Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62b5c2e8c482d6aa5df3ffc349777a8e7d95c5db1efe69cdd81373eed2e4d105
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- High Point Panthersof Arkansas Razorbacks, High Point Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,683 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 47c | 9,862$4,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,635.23 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked High Point Panthers | 53c | 7,930$4,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,727.22 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 48c | 5,298$2,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.1 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 47c | 5,017$2,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,357.76 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 49c | 4,459$2,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,201.1 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked High Point Panthers | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed High Point Panthers | 51c | 3,887$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.76 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -8.1wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 48c | 2,974$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.42 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf52b…905bbacked High Point Panthers | 53c | 2,431$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.78 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 48c | 2,255$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.52 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed High Point Panthers | 53c | 2,244$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.87 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…1e98backed High Point Panthers | 53c | 1,869$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.26 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked High Point Panthers | 51c | 1,397$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.55 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…3371backed High Point Panthers | 52c | 1,300$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x743a…ddcdbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec4…b8e5backed High Point Panthers | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b0…f655backed High Point Panthers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 44c | 775.86$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.91 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked High Point Panthers | 53c | 594.77$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.54 | 170 | 51.2%87 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked High Point Panthers | 52c | 550.42$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.2 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x246d…c74dbacked High Point Panthers | 52c | 476.57$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.75 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 46c | 208.66$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.75 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 48c | 206.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ba…8497backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 49c | 202.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed High Point Panthers | 53c | 187.03$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.91 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…d9f3backed High Point Panthers | 53c | 187.03$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.91 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 48c | 109.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.34 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 47c | 94.43$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.38 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2422backed High Point Panthers | 53c | 93.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…1483backed High Point Panthers | 53c | 93.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 49c | 79.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb87e…3389backed High Point Panthers | 50c | 64.74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 48c | 47.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0870…1e49backed High Point Panthers | 52c | 47.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd479…be37backed High Point Panthers | 53c | 42.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 48c | 39.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 133 | 56.4%75 W · 58 L | +10.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked High Point Panthers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 48c | 38.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed High Point Panthers | 57c | 34.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 47c | 33.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 47c | 28.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4074…6059backed High Point Panthers | 53c | 27.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 50c | 25.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda14…a40cbacked High Point Panthers | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-12.5)this page
- High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas RazorbacksArkansas Razorbacks won
- High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 167.5Over won
- High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 168.5Over won
- High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 169.5Over won
- High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 170.5Over won
- High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 173.5Over won
- High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 176.5Over won
- High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 177.5Over won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-10.5)High Point Panthers won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-11.5)High Point Panthers won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-4.5)Arkansas Razorbacks won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-7.5)High Point Panthers won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-8.5)High Point Panthers won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-9.5)High Point Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.