Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 169.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda4b66c3fbb39eaf42353391fca7d82e0a0870f3da455993d3d157928421c57d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,481
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,481 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 40c | 117,748$47,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,291.63 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 60c | 35,444$21,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,348.55 | 216 | 36.1%78 W · 138 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Over | 60c | 28,687$17,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,474.84 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 59c | 17,168$10,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,954.05 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 11,019$5,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,230.32 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under | 47c | 9,392$4,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,414.18 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…29ebbacked Over | 60c | 8,625$5,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,449.97 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 4,877$2,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,126.31 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 61c | 2,975$1,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.15 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | +14.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…3531backed Over | 60c | 2,975$1,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.03 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Over | 61c | 2,765$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.2 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 62c | 2,713$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.44 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Over | 61c | 2,569$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.75 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…3542backed Over | 61c | 2,479$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 65c | 1,803$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.52 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 59c | 1,682$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.97 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…245ebacked Over | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Over | 52c | 1,010$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.8 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | +14.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a9…4d64backed Under | 48c | 1,001$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.56 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 27c | 1,000$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.8 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Over | 61c | 991.67$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.75 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa89…6cb6backed Over | 68c | 793.87$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.02 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0586…cb84backed Under | 49c | 545.19$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b84…6accbacked Over | 61c | 487.71$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.21 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa57c…25dcbacked Under | 49c | 400.47$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x268e…bb7fbacked Under | 47c | 396.51$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.36 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 53c | 356.87$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.73 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Under | 51c | 254.65$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.85 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ff…40d7backed Under | 49c | 243.85$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dab…029dbacked Over | 60c | 231.37$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.55 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 51c | 202.05$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.05 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…84e6backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 50c | 199.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.85 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 47c | 198.26$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.18 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Over | 53c | 121.57$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.14 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3218…a011backed Under | 47c | 109.04$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Under | 51c | 103.09$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.58 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b70…3102backed Over | 53c | 102.87$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.35 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 53c | 94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3548…14dabacked Over | 63c | 81.59$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Over | 53c | 76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Over | 53c | 76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 241 | 48.5%117 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Over | 53c | 76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8a…7c22backed Over | 61c | 73.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 60c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Over | 53c | 65.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 56.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 60c | 55.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Over | 53c | 54.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 49c | 48.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 57c | 47.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 52c | 38.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Under | 47c | 37.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 174 | 46.6%81 W · 93 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab52…5487backed Over | 53c | 37.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…da61backed Under | 48c | 31.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65a3…b6bcbacked Over | 55c | 27.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x278b…6a23backed Over | 50c | 23.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 54c | 19.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d02…46e2backed Under | 56c | 19.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 169.5this page
- High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas RazorbacksArkansas Razorbacks won
- High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 167.5Over won
- High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 168.5Over won
- High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 170.5Over won
- High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 173.5Over won
- High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 176.5Over won
- High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 177.5Over won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-10.5)High Point Panthers won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-11.5)High Point Panthers won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-12.5)High Point Panthers won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-4.5)Arkansas Razorbacks won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-7.5)High Point Panthers won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-8.5)High Point Panthers won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-9.5)High Point Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.