TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-10.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
High Point Panthersof Arkansas Razorbacks, High Point Panthers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$194,510

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,510 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3d97…f263backed Arkansas Razorbacks59c27,030$16,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,025.46650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked High Point Panthers43c12,945$5,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,366.9312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Arkansas Razorbacks51c9,704$4,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,949.1321262.3%132 W · 80 L+34.7wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+37%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed High Point Panthers47c7,177$3,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,832.0516341.7%68 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked High Point Panthers43c6,906$2,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,945.142,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked High Point Panthers42c6,707$2,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,891.295,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa729…9326backed High Point Panthers47c4,998$2,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,648.99771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed High Point Panthers45c4,872$2,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,685.9225145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked High Point Panthers44c4,523$1,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,548.094744.7%21 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked High Point Panthers49c4,490$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,289.755942.4%25 W · 34 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed High Point Panthers48c4,201$2,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,184.7418048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked High Point Panthers45c4,059$1,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,232.2439454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbca6…73e3backed Arkansas Razorbacks55c4,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,200.018946.1%41 W · 48 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed High Point Panthers45c3,500$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,939.9942948.5%208 W · 221 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8788…8aa8backed High Point Panthers49c3,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5401060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Arkansas Razorbacks54c2,974$1,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,596.0212646.8%59 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Arkansas Razorbacks55c2,930$1,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,611.6161652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Arkansas Razorbacks39c2,851$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.375,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x42d0…77e2backed High Point Panthers48c2,683$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,387.913751.4%19 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x250e…e864backed High Point Panthers42c2,545$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,475.851855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+23.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked High Point Panthers43c2,500$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,42590645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked High Point Panthers63c2,497$1,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.461,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Arkansas Razorbacks35c2,209$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.9344146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1f7…c4e5backed High Point Panthers47c2,197$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.613343.6%58 W · 75 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x694d…c5a4backed Arkansas Razorbacks54c2,183$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.245352.8%28 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x743a…ddcdbacked High Point Panthers45c2,100$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1656142.6%26 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+49.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Arkansas Razorbacks16c2,067$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.4214728.6%42 W · 105 L-0.7wins0.00per pick29cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x335d…8f03backed High Point Panthers48c2,000$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0508748.3%42 W · 45 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aa5…8232backed High Point Panthers47c1,991$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.371442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed High Point Panthers47c1,868$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.9710443.3%45 W · 59 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed High Point Panthers58c1,846$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.053,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e49…ae9dbacked High Point Panthers43c1,623$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.114143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed High Point Panthers45c1,100$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60514447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x70ae…e370backed High Point Panthers47c1,070$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.11838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd817…ac33backed High Point Panthers44c1,015$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.948444%37 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed High Point Panthers49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.0530649%150 W · 156 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91db…6fb2backed High Point Panthers47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5305843.1%25 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfc4…079fbacked High Point Panthers48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5203043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed High Point Panthers43c950.87$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54218744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbee0…aa9fbacked High Point Panthers43c928.59$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.087643.4%33 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked High Point Panthers42c886.27$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.041,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42c…e313backed Arkansas Razorbacks59c840.28$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.771782.4%14 W · 3 L+5.3wins+0.31per pick51cpaid+52.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Arkansas Razorbacks31c839.96$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2574,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa59…75ecbacked High Point Panthers44c740.05$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.3214346.9%67 W · 76 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Arkansas Razorbacks51c735.7$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.659545.3%43 W · 52 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Arkansas Razorbacks51c693.88$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.8882048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Arkansas Razorbacks58c685.57$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.594257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed High Point Panthers46c672.67$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.9118556.8%105 W · 80 L+14.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Arkansas Razorbacks20c658.2$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13015238.8%59 W · 93 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed High Point Panthers43c600.47$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.51,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77d4…3983backed Arkansas Razorbacks55c585.54$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.055341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed High Point Panthers41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29537246.2%172 W · 200 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Arkansas Razorbacks54c416.23$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.777753.2%41 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17e3…a9eebacked Arkansas Razorbacks53c396.51$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.152857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9032…8717backed Arkansas Razorbacks55c370.67$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.873053.3%16 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+43.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x40ff…9d91backed Arkansas Razorbacks56c358.64$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.842657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Arkansas Razorbacks58c350.62$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.3691848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb85d…1a74backed Arkansas Razorbacks13c335.74$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.65425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed High Point Panthers54c332.3$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.1722250%111 W · 111 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bb9…7bf4backed High Point Panthers52c276.41$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.681921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-55.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ce…f01dbacked Arkansas Razorbacks55c253.51$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.43475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+51.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Arkansas Razorbacks11c249.39$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4334343.4%149 W · 194 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc93c…3c93backed Arkansas Razorbacks54c248.76$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.331872.2%13 W · 5 L+5.0wins+0.28per pick44cpaid+46.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Arkansas Razorbacks57c238.99$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.073148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7f0…96bebacked Arkansas Razorbacks51c233.24$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.951250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ef…cdd9backed High Point Panthers43c230.56$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.423542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed High Point Panthers44c226.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.817258.3%42 W · 30 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe65b…271bbacked High Point Panthers55c216.53$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.571947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa52…cf2dbacked Arkansas Razorbacks55c212.33$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.78650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed High Point Panthers65c210.39$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.641,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed High Point Panthers70c200.68$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.557655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd7…8a4fbacked High Point Panthers46c200.4$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9386…cfe5backed Arkansas Razorbacks56c199.81$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.894050%20 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35f9…e09dbacked Arkansas Razorbacks25c198.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.676235.5%22 W · 40 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x41f9…84e6backed Arkansas Razorbacks55c198.27$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.0520642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b06…c83cbacked Arkansas Razorbacks56c192.5$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.8650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+75.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed High Point Panthers52c190.63$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.523941.4%99 W · 140 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9489…37d8backed High Point Panthers46c182.55$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.58560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb57d…788fbacked High Point Panthers46c182.47$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.53580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+55.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb91b…af31backed Arkansas Razorbacks55c181.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Arkansas Razorbacks55c180.24$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1315559.4%92 W · 63 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfaae…4d2bbacked Arkansas Razorbacks55c179.73$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.85475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Arkansas Razorbacks24c179.04$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8264647.5%307 W · 339 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x405f…5852backed High Point Panthers45c174.85$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.17450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8ca…b357backed High Point Panthers46c173.71$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a09…06aabacked High Point Panthers46c172.2$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.99560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x803b…3134backed High Point Panthers45c172.13$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.67450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc498…ff07backed Arkansas Razorbacks56c171.96$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-62.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Arkansas Razorbacks42c171.6$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.3552843.6%230 W · 298 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc15c…6acfbacked Arkansas Razorbacks55c163.93$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1630%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed High Point Panthers44c163.41$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.4819958.3%116 W · 83 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f9d…fbdcbacked High Point Panthers45c157.68$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.73560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72fe…87a0backed High Point Panthers46c153.18$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.72633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf69f…227ebacked Arkansas Razorbacks56c151.43$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.8580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.37per pick43cpaid+129.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d54…6a78backed Arkansas Razorbacks55c150.92$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.01560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Arkansas Razorbacks53c150.57$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.81,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb624…b614backed High Point Panthers45c148.96$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+40.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked Arkansas Razorbacks34c145.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.61450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63a6…338ebacked High Point Panthers46c144.35$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.95560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+37%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70e7…55d4backed High Point Panthers46c143.97$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.74475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+42.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.