NBA · resolved market
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98c5c7cc04d94e5cfe514d811c66d81f3bee05dc8acd2d92aea673f368558d1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Raptors, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $848,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $848,942 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 356 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Suns | 46c | 521,600$239,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239,936 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Raptors | 54c | 521,250$281,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239,775.05 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Raptors | 52c | 25,000$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,999.98 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Suns | 48c | 16,918$8,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,108.79 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Suns | 50c | 13,492$6,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,681.1 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Suns | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Raptors | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,699.96 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Suns | 47c | 9,629$4,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,569.56 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Raptors | 50c | 8,096$4,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,047.82 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Raptors | 54c | 5,500$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,529.99 | 209 | 45.5%95 W · 114 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Suns | 45c | 5,337$2,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,401.55 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…09b9backed Raptors | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7954…b49ebacked Suns | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ff…cfc3backed Suns | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Raptors | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.96 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81dc…4733backed Raptors | 52c | 4,808$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Suns | 48c | 4,701$2,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,255.18 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…b730backed Raptors | 52c | 4,492$2,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,156.19 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Suns | 45c | 4,336$1,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,952.74 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Raptors | 52c | 4,004$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.71 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Raptors | 55c | 4,001$2,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.26 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Raptors | 55c | 3,951$2,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.95 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…a5a4backed Raptors | 53c | 3,741$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.26 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 49c | 3,244$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.88 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9995backed Suns | 49c | 3,236$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,585.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Suns | 45c | 3,230$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.39 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Raptors | 52c | 3,000$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Raptors | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.98 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb605…86e5backed Raptors | 51c | 2,950$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeacb…7910backed Raptors | 51c | 2,610$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a14…e73abacked Raptors | 51c | 2,565$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ece…7eeabacked Suns | 49c | 2,550$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…6318backed Suns | 49c | 2,525$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…90f4backed Suns | 49c | 2,518$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…2ed2backed Suns | 48c | 2,513$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a67…eeddbacked Raptors | 51c | 2,511$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ae…7a14backed Raptors | 51c | 2,505$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5732…b393backed Suns | 49c | 2,474$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…e953backed Suns | 48c | 2,455$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Suns | 46c | 2,449$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.35 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…4b82backed Suns | 49c | 2,428$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa456…8dd9backed Suns | 49c | 2,420$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa915…1d37backed Raptors | 51c | 2,415$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…a2abbacked Raptors | 51c | 2,414$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5e…ced9backed Suns | 49c | 2,414$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda3…f85fbacked Suns | 48c | 2,412$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Suns | 52c | 2,378$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.52 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3678…5a02backed Suns | 49c | 2,366$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbae9…b628backed Raptors | 52c | 2,320$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…d374backed Raptors | 52c | 2,314$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…dbddbacked Suns | 49c | 2,288$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Suns | 47c | 2,269$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.51 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e12…12cabacked Suns | 49c | 2,269$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…c634backed Raptors | 52c | 2,236$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d0…8858backed Raptors | 51c | 2,236$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd9…b36fbacked Suns | 49c | 2,234$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf26e…14e2backed Suns | 49c | 2,233$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…9b54backed Suns | 49c | 2,217$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6652…664dbacked Suns | 49c | 2,215$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6965…4ab9backed Raptors | 51c | 2,203$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb223…486dbacked Raptors | 51c | 2,201$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…f0debacked Suns | 49c | 2,190$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…62b0backed Raptors | 51c | 2,174$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfd…186fbacked Raptors | 51c | 2,156$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x129e…eedebacked Raptors | 52c | 2,152$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf94d…24d1backed Raptors | 51c | 2,144$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…7864backed Raptors | 51c | 2,141$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6a…af9dbacked Suns | 48c | 2,136$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…1893backed Raptors | 51c | 2,121$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…5192backed Raptors | 52c | 2,105$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…1762backed Raptors | 51c | 2,102$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e4…74cbbacked Suns | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb59f…e35dbacked Raptors | 52c | 2,100$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb7…d954backed Suns | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66d0…b004backed Raptors | 52c | 2,100$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6a…9c2ebacked Suns | 49c | 2,086$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e4…cf66backed Suns | 49c | 2,073$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Suns | 48c | 2,063$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f2…efc5backed Suns | 49c | 2,062$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d8…71bdbacked Suns | 49c | 2,058$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc40…5e6abacked Suns | 49c | 2,055$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac6…2266backed Suns | 49c | 2,052$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x496d…ea9dbacked Suns | 49c | 2,024$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d4…38babacked Raptors | 51c | 2,022$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2593…2226backed Raptors | 51c | 2,020$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…1a83backed Suns | 49c | 2,016$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…53a5backed Suns | 49c | 2,015$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa9…8fcabacked Raptors | 51c | 2,009$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7071…b006backed Raptors | 51c | 2,001$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Suns | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.01 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5270…f334backed Suns | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55f8…b2d9backed Suns | 49c | 1,999$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec7d…c858backed Raptors | 51c | 1,988$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc137…ccd4backed Suns | 49c | 1,976$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7060…2454backed Suns | 48c | 1,966$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc943…7890backed Raptors | 51c | 1,966$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac60…8404backed Suns | 49c | 1,955$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf78b…8142backed Raptors | 51c | 1,955$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…60afbacked Suns | 49c | 1,955$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe12e…ab9dbacked Suns | 49c | 1,952$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Raptors (-4.5)this page
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jakob Poeltl: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Jalen Green: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Royce O'Neale: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Raptors (-3.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-5.5)Raptors won
- Suns vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- Suns vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Suns vs. Raptors: O/U 217.5Over won
- Suns vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5Over won
- Suns vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5Over won
- Suns vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.