TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

RB Leipzig vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,859
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$110,220

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,859 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2379…bf16backed Over49c37,999$18,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,379.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c34,883$18,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,097.923,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55a3…e9efbacked Under51c12,447$6,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,34810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over47c10,011$4,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,315.7133244.6%148 W · 184 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under52c6,951$3,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,610.9438748.3%187 W · 200 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Over48c6,442$3,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,349.94650%23 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e16…a795backed Under52c4,529$2,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,355.211145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Over49c4,082$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,080.631464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2590…e38ebacked Under4c3,726$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.52300%0 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over38c2,311$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,428.362,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under52c1,950$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0145145.1%23 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under52c1,939$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Over49c1,633$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.94854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed Under3c1,550$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48220%0 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under54c1,488$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80015540.6%63 W · 92 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3c4…a00fbacked Over49c1,188$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Over49c1,136$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.387639.5%30 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5401457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over48c981.39$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.6435856.4%202 W · 156 L+19.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under18c902$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.4749143.2%212 W · 279 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5905…a34cbacked Over44c899.99$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5042365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Over49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.244920.4%10 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-13.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under51c499.99$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.995455.6%30 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under61c493.44$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002556%14 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Over48c422$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.4413461.9%83 W · 51 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over46c417.02$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.481,30540.8%532 W · 773 L-42.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Under48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003941%16 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under56c392.86$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2203158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Over49c278$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+43.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5b8…99f3backed Under8c260.54$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.84128.3%1 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under51c240$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.424258.7%142 W · 100 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under50c230$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11548658.6%285 W · 201 L+44.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over29c227.68$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.7610648.1%51 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over16c206.25$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.6176234.8%265 W · 497 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f51…41edbacked Over49c206.12$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.126659.1%39 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1025356.6%30 W · 23 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under53c188.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037344.5%166 W · 207 L-15.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.191827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-29.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Under50c173.8$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.95455.6%30 W · 24 L+9.6wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+50.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under58c172.09$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.141,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005560%33 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Over50c164$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd92a…8936backed Under10c160$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df4…4eacbacked Over50c150.1$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.11050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under53c148.7$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.753645.9%246 W · 290 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over49c122.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4511857.6%68 W · 50 L+15.7wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+31.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over17c117.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.6526433.3%88 W · 176 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under51c116.12$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5721051.4%108 W · 102 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Under57c114.04$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under51c112$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1215453.9%83 W · 71 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over49c111$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5912162.8%76 W · 45 L+15.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1720957.4%120 W · 89 L-0.7wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf343…fba6backed Over50c99.4$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.71241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under50c95.24$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9921540.9%88 W · 127 L-15.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x57e8…9a6fbacked Under54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5912069.2%83 W · 37 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.596844.1%30 W · 38 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+46%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over54c89.98$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3911065.5%72 W · 38 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under70c83.57$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.651,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over48c83.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3319943.2%86 W · 113 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecbb…a8c2backed Under60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502060%12 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Under74c81$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605952.5%31 W · 28 L-7.4wins-0.13per pick65cpaid-19.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over35c79.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.998844.3%39 W · 49 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over49c77.55$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.5514758.5%86 W · 61 L+15.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+30.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Over53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.477958.2%46 W · 33 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under51c75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2510855.6%60 W · 48 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under58c70.63$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0820153.7%108 W · 93 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over54c70.06$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.234643.5%20 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca61…f06abacked Over48c70$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.47439.2%29 W · 45 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over48c70$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.45942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under58c70$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.321041.9%88 W · 122 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2da0…3ed5backed Under75c63.33$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4950%0 W · 5 L-3.0wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x33d9…d3e2backed Under73c62.26$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over50c62$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.145354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over50c60.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.122157%126 W · 95 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.211955.5%66 W · 53 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under52c59$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.911,08350.8%550 W · 533 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c4…359ebacked Over55c57.08$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.414273.8%31 W · 11 L+12.1wins+0.29per pick45cpaid+73%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5625352.2%132 W · 121 L-0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e5c…7b2bbacked Under56c53.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.99540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2513957.6%80 W · 59 L+10.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a93…390cbacked Over51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d43…cecdbacked Over48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe903…f8e1backed Over51c49.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.06650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Over44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.455742.1%24 W · 33 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under51c42.76$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.892236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a30…b094backed Over48c41.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.772138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.673966.7%26 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9e…a8a9backed Over49c40.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.42666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick28cpaid+89.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over47c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.357962%49 W · 30 L+10.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+23.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d46…26d8backed Under76c38.3$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.111942.1%8 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.22per pick64cpaid-35.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2513066.9%87 W · 43 L+8.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x50da…df00backed Under64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf88b…0ed2backed Under52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.61752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over51c29.94$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6725659.4%152 W · 104 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Over50c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.54835.4%17 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3432…1279backed Under51c28.35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc92…6564backed Under80c25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202576%19 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.