Champions League · resolved market
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaae3b57b1d0079719f03d038099a385012bccd77c819b4688e4df501ab95d4f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FK Bodø/Glimtof FK Bodø/Glimt, Sporting CP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,665 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf8b0…dcd6backed FK Bodø/Glimt | 41c | 4,275$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,522.51 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FK Bodø/Glimt | 51c | 3,823$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.4 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sporting CP | 68c | 2,656$1,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.21 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked FK Bodø/Glimt | 9c | 1,100$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed FK Bodø/Glimt | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.03 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +11.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed FK Bodø/Glimt | 38c | 655.95$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.95 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked FK Bodø/Glimt | 9c | 654.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.74 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked FK Bodø/Glimt | 38c | 582.2$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.4 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked FK Bodø/Glimt | 10c | 405.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.71 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed FK Bodø/Glimt | 10c | 299.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…995ebacked FK Bodø/Glimt | 45c | 260$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed FK Bodø/Glimt | 11c | 230$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.76 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed FK Bodø/Glimt | 9c | 217.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.69 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +60%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked FK Bodø/Glimt | 10c | 201$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181 | 206 | 39.3%81 W · 125 L | +25.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked FK Bodø/Glimt | 10c | 201$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee2a…729bbacked FK Bodø/Glimt | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72b0…1d0abacked FK Bodø/Glimt | 7c | 138.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +234.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed FK Bodø/Glimt | 34c | 104.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.77 | 150 | 38.7%58 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked FK Bodø/Glimt | 38c | 57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.41 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked FK Bodø/Glimt | 60c | 56.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed FK Bodø/Glimt | 32c | 54.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.95 | 142 | 20.4%29 W · 113 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked FK Bodø/Glimt | 38c | 45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Sporting CP | 68c | 44.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4c…afcebacked FK Bodø/Glimt | 76c | 36.55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…f17bbacked Sporting CP | 72c | 34.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Sporting CP | 67c | 29.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x043c…3cf8backed Sporting CP | 72c | 27.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed FK Bodø/Glimt | 46c | 27.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)this page
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5Over won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5Under won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.