TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$362,906
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$386,747

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $362,906 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 344 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xead1…c76abacked Yes33c93,995$30,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,884.9624044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No67c57,910$38,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,933.4252550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No67c49,353$33,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,099.273256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No73c46,949$34,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,468.821,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No68c33,556$22,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,73815455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No67c29,228$19,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,549.221143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd26b…3ad5backed Yes33c17,689$5,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,837.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No67c11,870$7,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,917.084940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No68c10,569$7,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,407.8287344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No67c9,000$6,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,969.985354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce7a…75d7backed Yes33c8,800$2,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked No67c8,500$5,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8051100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No74c7,347$5,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,902.5971140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes32c6,891$2,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,213.264841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes33c6,020$1,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,986.481457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b1c…6535backed No67c5,200$3,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,713.951258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+70.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes31c4,839$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5006349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02b6…fbbbbacked No67c4,590$3,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes27c4,369$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2009447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes4c4,107$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.54723.4%11 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No66c4,000$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.994057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b73…7421backed Yes31c3,739$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.23540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No67c3,333$2,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.894468.2%30 W · 14 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+38.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed Yes9c3,282$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes32c3,050$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97610521.9%23 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d99…8c95backed No66c2,850$1,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No67c2,686$1,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.6812957.4%74 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed No67c2,617$1,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.551952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+36.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x751b…90fbbacked Yes12c2,613$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30950%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdf5a…bf0abacked Yes6c2,500$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1381080%8 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe66b…91a9backed Yes4c2,495$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a16…1050backed Yes33c2,288$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No67c2,283$1,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.2328448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No67c2,267$1,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.4138056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Yes7c2,036$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1421553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa569…08dfbacked Yes34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Yes4c2,000$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.462142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6607549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.986141%25 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed5d…2668backed Yes11c1,845$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1952630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes32c1,837$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.33520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…3d68backed Yes26c1,763$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No76c1,712$1,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.1515048.7%73 W · 77 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes33c1,694$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5593650%18 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65f2…c6f5backed Yes32c1,563$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No69c1,518$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.713348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes31c1,500$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46517329.5%51 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Yes34c1,471$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.31per pick51cpaid+59.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x70af…26fdbacked Yes34c1,471$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Yes32c1,300$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4162343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a26…0498backed Yes31c1,290$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick42cpaid-74.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes33c1,212$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007429.7%22 W · 52 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1d4c…a700backed Yes33c1,212$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No68c1,169$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.1520150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes32c1,094$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.062748.1%13 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick40cpaid-4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa7f…bffcbacked Yes32c1,094$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes18c1,000$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.795320.8%11 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Yes33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3301850%9 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5b4…2607backed Yes33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b02…ae87backed Yes32c939.05$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34f6…eab4backed Yes32c937.5$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes32c937.5$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes32c800$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2563148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes32c769.59$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.551338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes9c692.78$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.351315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-54%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004632.6%15 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0866…a1d5backed Yes20c617.25$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.522060%12 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3d…189dbacked Yes33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Yes33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002548%12 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eb8…902abacked Yes33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-61.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa69a…3360backed Yes9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick10cpaid+119.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24b8…0e55backed Yes22c551.69$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-63.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Yes33c550$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.52839.3%11 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…2b47backed Yes33c545.7$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.08560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb08…06acbacked Yes33c545.45$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-66.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad19…a7adbacked Yes34c537.76$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.845046%23 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Yes31c517.26$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No68c515.14$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.0229949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes32c514$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.4817043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed No68c503$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.892548%12 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes33c500.01$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16533148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Yes34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x87bb…01b9backed Yes32c468.75$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes33c463.64$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1532231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Yes31c456.71$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.581154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+28%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes34c450$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.52030%6 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes32c448.54$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.9126845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb0…fafcbacked Yes9c444.44$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bac…d1f4backed Yes4c441.27$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x516f…3dc8backed Yes34c441.18$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2d…54cfbacked Yes31c433.95$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.18425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Yes7c423.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302524%6 W · 19 L-4.5wins-0.18per pick42cpaid-47.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes33c414.99$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.9521144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b47…25d3backed Yes34c401.06$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.36425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes16c400$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656320.6%13 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-43.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeda4…d5dbbacked Yes6c399.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.21266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes34c382.35$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1309641.7%40 W · 56 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes33c374.55$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.623250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed No70c372.34$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.71060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked Yes31c350$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.53636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.