NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x432a81d00fb4aaa43da4e86dba2f5b8550e11430b98734ba8614e97992f881e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $319,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $319,700 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Under | 48c | 121,117$57,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,911.42 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 52c | 90,394$46,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,469.58 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 52c | 85,451$44,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,969.07 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Under | 48c | 32,810$15,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,748.18 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Under | 48c | 27,406$13,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,112.42 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 53c | 25,373$13,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,925.18 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Under | 48c | 22,294$10,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,701.07 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 47c | 20,811$9,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800.75 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 53c | 18,867$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,867.49 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 18,192$8,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,427.55 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 54c | 17,815$9,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,274.16 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…6ec9backed Over | 53c | 8,751$4,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,073.11 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 47c | 7,699$3,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,618.53 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 5,775$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,775.74 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d8…9f3fbacked Under | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 46c | 5,000$2,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,316.38 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Over | 53c | 4,088$2,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.46 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 49c | 3,673$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 46c | 2,885$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.92 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Over | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 47c | 2,077$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.93 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.07 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 52c | 1,822$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.47 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 47c | 1,782$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.54 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 48c | 1,650$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Over | 54c | 1,437$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.79 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Over | 54c | 1,333$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.64 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Over | 55c | 1,084$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.42 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 45c | 1,072$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.58 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Over | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Over | 53c | 900.61$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.1 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 46c | 797$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.62 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69de…5106backed Over | 53c | 558$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Over | 54c | 550$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Over | 52c | 446.3$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.01 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…1968backed Over | 53c | 441.99$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.22 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 52c | 400.55$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.26 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 190 | 54.7%104 W · 86 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Over | 53c | 361.56$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.21 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over | 54c | 346.37$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.33 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Over | 53c | 340$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.66 | 236 | 55.5%131 W · 105 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 53c | 326.09$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.5 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 54c | 307.77$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.24 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x190f…01f3backed Over | 54c | 296.3$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.3 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Over | 53c | 282.64$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.89 | 140 | 53.6%75 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 260.04$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.67 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 79c | 253.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 53c | 224.13$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.34 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Under | 47c | 211.49$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 47c | 202.65$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.25 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked Over | 52c | 192.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.24 | 144 | 66%95 W · 49 L | +17.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf397…653fbacked Under | 47c | 188.51$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Over | 53c | 162.67$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.04 | 228 | 50.9%116 W · 112 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa028…0031backed Over | 53c | 145.81$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.66 | 306 | 54.6%167 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…7045backed Over | 54c | 130$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.98 | 227 | 48.9%111 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 126.97$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 21c | 126.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 47c | 115.49$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c5…378abacked Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 157 | 44.6%70 W · 87 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Over | 53c | 102.39$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.91 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80c3…5ac7backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 154 | 46.1%71 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Over | 53c | 93.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.85 | 251 | 53.8%135 W · 116 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf4…62c7backed Over | 53c | 85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 53c | 81.13$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeac9…4092backed Over | 53c | 80.95$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.17 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…62cbbacked Over | 53c | 80.08$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe23…e72bbacked Over | 53c | 78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.69 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8e…cfbcbacked Over | 53c | 76.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4360…6df8backed Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…2a41backed Over | 53c | 59.7$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 229 | 53.3%122 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x409b…21e8backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 258 | 55.8%144 W · 114 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41c0…9d61backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 50c | 57.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584c…0da9backed Over | 51c | 56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Over | 52c | 53.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 478 | 52.9%253 W · 225 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 46c | 49.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…18d6backed Over | 54c | 47.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb83d…3aa2backed Under | 47c | 46.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 240 | 42.9%103 W · 137 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a7…7916backed Over | 53c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Under | 47c | 43.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…8de2backed Over | 53c | 41.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…f138backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Over | 52c | 38.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 405 | 48.6%197 W · 208 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb69a…3b90backed Over | 53c | 37.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20a9…5a67backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 47c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d7…0227backed Over | 53c | 32.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f95…70a9backed Over | 52c | 26.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 49c | 26.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…9aa2backed Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…396cbacked Over | 53c | 22.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb892…96b4backed Over | 54c | 22.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 51c | 21.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5this page
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jakob Poeltl: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Jalen Green: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Royce O'Neale: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Raptors (-3.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-4.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-5.5)Raptors won
- Suns vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- Suns vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Suns vs. Raptors: O/U 217.5Over won
- Suns vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5Over won
- Suns vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.