Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 170.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x933c42c04b676ff083cbe3f6fa538dba721bd78f75bb5fce57b52a2f00294037
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,487 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.99 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 53c | 2,142$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.48 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 52c | 1,704$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.95 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…3371backed Under | 49c | 1,300$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 49c | 1,101$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.49 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Under | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 51c | 780.87$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.63 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | +14.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 604.47$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.14 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x268e…bb7fbacked Under | 49c | 396.5$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.29 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 51c | 291.55$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.86 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768c…dc52backed Under | 49c | 224.55$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.03 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 52c | 125.07$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4614…9cd6backed Under | 49c | 101.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…b3e8backed Under | 50c | 93.18$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under | 49c | 55.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb351…5f41backed Under | 54c | 55.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Under | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 46c | 29.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 49c | 24.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 51c | 19.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 133 | 56.4%75 W · 58 L | +10.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 170.5this page
- High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas RazorbacksArkansas Razorbacks won
- High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 167.5Over won
- High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 168.5Over won
- High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 169.5Over won
- High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 173.5Over won
- High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 176.5Over won
- High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 177.5Over won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-10.5)High Point Panthers won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-11.5)High Point Panthers won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-12.5)High Point Panthers won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-4.5)Arkansas Razorbacks won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-7.5)High Point Panthers won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-8.5)High Point Panthers won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-9.5)High Point Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.