Champions League · resolved market
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30ed1a635b54f9a246631b8b81a5a3b03036e239f9a173fd526137f3b869cd3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,262 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 17c | 10,720$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.78 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 19c | 9,132$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.14 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 18c | 4,950$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.98 | 594 | 41.8%248 W · 346 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 18c | 1,629$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.86 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 79c | 799.95$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.83 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked Under | 19c | 542.28$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.89 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 34 | 82.4%28 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 19c | 319.05$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.62 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Under | 19c | 234$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 22c | 225.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 154 | 38.3%59 W · 95 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Over | 70c | 220.42$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.42 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 63cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 27c | 189.26$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…7d64backed Under | 31c | 167.94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.06 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…6d57backed Over | 80c | 140$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 19c | 130.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 19c | 127.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…225fbacked Over | 77c | 114.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8b…e16abacked Over | 71c | 105.14$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.49 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…df66backed Over | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab1…c560backed Under | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 20c | 95.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Under | 19c | 70.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed Under | 19c | 54.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d13…b939backed Over | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2321…6a04backed Over | 71c | 30.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 76c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 200 | 42.5%85 W · 115 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 75c | 26.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 80c | 19.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 79c | 18.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 402 | 50.7%204 W · 198 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa99…cf1fbacked Over | 78c | 12.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.79 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5this page
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5Over won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5Under won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.