NBA · resolved market
Spread: Raptors (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97ab26c76e6ccab5eb7ee939602cb0cbb4028c50058183816915aed9c8c7176e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Raptors, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,618,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,618,213 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Raptors | 51c | 596,238$303,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292,549.4 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Suns | 50c | 578,145$288,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288,312.9 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Suns | 49c | 541,110$265,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265,144.01 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Raptors | 50c | 381,082$191,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189,740.89 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Raptors | 50c | 150,000$75,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,000 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Raptors | 51c | 125,000$63,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,250 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Suns | 50c | 100,000$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Raptors | 50c | 76,124$37,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,127.61 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Suns | 50c | 49,888$24,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,944.21 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Suns | 49c | 48,527$23,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,770.78 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Suns | 49c | 38,383$18,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,807.86 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors | 51c | 15,447$7,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,635.61 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Suns | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Suns | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,650 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Raptors | 50c | 10,505$5,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,249.27 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Suns | 49c | 10,373$5,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,054 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Suns | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Raptors | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Suns | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.84 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Raptors | 49c | 8,430$4,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,299.3 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Suns | 49c | 8,163$4,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,020.5 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Raptors | 50c | 7,265$3,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,655.18 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Suns | 50c | 7,188$3,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,585.68 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Raptors | 51c | 6,773$3,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,350.77 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Raptors | 51c | 6,500$3,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,185 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Raptors | 50c | 6,443$3,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,221.34 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Raptors | 50c | 5,821$2,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,910.49 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Suns | 54c | 5,777$3,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,093.61 | 161 | 62.7%101 W · 60 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Raptors | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Raptors | 50c | 4,721$2,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,363.8 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Raptors | 50c | 4,537$2,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,273.01 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Raptors | 52c | 4,240$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,035.18 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Raptors | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.63 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Suns | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Raptors | 49c | 3,897$1,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987.47 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Raptors | 51c | 3,880$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.05 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Suns | 49c | 3,869$1,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,895.58 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Raptors | 51c | 3,482$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.98 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Suns | 50c | 3,436$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.05 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Raptors | 51c | 3,347$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.08 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Suns | 49c | 3,333$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.17 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Raptors | 51c | 2,940$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.44 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Raptors | 49c | 2,600$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…1968backed Raptors | 51c | 2,230$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.24 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Raptors | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Raptors | 51c | 1,961$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.09 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Raptors | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x859c…38e4backed Suns | 49c | 1,743$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.23 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Raptors | 48c | 1,726$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.34 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Raptors | 50c | 1,705$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.89 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Suns | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Raptors | 50c | 1,386$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.4 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Suns | 48c | 1,369$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.18 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Suns | 49c | 1,366$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.39 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73e…f800backed Raptors | 52c | 1,346$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Suns | 48c | 1,255$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Suns | 51c | 1,225$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Raptors | 51c | 1,115$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.85 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x672a…abb7backed Raptors | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Raptors | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Suns | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Raptors | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93e7…cc0cbacked Suns | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Suns | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Raptors | 51c | 977.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.25 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Raptors | 50c | 896.19$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.72 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Raptors | 49c | 835.86$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.29 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Raptors | 51c | 666.72$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.98 | 236 | 55.5%131 W · 105 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Suns | 51c | 603.92$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Suns | 50c | 600.13$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.63 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…d58cbacked Suns | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69de…5106backed Raptors | 51c | 570$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Suns | 50c | 566.94$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.25 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9021…0c62backed Suns | 51c | 555.1$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.1 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Suns | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Suns | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked Suns | 50c | 458.5$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Suns | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa028…0031backed Raptors | 50c | 398.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.01 | 306 | 54.6%167 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf4…62c7backed Raptors | 51c | 397.47$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.06 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Raptors | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 190 | 54.7%104 W · 86 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…cf12backed Suns | 51c | 392$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…4610backed Suns | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Suns | 50c | 380.26$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.97 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x190f…01f3backed Raptors | 50c | 320$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…62cbbacked Raptors | 50c | 313.24$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.25 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9325…adafbacked Suns | 50c | 304$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8e…cfbcbacked Raptors | 50c | 300.67$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.04 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Suns | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Suns | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Raptors | 52c | 290.01$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.01 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7280…65d2backed Suns | 62c | 267.32$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.02 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -42%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Raptors | 51c | 251.7$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.46 | 140 | 53.6%75 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Suns | 51c | 249.44$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.21 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Suns | 50c | 248.41$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.72 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…ec56backed Suns | 49c | 237.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.24 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…b1debacked Suns | 51c | 237.82$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.29 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Raptors | 50c | 232.45$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.23 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac9…4092backed Raptors | 50c | 229.41$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.41 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdb…02c3backed Raptors | 50c | 220$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Raptors (-5.5)this page
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jakob Poeltl: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Jalen Green: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Royce O'Neale: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Raptors (-3.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-4.5)Raptors won
- Suns vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- Suns vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Suns vs. Raptors: O/U 217.5Over won
- Suns vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5Over won
- Suns vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5Over won
- Suns vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.