NBA · resolved market

Heat vs. Hawks

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d124878743499410e8bb6dc4067e02c1483cb298a778516e1520534de7f2e8e

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Heatof Heat, Hawks
Resolved: Feb 20, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,177,230
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,221,726

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,177,230 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 798 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc660…bd28backed Heat	56c	104,891$58,739 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46,152.19	593	47%279 W · 314 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Hawks	43c	102,115$43,759 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43,759.47	518	44.4%230 W · 288 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Heat	58c	68,573$39,617 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,956.27	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Hawks	44c	49,212$21,653 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,653.28	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Hawks	44c	47,000$20,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,680	483	43.7%211 W · 272 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Hawks	44c	40,027$17,412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,411.82	232	45.3%105 W · 127 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Heat	57c	40,000$22,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,200	205	51.2%105 W · 100 L	+8.6wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Hawks	0c	35,509$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	423	48%203 W · 220 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Heat	58c	35,500$20,589 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,910.58	232	57.8%134 W · 98 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x938f…f13fbacked Hawks	43c	35,022$15,059 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,059.41	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Hawks	41c	34,239$14,038 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,038.09	176	46%81 W · 95 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10d0…a31bbacked Heat	56c	30,100$16,856 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,243.99	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Hawks	21c	28,595$6,146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,146.4	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40ed…4ae2backed Heat	76c	26,405$20,190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,215.18	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.13per pick	71cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Hawks	41c	25,000$10,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,249.84	196	53.6%105 W · 91 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Hawks	43c	20,128$8,655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,655.12	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked Hawks	42c	20,000$8,467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,466.84	197	51.8%102 W · 95 L	+9.2wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x78df…7d18backed Heat	58c	19,832$11,503 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,329.44	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd568…a35abacked Heat	58c	17,241$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,241.38	77	58.4%45 W · 32 L	+4.5wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Heat	78c	16,843$13,125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,717.3	78	69.2%54 W · 24 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	70cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fac…c80bbacked Hawks	41c	16,065$6,587 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,586.79	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.22per pick	45cpaid	+47.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Heat	58c	16,048$9,317 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,731.29	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Hawks	22c	15,524$3,431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,430.64	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdab4…a27abacked Heat	57c	15,000$8,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,450	89	44.9%40 W · 49 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc480…0caabacked Hawks	42c	15,000$6,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,300	132	49.2%65 W · 67 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fc…050cbacked Heat	58c	15,000$8,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,300	80	52.5%42 W · 38 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Heat	57c	15,000$8,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,449.98	314	45.2%142 W · 172 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19be…2541backed Hawks	42c	12,100$5,082 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,082	97	58.8%57 W · 40 L	+5.1wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe021…e299backed Heat	58c	12,100$7,018 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,081.99	100	35%35 W · 65 L	-7.4wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Hawks	25c	12,021$3,048 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,047.87	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Heat	57c	11,900$6,783 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,117	173	56.1%97 W · 76 L	+8.5wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Heat	59c	11,643$6,857 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,785.61	513	54.2%278 W · 235 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d60…649fbacked Heat	57c	10,175$5,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,375.44	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Hawks	41c	10,000$4,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,100	458	50.4%231 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Heat	59c	10,000$5,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,100	196	45.9%90 W · 106 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Hawks	44c	10,000$4,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,400	320	39.4%126 W · 194 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x646e…3b1dbacked Hawks	43c	10,000$4,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,299.99	60	23.3%14 W · 46 L	-9.4wins	-0.16per pick	39cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Heat	58c	8,923$5,213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,709.95	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1175…7f33backed Heat	59c	8,820$5,204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,616.2	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.4wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Heat	58c	8,809$5,066 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,742.95	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Heat	56c	8,771$4,922 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,849.06	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a4a…3dc4backed Hawks	44c	8,750$3,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,850	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.25per pick	41cpaid	-73.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Hawks	43c	8,675$3,730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,730.25	209	47.8%100 W · 109 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Hawks	43c	8,182$3,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,500	767	46.4%356 W · 411 L	-16.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Hawks	44c	7,955$3,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,500	543	51.6%280 W · 263 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Heat	57c	7,777$4,433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,344.09	367	41.4%152 W · 215 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6584…d06fbacked Heat	59c	6,967$4,110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,856.27	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Hawks	44c	6,818$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2580…1d56backed Hawks	44c	6,814$2,998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,998.07	117	37.6%44 W · 73 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Heat	69c	6,655$4,592 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,063.05	297	48.1%143 W · 154 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x336f…3ae1backed Heat	58c	5,800$3,364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,435.99	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.13per pick	53cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83e1…b37bbacked Hawks	30c	5,316$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,600	165	50.3%83 W · 82 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb42…d373backed Heat	56c	5,001$2,801 