TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kraken vs. Blues

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bluesof Kraken, Blues
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$360,167
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$368,061

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $360,167 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 295 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Blues57c90,000$51,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,90048545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Kraken43c69,798$30,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,013.1467051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee17…b46ebacked Blues56c61,607$34,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,107.041968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+25.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Kraken44c47,556$20,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,924.6448549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Blues56c37,567$21,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,529.3115054.7%82 W · 68 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Kraken45c15,842$7,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,137.3750049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Kraken44c15,000$6,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,6006940.6%28 W · 41 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Kraken44c11,277$4,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,972.561950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Kraken42c10,242$4,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,335.181,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Kraken44c9,300$4,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,092.871,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Blues55c8,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6007647.4%36 W · 40 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Kraken44c6,882$3,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,028.138748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Blues55c6,360$3,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,883.71,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kraken44c6,000$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6401,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Kraken42c5,274$2,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,21360337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Blues56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.991,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Blues55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.9989547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Kraken45c4,444$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00085250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Blues55c4,295$2,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,932.5556152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Blues66c4,208$2,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,421.331,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Kraken45c4,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80044551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Blues58c3,748$2,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,574.22,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fbe…b84fbacked Kraken44c3,409$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50018258.2%106 W · 76 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Kraken45c3,282$1,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,477.0513437.3%50 W · 84 L-0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Blues58c3,226$1,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.9285464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Kraken44c3,133$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,378.4918547%87 W · 98 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Kraken45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35027548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Blues57c2,975$1,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.0858467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Blues67c2,773$1,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.9857157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Blues63c2,711$1,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.233,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Blues55c2,557$1,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.1643548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Blues56c2,500$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10084953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kraken43c2,362$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.621,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Kraken0c2,289$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.32504.8%12 W · 238 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+159.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Kraken5c2,270$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.3882043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Kraken26c2,107$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.482,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2bb…67a7backed Blues57c2,003$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.141060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Blues57c1,976$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.821,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Kraken45c1,924$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.362249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe175…39edbacked Kraken44c1,912$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.17966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Kraken44c1,887$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.7443456%243 W · 191 L+16.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kraken44c1,715$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.991,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Blues60c1,696$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.5852172.6%378 W · 143 L+36.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Blues65c1,653$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.462951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Kraken43c1,633$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.1328251.8%146 W · 136 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Blues55c1,625$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.8160249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Kraken40c1,616$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.2221555.3%119 W · 96 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Kraken45c1,200$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.9666951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce50…b747backed Kraken44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008756.3%49 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Kraken45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45027150.2%136 W · 135 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2057…0629backed Kraken47c948.76$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4451844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x221d…e800backed Kraken41c945.51$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.446657.6%38 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked Kraken44c909.1$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020144.8%90 W · 111 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Kraken44c900$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39631851.9%165 W · 153 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Blues57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.198451.2%43 W · 41 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Blues57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.1947256.8%268 W · 204 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc070…203abacked Kraken46c822.63$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37515252%79 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee7e…61bbbacked Kraken47c804.72$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37541248.3%199 W · 213 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Kraken22c796.88$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.6438738%147 W · 240 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Blues58c759.78$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.6337857.4%217 W · 161 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Blues65c726.99$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.4589636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Blues67c670.81$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.491,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Blues51c666.32$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.451,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Kraken46c650$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29912436.3%45 W · 79 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Blues59c602.98$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.9139344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Blues55c600$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26853546.4%248 W · 287 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Blues54c597.45$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.7832150.8%163 W · 158 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Blues79c548.57$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.751,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc75…3663backed Blues55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.451764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Blues55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.4521849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Kraken44c543.72$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.2421755.3%120 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Blues55c528.67$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.961959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4fd…0095backed Blues57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.323154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Kraken36c525.27$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.2157238.1%218 W · 354 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9317…5a5fbacked Blues58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.24966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x20e5…d3bcbacked Blues73c513$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.399545.3%43 W · 52 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Kraken8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b1…f737backed Kraken44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22028447.9%136 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec19…0f19backed Kraken46c500$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Kraken43c499.95$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.9862346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Kraken43c494$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.4266552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Kraken3c486$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.262,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Kraken44c456.48$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.0291653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7cb…bc54backed Blues55c454.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.5529946.8%140 W · 159 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Blues55c451.42$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.1433950.1%170 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Kraken18c436.81$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0822728.2%64 W · 163 L-17.6wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-37.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeea6…135fbacked Kraken46c432.33$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20120150.2%101 W · 100 L+9.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdab9…f22abacked Kraken47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick44cpaid-72%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x89cb…e7b5backed Blues55c425.45$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.45757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+39.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Blues70c406.33$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.2728652.4%150 W · 136 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd79…989ebacked Blues55c403.64$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.641957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Kraken46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1841,22046.1%562 W · 658 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b1a…68d8backed Kraken44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1763756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda1d…6192backed Kraken46c388.03$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.451338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec7f…230fbacked Blues58c374.6$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.332263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Blues54c366.67$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.672864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+22.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Kraken44c355$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.661,53051.7%791 W · 739 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f69…23cbbacked Kraken8c333$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6411127%30 W · 81 L+0.4wins0.00per pick27cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7b9…41a9backed Blues68c320$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.8823159.3%137 W · 94 L+22.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2fa5…be51backed Blues55c314.25$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.411457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+28.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.