TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Raptors (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Raptorsof Raptors, Suns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,637

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,637 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x72b4…7d67backed Suns44c21,593$9,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,500.9130845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Suns46c17,310$7,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,985.5874748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Raptors58c16,685$9,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,007.6817251.7%89 W · 83 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Raptors54c16,464$8,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,576.541,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Suns42c12,935$5,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,487.926,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Suns42c10,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Raptors54c9,833$5,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,523.429055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Suns46c9,640$4,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,434.2924744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Raptors56c6,410$3,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,820.41,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Raptors56c5,921$3,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,605.611,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Suns43c4,621$2,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,006.148,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Raptors54c3,884$2,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,794.569,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Raptors56c3,368$1,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,481.951,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff1c…0555backed Raptors55c2,623$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.352100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x279c…88bfbacked Suns45c2,549$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,147.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Suns43c2,546$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.7835744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Suns42c2,405$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.852,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd965…d682backed Suns45c2,199$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.55250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f59…2c56backed Raptors55c2,022$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.92100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b90…05cdbacked Suns45c1,956$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fd8…93f6backed Suns45c1,956$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc09e…bed1backed Raptors55c1,902$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.92100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc082…0316backed Raptors55c1,780$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8012100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x918b…ce4cbacked Raptors55c1,755$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x705e…10f3backed Raptors55c1,702$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf58…e1aebacked Suns45c1,699$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.5520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Raptors57c1,530$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.964651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1203…794ebacked Suns45c1,425$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.2520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Suns48c1,167$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.94,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Suns42c1,100$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4621,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Raptors57c925.03$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.23,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Suns44c735.84$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.294,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Raptors58c674.1$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.121,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Raptors56c496.83$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.8347651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Raptors55c445.48$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.061,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x696d…f89dbacked Suns47c399.99$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1869853.1%52 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe393…f016backed Raptors53c399.99$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18814059.3%83 W · 57 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6abc…bd1bbacked Raptors40c399.85$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.4614549%71 W · 74 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70ef…e25dbacked Raptors53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.367841%32 W · 46 L-8.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Raptors47c345.28$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1832,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dc4…e31bbacked Raptors58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-13.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Suns47c318.55$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.041,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0e3…c09fbacked Suns45c276.29$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.336953.6%37 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Raptors56c273.74$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.4458450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b2…4cebbacked Suns42c256.93$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.914327.9%12 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Suns42c217.6$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.3919050.5%96 W · 94 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Suns42c203.35$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.4119135.6%68 W · 123 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors56c181.97$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.074,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93f1…b99dbacked Raptors55c181.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.714466%95 W · 49 L+17.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Raptors49c178.53$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.5323446.2%108 W · 126 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Suns43c165$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9556547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f10…74f6backed Suns46c159$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.14475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+34.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf41…fe4dbacked Suns46c155$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-33.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ac8…9e67backed Raptors53c143$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.0318543.2%80 W · 105 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Raptors43c124.49$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.292,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x73ca…8ac1backed Suns47c123$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.812055%11 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfda…20c0backed Raptors58c120.69$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.691163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Suns42c118.73$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8772648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Suns42c112.91$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5839943.1%172 W · 227 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Suns62c111.16$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.412,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Raptors54c108.63$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.881,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a2e…3ef0backed Suns49c102.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026345.6%120 W · 143 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x699c…5dc1backed Raptors55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452050%10 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Raptors59c98.31$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.311,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Suns42c94.03$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.493,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Suns42c93.86$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4214047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45d2…22fbbacked Raptors56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2911348.7%55 W · 58 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Raptors51c77.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9323348.9%114 W · 119 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdd5…46b6backed Raptors54c77$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.42475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick41cpaid+111.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f1…d87bbacked Suns46c74.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5715752.2%82 W · 75 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Suns42c64.88$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2550948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Suns59c54.11$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1848739.8%194 W · 293 L-21.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fd3…afd8backed Suns46c52.83$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.32857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cbc…1d39backed Raptors58c52$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8411850.8%60 W · 58 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2079…c5c7backed Raptors58c50.6$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.251346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf10e…4c13backed Raptors53c49.85$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4320949.3%103 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b3…a1b4backed Raptors55c49$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Suns46c48.15$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.065,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Raptors54c45.62$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9980653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03e8…ccb6backed Raptors56c45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+71.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09bb…5cadbacked Raptors55c44$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f68…4132backed Suns47c42.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0213441.8%56 W · 78 L-7.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-6.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2702…a103backed Raptors53c41.51$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.517753.2%41 W · 36 L+8.1wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+20.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Raptors44c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.490357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f95…70a9backed Raptors55c38.24$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.216165.6%40 W · 21 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked Raptors53c37.81$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8125642.2%108 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Raptors56c36.94$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2564944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Suns49c36.68$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0529645.6%135 W · 161 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Raptors55c36.38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3891746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x514e…a604backed Raptors58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.489551.6%49 W · 46 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dc6…8f85backed Raptors54c34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.644100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Suns46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1527050%135 W · 135 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Raptors53c32$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0746447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Suns53c30.22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.023,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Suns45c29.4$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.233,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcc6…095fbacked Suns44c28.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.510545.7%48 W · 57 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x434d…fba4backed Raptors56c28.39$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.492454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fbc…89d8backed Raptors55c28.02$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.612857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed Suns42c24.1$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1225651.6%132 W · 124 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb6f…f414backed Suns49c22.94$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.226445.3%29 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.