TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$340,694

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $340,694 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 364 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbc43…96d3backed Over49c20,000$9,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,199.996654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under46c11,904$5,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,516.559,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over55c10,570$5,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,756.543542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69eb…fa92backed Under51c7,843$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0001233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x051f…efd3backed Under51c5,882$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+41%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Under51c5,002$2,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,551.0225049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2501,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x941e…ac1cbacked Under50c4,616$2,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,308250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4832…f856backed Under50c4,610$2,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,305250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c7…f673backed Over51c4,525$2,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,217.25250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3d…9236backed Over51c4,455$2,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,182.952100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8738…290dbacked Over51c4,310$2,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,111.92100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a0d…2ecfbacked Under50c4,241$2,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,120.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c4,186$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,086.421,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x002c…a4f2backed Under50c4,011$2,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,005.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f9d…5da3backed Under50c4,010$2,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c26…ae3abacked Under51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,040728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-40.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Over52c3,857$2,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,851.4260351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under45c3,787$1,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,701.726,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b6d…da9cbacked Over51c3,704$1,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,814.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91e1…8275backed Under50c3,616$1,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39ef…cf41backed Under50c3,611$1,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,805.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under51c3,467$1,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,76834854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8499…f35bbacked Under50c3,415$1,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,707.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbd4…58c4backed Over51c3,404$1,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,667.962100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ba6…d82fbacked Over51c3,401$1,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.49250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5e7…d442backed Under50c3,270$1,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,635250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfbd…b153backed Under51c3,213$1,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,638.6320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa51e…6160backed Under50c3,211$1,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,605.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3307…745cbacked Under50c3,185$1,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,592.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe507…4deebacked Over51c3,177$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,556.732100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under45c3,144$1,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,406.364,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb1f…90fabacked Over51c3,091$1,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.592100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd50…aa90backed Under50c3,012$1,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,506250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3002…0867backed Over51c3,003$1,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,471.47250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f9f…4e34backed Under49c3,002$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,470.9820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x288c…1145backed Under51c3,002$1,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09f9…ca09backed Under49c2,998$1,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.02250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2186…0124backed Under49c2,991$1,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,465.59250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92d1…3da0backed Over50c2,991$1,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,495.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54fc…7387backed Over51c2,987$1,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,463.63250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc20…bdd3backed Over49c2,984$1,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,521.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x071b…ea53backed Under50c2,980$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,490250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc756…d19fbacked Under49c2,978$1,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.2220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb68…4e9bbacked Over50c2,976$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4882100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8a1…fd8fbacked Under49c2,970$1,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,455.3250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf27c…c3e5backed Under50c2,965$1,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,482.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38ea…1590backed Over50c2,958$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4792100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb140…dd2fbacked Over51c2,954$1,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,447.462100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80da…1362backed Under49c2,943$1,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,442.0720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1aa…a7efbacked Over49c2,937$1,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,497.87250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79c7…95f0backed Under50c2,935$1,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,467.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c56…6469backed Over51c2,933$1,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,437.17250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x814a…99aabacked Under50c2,921$1,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78f5…711bbacked Under50c2,921$1,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd994…b1eabacked Under50c2,894$1,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe09b…ea0ebacked Over51c2,865$1,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,403.852100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d57…4ea8backed Under50c2,860$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,430250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x039e…36dbbacked Over49c2,859$1,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,458.092100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43e4…cf66backed Under49c2,856$1,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1bb…9cc5backed Under49c2,856$1,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,403.3720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5459…35c5backed Under51c2,853$1,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,455.03250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3503…17e3backed Under51c2,853$1,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,455.03250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf38…1062backed Over50c2,835$1,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,417.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1900…c56ebacked Over50c2,835$1,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,417.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ce…ef7bbacked Under50c2,823$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cc5…204ebacked Over50c2,812$1,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4062100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42eb…bf6dbacked Under50c2,811$1,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,405.550%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc138…a119backed Under49c2,810$1,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,376.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf961…3ef9backed Over51c2,808$1,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,375.922100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc65…401fbacked Over51c2,807$1,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,375.432100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae1…3fc4backed Over50c2,804$1,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4022100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad7c…5774backed Over49c2,782$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,418.822100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92d2…a8fdbacked Over49c2,771$1,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,413.212100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd96e…74bfbacked Over49c2,769$1,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,412.19250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd64…74d4backed Under49c2,765$1,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,354.85250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0115…515dbacked Over50c2,758$1,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3792100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ac6…2266backed Over51c2,754$1,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.46250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4752…e6c3backed Over50c2,754$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,377250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa9…8fcabacked Over51c2,748$1,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.522100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bee…f6cabacked Over50c2,747$1,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,373.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6988…0e6fbacked Over51c2,743$1,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.072100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4e3…f645backed Over50c2,736$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc137…ccd4backed Under49c2,734$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.6620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ef9…3953backed Over51c2,732$1,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,338.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b0b…2f32backed Over50c2,725$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,362.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77c8…6f5cbacked Over50c2,714$1,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3572100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x129e…eedebacked Over50c2,703$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,351.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03fd…290bbacked Over50c2,703$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,351.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7d7…8ac4backed Over50c2,692$1,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x318c…d4c1backed Over50c2,691$1,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,345.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2850…d5fdbacked Under50c2,682$1,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,34120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc676…e1d6backed Over50c2,681$1,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,340.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe12e…ab9dbacked Over51c2,669$1,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.81250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa54b…3457backed Over51c2,658$1,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,302.422100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x027b…4f1dbacked Under49c2,646$1,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,296.54250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05fb…480abacked Over51c2,643$1,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,295.072100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb1b…8984backed Under50c2,643$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,321.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8d2…7e32backed Under51c2,639$1,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,345.8920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a54…0f1abacked Under49c2,635$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.1520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.