Bundesliga · resolved market
RB Leipzig vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd90e81b6c0a17a983cbbb011cac00744e3b8451a62db365e930bed2d0605e981
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $148,891
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $171,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,891 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Over | 70c | 64,707$45,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,436.06 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 31c | 46,684$14,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,523.5 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 18,209$8,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,117.26 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 70c | 11,000$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.99 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Over | 52c | 9,800$5,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,738.85 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 33c | 9,658$3,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,188.11 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 30c | 7,515$2,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,271.8 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 3,764$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,863.22 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…2ecfbacked Under | 60c | 3,294$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 30c | 2,284$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.2 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 43c | 1,655$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.22 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.99 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Under | 2c | 1,365$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 41c | 1,208$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.22 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 29c | 971.94$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.86 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 42c | 916.5$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.48 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf425…be71backed Over | 34c | 905.03$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.32 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 31c | 794.26$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 70c | 722$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.6 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 702.74$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.98 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Over | 70c | 700$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 46c | 693.57$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.85 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…a34cbacked Over | 57c | 600$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ce…99f6backed Under | 68c | 572.06$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…f0f2backed Over | 71c | 564.07$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.58 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 48c | 525.04$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.04 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Over | 52c | 525$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Over | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 68c | 473.95$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.78 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Over | 69c | 451.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.64 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 70c | 385.71$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.71 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d6…bdc2backed Under | 31c | 367.74$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 35c | 347.7$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.22 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Under | 52c | 334.79$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.83 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 40c | 324.16$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.22 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 31c | 322.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdec…7ad6backed Over | 34c | 308.62$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3f…e8a6backed Over | 71c | 302.83$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.82 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Over | 66c | 299.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +15.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 44c | 292$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.46 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 69c | 286.13$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.79 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 69c | 278.74$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.41 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 46c | 264.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.05 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…0beebacked Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed Under | 31c | 252$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.12 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 55c | 247.51$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.51 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 30c | 240$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Under | 32c | 228.13$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 30c | 216$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7839…54cbbacked Over | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4984…7aaabacked Under | 31c | 210$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 49c | 204$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.04 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf343…fba6backed Over | 58c | 203.82$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.62 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 30c | 184$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 30c | 180$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 57c | 175$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.5 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 30c | 144$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 30c | 144$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 58c | 143.13$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.64 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Over | 70c | 133$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 34c | 120$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 70c | 112.86$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 120 | 69.2%83 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a2…1467backed Over | 60c | 112.07$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Over | 70c | 110.07$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Over | 50c | 102$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Over | 62c | 101.61$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over | 33c | 101$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.67 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -7.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 30c | 96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 30c | 96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 30c | 96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 138 | 59.4%82 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 30c | 96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 30c | 96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 30c | 96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 126 | 57.9%73 W · 53 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 30c | 96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 30c | 96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 30c | 96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 69c | 94.65$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 41c | 85.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Over | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Under | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Under | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 70c | 79.29$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d20…1f58backed Under | 37c | 78.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RB Leipzig vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5this page
- RB Leipzig vs. VfL Wolfsburg: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RB Leipzig vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 1.5Over won
- RB Leipzig vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5Over won
- RB Leipzig vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.