Bundesliga · resolved market
RB Leipzig vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0066e5764b4887dc7e3e9e8f0fbdcc80ee94373f9ec7154ed1e6ba86810b11a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,220
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2379…bf16backed Over | 49c | 37,999$18,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,379.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 34,883$18,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,097.92 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55a3…e9efbacked Under | 51c | 12,447$6,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,348 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 47c | 10,011$4,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,315.71 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 52c | 6,951$3,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,610.94 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Over | 48c | 6,442$3,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,349.9 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…a795backed Under | 52c | 4,529$2,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,355.21 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Over | 49c | 4,082$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080.63 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2590…e38ebacked Under | 4c | 3,726$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.52 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 38c | 2,311$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.36 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 52c | 1,950$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 52c | 1,939$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Over | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.9 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Under | 3c | 1,550$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 54c | 1,488$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c4…a00fbacked Over | 49c | 1,188$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Over | 49c | 1,136$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.38 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 48c | 981.39$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.64 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 18c | 902$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.47 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…a34cbacked Over | 44c | 899.99$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.99 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 61c | 493.44$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 48c | 422$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.44 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 46c | 417.02$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.48 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 56c | 392.86$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 49c | 278$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…99f3backed Under | 8c | 260.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 51c | 240$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 50c | 230$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 29c | 227.68$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.76 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 16c | 206.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.61 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 49c | 206.12$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.12 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 53c | 188.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Under | 50c | 173.8$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.9 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 58c | 172.09$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Over | 50c | 164$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…8936backed Under | 10c | 160$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…4eacbacked Over | 50c | 150.1$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 53c | 148.7$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.7 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +15.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 51c | 116.12$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.57 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Under | 57c | 114.04$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 51c | 112$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 49c | 111$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.59 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf343…fba6backed Over | 50c | 99.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 50c | 95.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -15.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57e8…9a6fbacked Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 120 | 69.2%83 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +46%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 54c | 89.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 110 | 65.5%72 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 70c | 83.57$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbb…a8c2backed Under | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Under | 74c | 81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 35c | 79.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 49c | 77.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 147 | 58.5%86 W · 61 L | +15.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 51c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 58c | 70.63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 54c | 70.06$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Over | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 58c | 70$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…3ed5backed Under | 75c | 63.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.49 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.0wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x33d9…d3e2backed Under | 73c | 62.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 50c | 62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.14 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 50c | 60.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 52c | 59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 55c | 57.08$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +12.1wins | +0.29per pick | 45cpaid | +73%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5c…7b2bbacked Under | 56c | 53.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…390cbacked Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d43…cecdbacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…f8e1backed Over | 51c | 49.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under | 51c | 42.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed Over | 48c | 41.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…a8a9backed Over | 49c | 40.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 28cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Under | 76c | 38.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.22per pick | 64cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50da…df00backed Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 51c | 29.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Over | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3432…1279backed Under | 51c | 28.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…6564backed Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RB Leipzig vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5this page
- RB Leipzig vs. VfL Wolfsburg: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RB Leipzig vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 1.5Over won
- RB Leipzig vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5Over won
- RB Leipzig vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.