TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-03-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,059
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,315

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,059 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes71c15,272$10,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,476.248530.6%26 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes72c12,657$9,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,515.6931349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No30c11,566$3,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,423.561,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Yes70c10,000$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,000.018321.7%18 W · 65 L-12.7wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-46.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No30c9,730$2,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,904.463,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed No29c5,510$1,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,624.49520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No27c5,417$1,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,443.665,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No30c4,187$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,236.781740.8%333 W · 484 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No29c4,158$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.778,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No28c4,130$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,156.521,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No28c3,861$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.9937851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes73c3,562$2,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.021,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes72c3,500$2,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.8420046%92 W · 108 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No30c2,240$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67223354.9%128 W · 105 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9d2…090fbacked No28c1,934$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.853167.7%21 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No16c1,616$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.0614824.3%36 W · 112 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-36%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c4c…bc84backed Yes72c1,246$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.52785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick75cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf18…179abacked Yes71c1,098$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.081533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-27.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No24c978.53$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.583,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No30c872.75$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.841,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed No28c855.5$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.549457.4%54 W · 40 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No30c755.53$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.771,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No12c600$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696119.7%12 W · 49 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No30c488$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.611,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Yes73c410.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.967951.9%41 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes72c382.46$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.9812065%78 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No26c348.54$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.322,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bc2…7ed7backed Yes71c316.9$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No25c316$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.491,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked No29c310$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.83321.2%7 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No4c307$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2816740.1%67 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked No5c302$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.67133.8%24 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No29c299.99$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8712741.7%53 W · 74 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No31c293.61$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.0247756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No29c257.23$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.61,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bbc…2937backed Yes71c252.66$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No19c250$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2570055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes73c249.32$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.323762.2%23 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+20.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No24c249$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.361,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8393…4f91backed No29c221.15$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.172236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-38.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc049…7cf6backed Yes70c214.29$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.291844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed No29c205.37$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.528248.8%40 W · 42 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No29c205$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3413545.2%61 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628056.3%45 W · 35 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No30c199.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6033745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No28c196.37$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9884943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No29c184$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.361,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0632…d1b7backed Yes72c181.63$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.864332.6%14 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No30c155.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1421359.6%127 W · 86 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No31c149.07$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2131226.6%83 W · 229 L+1.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3454…333bbacked Yes73c136.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.983345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No31c129.16$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0441256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes73c121.22$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7376951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No29c119.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.867548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed No19c116.51$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.682236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No21c110.12$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7649535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed No28c103.26$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.913053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3051654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac9a…2927backed No30c99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes74c91.71$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1645746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes70c85.53$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.071,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No27c84.98$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2349449%242 W · 252 L+22.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No30c84.36$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7128231.6%89 W · 193 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc95f…09debacked Yes71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes77c66.7$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3894848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8ec…40edbacked Yes71c63.14$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.42560%15 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes79c62.19$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.831,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No30c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1818452.2%96 W · 88 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No20c58.57$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5985220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5e16…41f8backed Yes72c55.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb30c…6cefbacked No29c55.17$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1726…1ad4backed No32c51.25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-64.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb17…32b2backed No30c51.17$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.454957.1%28 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1849…8916backed No31c51$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.81250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8882…c67dbacked No30c47.1$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.22245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3612…cf99backed No30c46.88$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.06560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes70c46.86$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.069547.4%45 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed No30c45.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5920953.1%111 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf594…bfc1backed No30c44.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.284656.5%26 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed3f…2d57backed No30c42.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8711461.4%70 W · 44 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes70c39.53$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.862,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3208…8f5dbacked Yes71c35.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.21862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked No30c34$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.23923.1%9 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d46…26d8backed Yes71c33.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.861776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes73c33.51$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9835758%207 W · 150 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x722a…d6edbacked Yes72c33.13$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.276762.7%42 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7991…24adbacked Yes70c31.43$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.43250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe66d…06c6backed Yes71c30.35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ff…cf90backed Yes71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.171866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed7e…c090backed Yes71c27.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.981450%7 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01f3…9afbbacked Yes74c27.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69bd…af6ebacked Yes72c26.1$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.31757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick71cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Yes74c25.73$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.731838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Yes69c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.751580%12 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+49.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7473…935bbacked Yes70c21.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.43875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+32.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Yes70c21.2$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.44854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x843e…e477backed Yes71c21.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.092352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc323…a9cabacked Yes71c20.93$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.071258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick73cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd074…5a54backed Yes71c20.28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.884484.1%37 W · 7 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick71cpaid+20.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd650…8d74backed Yes71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.87100%7 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.