TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$170,026

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,026 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x036c…178dbacked Under62c37,588$23,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,283.781580%12 W · 3 L+4.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+102.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xee0d…57abbacked Over38c25,000$9,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,499.944654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under62c11,654$7,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,428.5126047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over38c11,513$4,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,349.7228543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb9df…2d62backed Under51c7,594$3,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,735.992650%13 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b22…c824backed Over38c6,579$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+28.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a94…769cbacked Over37c6,183$2,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,303.83625%9 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-30.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over38c6,126$2,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,327.2629350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over38c4,747$1,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8045552.7%29 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under62c4,558$2,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,731.996844.1%30 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under63c4,247$2,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,577.581,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over43c4,037$1,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,743.941,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under62c4,000$2,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,520.0813548.9%66 W · 69 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under63c3,500$2,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,295.285757.9%33 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Under62c3,500$2,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.962951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under61c3,253$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.114951%25 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over36c3,124$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.6326445.8%121 W · 143 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over38c3,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.931625%4 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.954020%8 W · 32 L-9.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-59.6%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xede1…54cbbacked Over38c2,613$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-48%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Under63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74016349.1%80 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over48c1,968$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.0146048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked Under54c1,840$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.052231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3333…15bdbacked Over38c1,834$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.071526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-48.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Over60c1,500$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.161770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.5wins+0.26per pick44cpaid+49.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under62c1,500$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57012249.2%60 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Over38c1,416$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick57cpaid+9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7479…d35fbacked Under57c1,305$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.993138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1263…fddcbacked Over38c1,300$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4942272.7%16 W · 6 L+7.7wins+0.35per pick38cpaid+106.7%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over31c1,250$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.86536.9%24 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Under60c1,200$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4803050%15 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+34.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab0d…8ef3backed Over36c950$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.46837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-32.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Over38c900.26$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3424544.4%20 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa313…1f26backed Over12c868.33$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.8911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick30cpaid-68.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over39c824$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.9113245.5%60 W · 72 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Over38c800$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3041723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.22per pick46cpaid-53.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1dca…ce96backed Over55c729.79$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+51%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over39c673.3$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2645052%26 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under71c633.8$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.822054.1%119 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004934.7%17 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Under67c559.7$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.73482.4%28 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick72cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under47c512.5$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.632540%10 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Under62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1905036%18 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.788043.8%35 W · 45 L+11.3wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+60.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Under62c499.96$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.992755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over36c499.95$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.965123.5%12 W · 39 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick28cpaid+18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over36c444.54$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16020655.3%114 W · 92 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under68c439.92$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.5739443.1%170 W · 224 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under62c400$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15214447.2%68 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under61c399.99$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.497954.4%43 W · 36 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over38c394.74$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013134.4%45 W · 86 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over45c391.89$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.2420042.5%85 W · 115 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over37c387.5$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.389841.8%41 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over40c376.13$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.453450%17 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b3b5backed Under69c376$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.56683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+39.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over40c375$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502040%8 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under64c350$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.085052%26 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over53c342.25$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.394447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over38c315.79$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12012242.6%52 W · 70 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over18c310.43$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7923637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over29c309.93$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7715038.7%58 W · 92 L+0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1539743.3%42 W · 55 L+8.4wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+26.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Under64c300$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1086243.5%27 W · 35 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0004…80c7backed Over38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf715…bbf0backed Over36c287.97$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.671741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+46.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005630.4%17 W · 39 L-7.1wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-26.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003050%15 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over39c248.78$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3520639.3%81 W · 125 L+25.6wins+0.12per pick27cpaid+43.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbaec…f856backed Over45c239.16$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.131861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over38c236.84$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903164.5%20 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+23.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4922…34a7backed Over52c236.56$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.011816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Under67c223.88$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8812254.9%67 W · 55 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under47c212.76$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.768146.9%38 W · 43 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over36c210$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.610647.2%50 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf60…79c5backed Under62c202.31$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.88922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-60.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbcc2…8c9abacked Under63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.191361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over25c199.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002634.6%9 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick24cpaid+55.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over37c182.91$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.64555.6%25 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72fe…87a0backed Under64c182.48$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.782100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6be…7820backed Over37c163.74$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over45c161.78$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7321043.8%92 W · 118 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7753…cf56backed Over16c158.42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.84922.2%2 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick10cpaid+137.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8123…268cbacked Under65c153.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.071241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9489…37d8backed Over37c151.86$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.13250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under62c150$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5738356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under62c150$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5712748%61 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under62c150$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5728357.2%162 W · 121 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under62c150$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5721354%115 W · 98 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under63c150$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.659445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c87…7f4abacked Over30c147.52$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.261369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ff6…4921backed Over39c145.18$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6240%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xecf9…9372backed Over38c140.91$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.49475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+68.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over37c138.38$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7711653.4%62 W · 54 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c3f…e120backed Under64c133.12$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.924100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c63…9c7fbacked Over38c131.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015236.8%56 W · 96 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb217…6e4fbacked Over38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+291.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under67c128.52$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3825735%90 W · 167 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x088c…65c6backed Over39c128.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.