NBA · resolved market
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cb7ef78900977051aedde9991d17134c499966a489c3843f4d15f31cb9e01a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Raptors, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,637 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Suns | 44c | 21,593$9,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,500.91 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Suns | 46c | 17,310$7,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,985.58 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Raptors | 58c | 16,685$9,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,007.68 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Raptors | 54c | 16,464$8,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,576.54 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Suns | 42c | 12,935$5,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,487.92 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Suns | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Raptors | 54c | 9,833$5,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,523.4 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Suns | 46c | 9,640$4,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,434.29 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Raptors | 56c | 6,410$3,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820.4 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Raptors | 56c | 5,921$3,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,605.61 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 43c | 4,621$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.14 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raptors | 54c | 3,884$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.56 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Raptors | 56c | 3,368$1,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.95 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff1c…0555backed Raptors | 55c | 2,623$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x279c…88bfbacked Suns | 45c | 2,549$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Suns | 43c | 2,546$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.78 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Suns | 42c | 2,405$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.85 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd965…d682backed Suns | 45c | 2,199$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f59…2c56backed Raptors | 55c | 2,022$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…05cdbacked Suns | 45c | 1,956$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…93f6backed Suns | 45c | 1,956$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc09e…bed1backed Raptors | 55c | 1,902$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc082…0316backed Raptors | 55c | 1,780$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x918b…ce4cbacked Raptors | 55c | 1,755$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x705e…10f3backed Raptors | 55c | 1,702$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…e1aebacked Suns | 45c | 1,699$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Raptors | 57c | 1,530$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.9 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1203…794ebacked Suns | 45c | 1,425$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Suns | 48c | 1,167$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.9 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Suns | 42c | 1,100$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Raptors | 57c | 925.03$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.2 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Suns | 44c | 735.84$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.29 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Raptors | 58c | 674.1$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.12 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Raptors | 56c | 496.83$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.83 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Raptors | 55c | 445.48$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.06 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x696d…f89dbacked Suns | 47c | 399.99$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…f016backed Raptors | 53c | 399.99$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 140 | 59.3%83 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6abc…bd1bbacked Raptors | 40c | 399.85$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.46 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked Raptors | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Raptors | 47c | 345.28$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…e31bbacked Raptors | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Suns | 47c | 318.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.04 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e3…c09fbacked Suns | 45c | 276.29$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.33 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Raptors | 56c | 273.74$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.44 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked Suns | 42c | 256.93$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.91 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Suns | 42c | 217.6$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.39 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Suns | 42c | 203.35$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.41 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors | 56c | 181.97$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.07 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked Raptors | 55c | 181.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.7 | 144 | 66%95 W · 49 L | +17.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Raptors | 49c | 178.53$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.53 | 234 | 46.2%108 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Suns | 43c | 165$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.95 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f10…74f6backed Suns | 46c | 159$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf41…fe4dbacked Suns | 46c | 155$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac8…9e67backed Raptors | 53c | 143$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.03 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Raptors | 43c | 124.49$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.29 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73ca…8ac1backed Suns | 47c | 123$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.81 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…20c0backed Raptors | 58c | 120.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Suns | 42c | 118.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Suns | 42c | 112.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Suns | 62c | 111.16$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.41 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Raptors | 54c | 108.63$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.88 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2e…3ef0backed Suns | 49c | 102.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 263 | 45.6%120 W · 143 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…5dc1backed Raptors | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Raptors | 59c | 98.31$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.31 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Suns | 42c | 94.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed Suns | 42c | 93.86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d2…22fbbacked Raptors | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Raptors | 51c | 77.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.93 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd5…46b6backed Raptors | 54c | 77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 41cpaid | +111.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…d87bbacked Suns | 46c | 74.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Suns | 42c | 64.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Suns | 59c | 54.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 487 | 39.8%194 W · 293 L | -21.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd3…afd8backed Suns | 46c | 52.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbc…1d39backed Raptors | 58c | 52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2079…c5c7backed Raptors | 58c | 50.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4c13backed Raptors | 53c | 49.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…a1b4backed Raptors | 55c | 49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Suns | 46c | 48.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Raptors | 54c | 45.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…ccb6backed Raptors | 56c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…5cadbacked Raptors | 55c | 44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…4132backed Suns | 47c | 42.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…a103backed Raptors | 53c | 41.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +8.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Raptors | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f95…70a9backed Raptors | 55c | 38.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Raptors | 53c | 37.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 256 | 42.2%108 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Raptors | 56c | 36.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Suns | 49c | 36.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Raptors | 55c | 36.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x514e…a604backed Raptors | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc6…8f85backed Raptors | 54c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Suns | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 270 | 50%135 W · 135 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Raptors | 53c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Suns | 53c | 30.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Suns | 45c | 29.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc6…095fbacked Suns | 44c | 28.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x434d…fba4backed Raptors | 56c | 28.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbc…89d8backed Raptors | 55c | 28.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Suns | 42c | 24.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6f…f414backed Suns | 49c | 22.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Raptors (-3.5)this page
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jakob Poeltl: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Jalen Green: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Royce O'Neale: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Raptors (-4.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-5.5)Raptors won
- Suns vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- Suns vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Suns vs. Raptors: O/U 217.5Over won
- Suns vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5Over won
- Suns vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5Over won
- Suns vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.