Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3ef19d8605a22779896af55088a027f8a2e4e98953f9652bfbb3db0915e90e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $355,319
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $385,686
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $355,319 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 303 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc660…bd28backed No | 35c | 90,000$31,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,499.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 65c | 33,174$21,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,523.18 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 66c | 29,293$19,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,104.71 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 65c | 28,015$18,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,810.84 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 74c | 17,511$13,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,475 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 35c | 16,043$5,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,615.05 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 34c | 11,704$3,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,979.34 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 35c | 8,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Yes | 65c | 7,614$4,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,664.9 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 64c | 7,016$4,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,525.62 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes | 65c | 6,945$4,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430.61 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 64c | 6,145$3,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,212.26 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked No | 35c | 5,714$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 66c | 4,700$3,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.4 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 78c | 4,048$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.69 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f6…3149backed Yes | 80c | 3,750$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 12c | 3,540$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.37 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 33c | 3,500$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.81 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Yes | 66c | 3,030$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.3 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e6…f811backed Yes | 66c | 2,869$1,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x405f…5852backed No | 34c | 2,605$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed No | 35c | 2,524$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.39 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83cb…829dbacked No | 34c | 2,434$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Yes | 66c | 2,188$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.88 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…c863backed Yes | 67c | 2,169$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 65c | 2,112$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.11 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 4c | 2,025$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.71 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…c9aebacked No | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.99 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 22c | 1,900$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed No | 21c | 1,876$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 64c | 1,717$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.94 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 22c | 1,620$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.88 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Yes | 66c | 1,555$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.7 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x050d…2f13backed Yes | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 23c | 1,524$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.94 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 18c | 1,442$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.09 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed No | 35c | 1,380$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 65c | 1,155$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.38 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked No | 30c | 1,029$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.19 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Yes | 65c | 961.54$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 26c | 958$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.92 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 34c | 940.97$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.93 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe12c…e7c7backed Yes | 65c | 898.46$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked Yes | 65c | 839.98$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.99 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Yes | 66c | 800$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 65c | 793.35$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.67 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 65c | 786$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.1 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 35c | 768$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.8 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 35c | 767$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.45 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…cfbebacked Yes | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a32…0188backed Yes | 65c | 757$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.95 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 23c | 750$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 9c | 745.68$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.57 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +193.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 20c | 691.7$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.6 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…0123backed Yes | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes | 54c | 613$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.85 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a42abacked Yes | 65c | 606$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.1 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 27c | 547.41$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.17 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 64c | 546.88$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.88 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…86abbacked Yes | 68c | 514.71$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.71 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 61cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.18 | 41 | 87.8%36 W · 5 L | +9.1wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked No | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Yes | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 76cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe306…0380backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…2ecfbacked Yes | 65c | 407.69$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed Yes | 66c | 378.79$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 66c | 365.15$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.15 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 21c | 357.24$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.02 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x95ba…51ebbacked Yes | 77c | 324.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ce…5310backed Yes | 64c | 322.94$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 59c | 313$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.33 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes | 65c | 309.99$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fd…db80backed Yes | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…6de5backed Yes | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x806b…5cd8backed Yes | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4984…7aaabacked No | 34c | 295$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed No | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x59bb…b5f0backed Yes | 79c | 262.03$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b54…0b79backed Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 34c | 241.68$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.72 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Yes | 67c | 238.81$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 41c | 235.26$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd751…58bdbacked Yes | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bc…b904backed Yes | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 67c | 224.56$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.56 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 19c | 207.39$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.96 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3c…a938backed Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5b…6e33backed Yes | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked Yes | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-14?this page
- Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-02-14?No won
- Will VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.