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,200.44	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xceb5…3fbfbacked Hawks	43c	5,000$2,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,150	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2487…fa80backed Heat	57c	5,000$2,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,149.98	180	45%81 W · 99 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Heat	59c	4,980$2,938 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,041.76	215	49.8%107 W · 108 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Hawks	42c	4,904$2,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,059.59	691	49.1%339 W · 352 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x967f…bcd0backed Hawks	43c	4,736$2,036 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,036.48	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+2.6wins	+0.17per pick	46cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x899a…2a22backed Hawks	43c	4,651$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	172	41.9%72 W · 100 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Heat	75c	4,425$3,297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,127.75	853	44%375 W · 478 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked Heat	59c	4,282$2,526 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,755.62	131	42.7%56 W · 75 L	-8.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Heat	57c	4,273$2,444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,828.54	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…445abacked Heat	58c	4,071$2,361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,709.61	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+58.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Hawks	42c	4,000$1,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,680	386	49.7%192 W · 194 L	+10.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75af…5d46backed Heat	58c	4,000$2,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,680	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.7wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Hawks	43c	4,000$1,720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,720	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Hawks	42c	4,000$1,694 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,694.28	506	53.2%269 W · 237 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5426…bc07backed Hawks	42c	3,992$1,677 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,676.61	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+2.0wins	+0.17per pick	42cpaid	+41.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked Hawks	42c	3,929$1,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,650	154	35.7%55 W · 99 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c8c…c7b4backed Hawks	31c	3,880$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	356	50%178 W · 178 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Hawks	42c	3,856$1,620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,619.59	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Hawks	30c	3,791$1,129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,128.9	807	37.7%304 W · 503 L	-33.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Hawks	42c	3,740$1,571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,570.69	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a0a…24a9backed Hawks	19c	3,678$690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$689.7	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+1.0wins	+0.08per pick	25cpaid	+43.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d98…4d2dbacked Heat	60c	3,540$2,124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,416	50	52%26 W · 24 L	-3.8wins	-0.08per pick	60cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x79e5…9417backed Heat	71c	3,480$2,481 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$999.42	61	65.6%40 W · 21 L	+5.4wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Heat	57c	3,480$1,984 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,496.37	443	52.4%232 W · 211 L	+10.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Heat	57c	3,410$1,948 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,461.88	724	50.7%367 W · 357 L	+13.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2645…2ba8backed Hawks	43c	3,350$1,441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,440.5	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Heat	67c	3,333$2,227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,105.77	380	46.6%177 W · 203 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Heat	61c	3,259$1,981 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,277.97	489	56.4%276 W · 213 L	+31.3wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Hawks	43c	3,181$1,371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,371.42	369	50.1%185 W · 184 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3aef…648abacked Hawks	43c	3,000$1,290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,290	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0da…d49cbacked Heat	59c	3,000$1,770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,229.93	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+2.2wins	+0.22per pick	48cpaid	+67.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Heat	58c	2,962$1,718 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,244.07	377	47.5%179 W · 198 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Heat	58c	2,790$1,618 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,171.9	151	47%71 W · 80 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1043…18ccbacked Hawks	41c	2,772$1,148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,148.4	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Heat	59c	2,711$1,603 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,108.28	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5815…a7c8backed Heat	57c	2,632$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,131.58	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.11per pick	47cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1815…1efcbacked Hawks	42c	2,600$1,092 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,092	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+41.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe56d…2b65backed Heat	58c	2,586$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,086.21	75	52%39 W · 36 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e36…5dddbacked Hawks	42c	2,400$1,008 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,008	20	75%15 W · 5 L	+4.4wins	+0.22per pick	53cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Hawks	43c	2,325$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.75	544	43%234 W · 310 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x782e…14c3backed Hawks	43c	2,300$989 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$989	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+2.6wins	+0.33per pick	42cpaid	+124.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x552d…6331backed Hawks	42c	2,300$966 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$966	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15e1…e808backed Heat	58c	2,300$1,334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$966	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Hawks	31c	2,230$691 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$691.14	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Hawks	45c	2,198$989 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$988.66	292	50%146 W · 146 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Heat	57c	2,132$1,223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$909.06	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4738…df78backed Heat	69c	2,074$1,425 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$648.4	171	50.3%86 W · 85 L	-6.7wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Heat vs. Hawksthis page
Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
Davion Mitchell: Points O/U 8.5No won
Davion Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Heat vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 125.5Under won
Heat vs. Hawks: O/U 242.5Under won
Heat vs. Hawks: O/U 243.5Under won
Heat vs. Hawks: O/U 244.5Under won
Heat vs. Hawks: O/U 245.5Under won
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 13.5No won
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 22.5No won
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Norman Powell: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Norman Powell: Points O/U 21.5No won
Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
Spread: Heat (-2.5)Heat won
Spread: Heat (-3.5)Heat won
Spread: Heat (-4.5)Heat won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Heat vs. Hawks

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event