 W · 46 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes26c538.46$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14013426.1%35 W · 99 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x845a…37acbacked Yes9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4550%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ad…795fbacked Yes9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick9cpaid+170.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57f7…ae57backed Yes9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451822.2%4 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick16cpaid+81.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x88b3…3d44backed Yes9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick11cpaid+52.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes20c499.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.882536%9 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+39.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No74c480$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.89058.9%53 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes23c478.22$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9918842%79 W · 109 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No73c456$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.126360.3%38 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x353c…01d9backed Yes27c444.44$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes26c421.36$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.9464457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No74c400$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10413163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xedd1…45a9backed Yes9c400$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36742.9%3 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick12cpaid+315.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No74c400$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10412066.7%80 W · 40 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes27c372.86$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.672,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Yes28c360$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.86225.8%16 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes18c354.68$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.320241.6%84 W · 118 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes37c326.84$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9233734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes5c308$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.420142.8%86 W · 115 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x950a…71e4backed Yes23c304.35$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes18c300.67$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.79931.3%31 W · 68 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-51.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes22c300$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669946.5%46 W · 53 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Yes7c300$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21442.3%1 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-50.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7812159.5%72 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7810257.8%59 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes25c299.92$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9848153.6%258 W · 223 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Yes33c295.3$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.452330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No74c280$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.89660.4%58 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes12c278$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3645841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d0d…0a99backed Yes26c252.69$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.77838.5%30 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x013d…0574backed Yes6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151315.4%2 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick4cpaid+861.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0580…f78bbacked Yes6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1550%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Yes6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15306.7%2 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+50%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Yes6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153013.3%4 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+350.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No74c240$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.49556.8%54 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No74c240$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.48758.6%51 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No74c240$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.47856.4%44 W · 34 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8847…fc98backed No75c219.69$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.922979.3%23 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick66cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x58be…2517backed Yes30c216.63$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645825.9%15 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes26c211$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.367635.5%27 W · 49 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes32c209.98$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1915442.2%65 W · 89 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed No71c209.78$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.74866.7%32 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No73c200.21$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0622246.8%104 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5417159.1%101 W · 70 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.