NBA · resolved market
Spread: Heat (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x507bde300e1c12072cf2408b5c2bfdd45621875d2e11b59881798fe5eca8e152
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Heat, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $203,420
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $216,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,420 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Hawks | 51c | 65,015$33,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,157.57 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Heat | 49c | 65,000$31,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,150 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Hawks | 49c | 18,201$8,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,934.17 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Heat | 51c | 13,161$6,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,448.78 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfd…ec1ebacked Heat | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…4e01backed Hawks | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Hawks | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.97 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Heat | 49c | 9,043$4,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,592.86 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Heat | 48c | 8,901$4,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,585.27 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Heat | 49c | 7,062$3,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,631.52 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Hawks | 51c | 7,000$3,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,569.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Heat | 51c | 6,652$3,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,259.64 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Hawks | 51c | 5,662$2,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,904.8 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Hawks | 51c | 5,196$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.99 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Heat | 49c | 4,611$2,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,348.78 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Heat | 49c | 4,191$2,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.52 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Hawks | 52c | 4,000$2,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,073.82 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Heat | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Heat | 50c | 3,521$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,763.27 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Hawks | 51c | 3,300$1,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694.23 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Heat | 49c | 3,030$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.76 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Hawks | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Hawks | 52c | 2,700$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.44 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Heat | 49c | 2,640$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.44 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Heat | 49c | 2,414$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.86 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Heat | 50c | 2,181$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.72 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Hawks | 50c | 2,153$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.56 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Hawks | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Hawks | 51c | 1,600$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Hawks | 51c | 1,499$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.39 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Hawks | 51c | 1,422$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.56 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks | 49c | 1,414$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.12 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Hawks | 51c | 1,370$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.52 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hawks | 51c | 1,351$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.08 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed Heat | 51c | 1,334$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.66 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Heat | 49c | 1,245$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.9 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Heat | 48c | 1,212$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.17 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Heat | 49c | 1,164$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.24 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Hawks | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Heat | 51c | 939.22$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.22 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Hawks | 51c | 841$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.91 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1e…effebacked Hawks | 50c | 660$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Hawks | 50c | 650.54$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.27 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Heat | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Heat | 49c | 606.13$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.13 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Heat | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Heat | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Hawks | 49c | 410$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.9 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Hawks | 51c | 399.99$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Heat | 52c | 384$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.32 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Heat | 51c | 380$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.2 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…dc1abacked Hawks | 51c | 362.75$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -5.7wins | -0.30per pick | 51cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Heat | 49c | 360$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.6 | 282 | 45.4%128 W · 154 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Hawks | 43c | 356$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.64 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Heat | 49c | 336.75$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.74 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Heat | 59c | 333.99$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.64 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Heat | 52c | 317.86$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.29 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Hawks | 50c | 311.4$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.27 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc208…e74fbacked Heat | 51c | 304.3$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.11 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Heat | 49c | 270.1$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.75 | 405 | 46.9%190 W · 215 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Heat | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 235 | 39.1%92 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Hawks | 49c | 204$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…05d8backed Hawks | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.3wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…4fa6backed Heat | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Heat | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 179 | 60.9%109 W · 70 L | +17.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Heat | 51c | 195.48$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.54 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Heat | 49c | 194.19$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.53 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa195…8c92backed Hawks | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Hawks | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Heat | 49c | 138.78$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.78 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Hawks | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Hawks | 51c | 128$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Heat | 49c | 118$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.18 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Hawks | 34c | 107.89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Hawks | 49c | 101.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Heat | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Heat | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Hawks | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Heat | 51c | 91.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.47 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Heat | 50c | 87.76$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.46 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c2…cf66backed Heat | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Heat | 50c | 78.56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.07 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Heat | 49c | 59.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 232 | 49.6%115 W · 117 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Heat | 49c | 56.38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Hawks | 36c | 54.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Heat | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf71…9f1cbacked Heat | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Hawks | 51c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…eaafbacked Heat | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hawks | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Heat | 50c | 47.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 533 | 49.3%263 W · 270 L | -28.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Hawks | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Heat | 50c | 40.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f57…c3acbacked Heat | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Heat | 72c | 39.37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Hawks | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 405 | 41%166 W · 239 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e29…31c9backed Hawks | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed Hawks | 52c | 39.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Heat | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fa…222bbacked Hawks | 50c | 37.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Heat (-3.5)this page
- Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Davion Mitchell: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Davion Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Heat vs. HawksHeat won
- Heat vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 125.5Under won
- Heat vs. Hawks: O/U 242.5Under won
- Heat vs. Hawks: O/U 243.5Under won
- Heat vs. Hawks: O/U 244.5Under won
- Heat vs. Hawks: O/U 245.5Under won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Norman Powell: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Norman Powell: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Spread: Heat (-2.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-4.5)Heat won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.