Champions League · resolved market
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b877ed6fdbdddc702bdb5e2787bcecd75ec4c6b39c8176a1bb8c94cc298c52f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,925
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,925 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3333…15bdbacked Over | 23c | 86,581$19,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,913.53 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 77c | 86,566$66,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,910.14 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 21c | 3,606$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.21 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 21c | 2,250$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.62 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 18c | 1,295$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.74 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over | 20c | 999.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 79c | 895.55$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.07 | 264 | 45.8%121 W · 143 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Over | 16c | 742$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.72 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 80c | 552.9$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.67 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 13c | 500$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 214 | 60.7%130 W · 84 L | +21.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 21c | 476.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Over | 20c | 409.07$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 80c | 303.87$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.91 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 17c | 253.04$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.55 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +20.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 19c | 250$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 402 | 50.7%204 W · 198 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 152 | 36.8%56 W · 96 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb217…6e4fbacked Over | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +291.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0391…ef9bbacked Over | 20c | 225$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 48 | 12.5%6 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Over | 19c | 214.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…7016backed Over | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61d8…30d9backed Under | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 74cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 20c | 191$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 17c | 187.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 150 | 38.7%58 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbb…c561backed Over | 26c | 176.49$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.68 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 13c | 150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5daa…ec91backed Over | 21c | 143.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 20c | 122.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…d280backed Over | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 20c | 114.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8c…8293backed Under | 78c | 114.62$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 80c | 111.01$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 80c | 107$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf0…0a05backed Over | 21c | 101.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…4f62backed Over | 20c | 100.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 21c | 100.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5752…e85fbacked Over | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Under | 77c | 86.56$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 27c | 74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…0cc4backed Over | 21c | 65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 21c | 61.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 21c | 57.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Under | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 88 | 62.5%55 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Under | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 101 | 64.4%65 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x261c…d49dbacked Under | 80c | 49.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…ec56backed Under | 77c | 43.28$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Under | 77c | 43.28$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7e01backed Under | 80c | 39.54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4c…afcebacked Under | 80c | 37.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 80c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 631 | 50.2%317 W · 314 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584c…0da9backed Under | 80c | 31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…c830backed Under | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Under | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 55 | 76.4%42 W · 13 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d96…f5b7backed Under | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 79c | 18.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Under | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…bfb4backed Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…e944backed Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: O/U 4.5this page
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5Over won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.