NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5730e55076427b6cea45c3890a4f86e3951920ca715a8f3a23ad7db0181ee570
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panthersof Maple Leafs, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $144,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Panthers | 59c | 7,747$4,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,193.83 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Maple Leafs | 6c | 7,501$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.94 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4608…d049backed Panthers | 60c | 6,229$3,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,491.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Maple Leafs | 15c | 5,700$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.1 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 5,293$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,117.23 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Panthers | 61c | 5,000$3,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950.95 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Maple Leafs | 39c | 4,697$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.83 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Panthers | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Maple Leafs | 6c | 3,893$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.61 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Panthers | 61c | 3,581$2,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.39 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 3,068$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.86 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.96 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Maple Leafs | 3c | 2,955$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.05 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Maple Leafs | 3c | 2,947$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.95 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Panthers | 58c | 2,755$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.85 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 2,746$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.63 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Panthers | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Maple Leafs | 12c | 2,459$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.69 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 2,207$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.81 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 1,961$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.58 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Maple Leafs | 14c | 1,743$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.33 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 1,628$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.52 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Panthers | 59c | 1,616$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.63 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 1,548$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.23 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…fc11backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 1,429$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Maple Leafs | 4c | 1,250$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.31 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Panthers | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Maple Leafs | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Panthers | 58c | 999.99$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa70b…7a8abacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 952.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Panthers | 58c | 948.67$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.44 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 911$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.4 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce50…b747backed Panthers | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf4…4de6backed Panthers | 59c | 833.14$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.59 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33d2…952ebacked Maple Leafs | 23c | 800$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f69…23cbbacked Maple Leafs | 3c | 800$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Maple Leafs | 16c | 791.36$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.65 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Panthers | 59c | 768.18$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.04 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 757.12$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.85 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Maple Leafs | 21c | 732.11$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.7 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 725.67$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.53 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x846d…3a71backed Panthers | 59c | 666.85$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.41 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x982f…4db4backed Panthers | 59c | 606.19$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2a…cb2cbacked Panthers | 59c | 576.15$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.22 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6839…0dc5backed Panthers | 59c | 559.32$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.32 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0163…f584backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 535.71$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…ddf9backed Panthers | 59c | 535.59$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.59 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 57cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f25…6f07backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…cdb2backed Panthers | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc794…7b53backed Panthers | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 121 | 58.7%71 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc506…abb0backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Panthers | 76c | 431.16$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.56 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee57…b01abacked Panthers | 59c | 424.64$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.23 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Panthers | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 299 | 46.8%140 W · 159 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Maple Leafs | 17c | 415.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.31 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 1,220 | 46.1%562 W · 658 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Maple Leafs | 40c | 400$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Maple Leafs | 41c | 371.22$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.46 | 589 | 47%277 W · 312 L | -23.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Maple Leafs | 41c | 368$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.88 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ec…0233backed Panthers | 60c | 338.18$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.27 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…1b97backed Panthers | 58c | 337.59$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.79 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -6.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x45ac…c0c4backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 336.21$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.21 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3f…201dbacked Panthers | 59c | 335.68$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.63 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Maple Leafs | 9c | 330.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d7…2667backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 328.33$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.9 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Maple Leafs | 12c | 328.04$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Panthers | 60c | 317.26$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.69 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa3…b974backed Panthers | 59c | 314.51$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4948…38a3backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 313.52$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.68 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Maple Leafs | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 535 | 46.4%248 W · 287 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4649…4500backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 290.57$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.04 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…fcf3backed Panthers | 57c | 288.71$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.15 | 385 | 55.6%214 W · 171 L | +24.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aae…2fe7backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 287.69$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.83 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7220…9bdabacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 286.48$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.32 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Panthers | 67c | 278$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.98 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee2…e71dbacked Panthers | 59c | 264.22$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c9…fe73backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 246.29$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.44 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa37f…d9d2backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 242.74$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.95 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Panthers | 67c | 229$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.39 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Panthers | 66c | 229$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.05 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3432…2bd7backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 223.49$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.63 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Panthers | 60c | 217$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x805f…7492backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 213.24$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.43 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Maple Leafs | 20c | 207.87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 205.77$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.42 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Panthers | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…aeb9backed Maple Leafs | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Panthers | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 492 | 49.6%244 W · 248 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 199.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 600 | 42.8%257 W · 343 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Panthers | 59c | 195.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.36 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Panthers | 62c | 191.01$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.76 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b1…ff05backed Panthers | 59c | 190.03$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb0…4c2dbacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 189.5$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa272…2253backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 174.85$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.69 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…1017backed Panthers | 59c | 152.54$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.54 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x132e…445ebacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 152.38$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maple Leafs vs. Panthersthis page
- Maple Leafs vs. Panthers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Maple Leafs vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Maple Leafs vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Maple Leafs vs. Panthers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Panthers (-1.5)Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.