NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Raptors: O/U 217.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa185c55032e8c5c28bbb26bb7dd8f251c2d040a1950c445c96a2a660b0ce7f2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,366 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Under | 43c | 36,814$15,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,774.21 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 56c | 12,978$7,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,691 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 57c | 10,053$5,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,322.78 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 57c | 7,343$4,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,157.49 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under | 47c | 5,868$2,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,758.04 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 57c | 3,525$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.16 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 55c | 3,226$1,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.15 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae3a…bdd7backed Over | 51c | 2,360$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 1,531$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.2 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 53c | 1,485$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.95 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Under | 48c | 1,458$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Under | 47c | 1,293$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.71 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 43c | 1,221$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.97 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 43c | 1,200$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.73 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 57c | 768.36$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.39 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 56c | 669.25$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.1 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 48c | 629.21$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.64 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Over | 51c | 616.76$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.21 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 44c | 568.28$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.04 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 57c | 530$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.06 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6eb…5402backed Over | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 52c | 381.98$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.35 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…d5a3backed Over | 54c | 278.8$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.25 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Under | 46c | 261.14$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.22 | 234 | 46.2%108 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Over | 56c | 232.14$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.14 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 231.46$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.84 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 182.28$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.85 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 56c | 173.21$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.21 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked Under | 44c | 135.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.68 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 55c | 122.68$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.68 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 46c | 106.37$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 104.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.27 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed Under | 44c | 91.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 57c | 90$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Over | 57c | 87.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 58c | 83.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe86…6763backed Over | 58c | 66.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over | 57c | 60.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 47c | 56.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9d…9e33backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 116 | 63.8%74 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Over | 57c | 52.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc332…118fbacked Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 53c | 50.76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 384 | 64.3%247 W · 137 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…b167backed Over | 53c | 39.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9985…dad8backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec3b…fbabbacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x434d…fba4backed Over | 53c | 33.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x353f…bdd4backed Over | 54c | 31.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…cb26backed Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fe…0289backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…cfa5backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 48c | 25.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c7…6fa8backed Under | 40c | 24.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…5a62backed Over | 57c | 24.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 176 | 60.8%107 W · 69 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce94…4b35backed Over | 57c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Under | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 97 | 60.8%59 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bc…a4c6backed Over | 63c | 15.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Raptors: O/U 217.5this page
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jakob Poeltl: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Jalen Green: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Royce O'Neale: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Raptors (-3.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-4.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-5.5)Raptors won
- Suns vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- Suns vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Suns vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5Over won
- Suns vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5Over won
- Suns vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.