TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-02-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$188,558
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$196,481

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,558 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xada5…db70backed Yes35c108,518$38,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,152.6712736.2%46 W · 81 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No64c25,435$16,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,044.173,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No67c25,330$17,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,286.618,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes35c20,124$7,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,053.41,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No65c15,302$9,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,364.481,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No66c14,211$9,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8751,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No68c13,138$8,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,188.672,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No67c10,857$7,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,583.1523354.9%128 W · 105 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No67c9,658$6,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,149.025,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No64c5,412$3,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,960.1912741.7%53 W · 74 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No64c4,000$2,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4403360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes17c3,649$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.6411334.5%39 W · 74 L-9.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No66c2,711$1,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.6739853%211 W · 187 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No65c2,635$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.0537851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No67c2,501$1,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.2327050.7%137 W · 133 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked No66c2,282$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.9310155.4%56 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes31c2,162$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.366823.5%16 W · 52 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes12c1,719$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.5917436.2%63 W · 111 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No65c1,693$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.553,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes12c1,535$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.7517542.3%74 W · 101 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed No64c1,375$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4951346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes26c1,343$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.321,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb544…6e5abacked Yes36c1,273$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No64c1,102$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.5130754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Yes11c1,023$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.461233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34012750.4%64 W · 63 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No74c996.52$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.331,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No65c782.3$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.21,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed No65c598.42$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.82825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-56.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No67c571.42$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.8481651.6%421 W · 395 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No64c547.1$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.7621849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No64c515$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.851,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed No64c508.83$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.189759.8%58 W · 39 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1754953.1%26 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed No66c500$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed No76c490.75$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.028452.4%44 W · 40 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbed…804ebacked Yes34c488$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.92333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No64c419$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.4415459.1%91 W · 63 L-0.6wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No63c396.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.831618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.23per pick42cpaid-66%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No75c343.61$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.621,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2d3…9af1backed No63c331$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.475100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked No65c305$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.757256.9%41 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No64c297.55$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.761,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes34c221.56$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3426749.4%132 W · 135 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69b6…a5f3backed Yes33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed No66c189.39$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.391855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed No65c180$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634156.1%23 W · 18 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8ec…40edbacked Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202560%15 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No65c129.33$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.617950.6%40 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bbc…2937backed Yes34c120.71$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x34fc…6a93backed Yes17c120.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a32…9875backed Yes29c114.53$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.17837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed No60c107.31$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7c32…7782backed Yes34c100.24$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No66c90.94$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1535758%207 W · 150 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No69c88.1$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6623542.1%99 W · 136 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No74c88.06$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8349535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc00…fb0cbacked No67c86.12$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.423100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+65.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307032.9%23 W · 47 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes20c79.35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9327442%115 W · 159 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb0…d6c9backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes29c68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206654.5%36 W · 30 L+9.0wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+26.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc6be…43c9backed Yes31c64.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3de…fe0ebacked No68c57.22$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.371163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked No61c57$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.234242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No68c56.27$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8684943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6206…94d5backed No74c52.94$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.65425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-66.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b64…c94cbacked Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8ea…3b34backed Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebd9…77f6backed Yes33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151650%8 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes33c43.8$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.458829.5%26 W · 62 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5e2…0dcdbacked No65c43.37$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.371330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes31c42.28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9571619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e37…b594backed Yes34c42.25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.37250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No65c42$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.582,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcaa4…2229backed No67c41.32$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed No64c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.69363.4%59 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe62e…8147backed No69c39.73$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.221926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No66c37.16$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5625955.2%143 W · 116 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed No68c36.04$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.49450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes36c33.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1213739.4%54 W · 83 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No66c33$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.229361.3%57 W · 36 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2a2…d56abacked Yes34c30$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc53e…fbedbacked No67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.851573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0275…596dbacked No67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.851060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf484…bf13backed No66c29.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc766…c4d9backed No66c27.36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0e3…8796backed No67c26.97$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa6c…a67dbacked No65c26.1$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.161136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-27.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked No73c24.6$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.62650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1798…8ff4backed No67c23.8$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.94580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x903e…f27bbacked No65c23.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.343100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+90%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed No63c22.97$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.443873.7%28 W · 10 L+6.5wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+29.7%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xbcd7…caa5backed No75c22.62$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.581090%9 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick62cpaid+36.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x59ae…3550backed No65c22.21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.67366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked No64c21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.473759.5%22 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x02f4…4effbacked No65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74763.8%30 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1686…cf5abacked No73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9da…ed70backed No67c18.47$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.121266.5%141 W · 71 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x529c…1809backed No65c17.63$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.22933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.