NBA · resolved market

Heat vs. Hawks: O/U 243.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4935e27fbd72add67fbff36021ab4695b6dc51ac47bd9a109fb7fe38f00c24d5

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Feb 21, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $281,276
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $282,871

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $281,276 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under	47c	128,162$60,545 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67,617.54	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over	52c	78,165$40,616 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40,616.45	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Under	49c	51,855$25,537 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,318.08	197	54.3%107 W · 90 L	+12.3wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Over	53c	51,805$27,457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,456.89	1,204	55.3%666 W · 538 L	+52.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over	53c	34,705$18,393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,393.4	382	53.4%204 W · 178 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Over	50c	14,980$7,490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,490	518	44.4%230 W · 288 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	48c	10,901$5,258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,642.98	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Over	53c	8,500$4,505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,505	415	53.3%221 W · 194 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over	51c	8,000$4,110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,109.96	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	52c	6,941$3,584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,583.75	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under	48c	6,200$2,976 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,224	584	49.7%290 W · 294 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under	49c	5,102$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,602.04	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Under	48c	3,087$1,482 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,605.05	151	47%71 W · 80 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over	54c	3,000$1,620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,620	691	49.1%339 W · 352 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over	53c	2,794$1,480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,480.16	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Over	54c	2,000$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,080	1,085	63.6%690 W · 395 L	+86.7wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+13%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over	51c	1,633$833 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$832.83	646	51.7%334 W · 312 L	-14.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over	53c	1,500$795 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$794.96	409	47.7%195 W · 214 L	-13.0wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	48c	1,464$697 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$767.27	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Under	48c	1,215$583 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$631.8	583	47%274 W · 309 L	-12.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e73…b728backed Under	49c	1,020$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520.41	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	56cpaid	-17%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under	49c	900$441 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$459	617	40.7%251 W · 366 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	47c	832.32$388 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$444.19	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	48c	774.04$372 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$402.5	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under	47c	700$328 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$372	841	50.3%423 W · 418 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under	48c	673$323 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$349.96	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Over	52c	673$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.96	210	45.2%95 W · 115 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0d1e…effebacked Over	54c	660$356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$356.4	82	52.4%43 W · 39 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under	47c	499.99$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$264.99	456	47.1%215 W · 241 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over	51c	499.98$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.99	493	45.2%223 W · 270 L	-14.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under	48c	415.77$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215.4	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over	51c	408.93$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.55	657	50.1%329 W · 328 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2d3…9af1backed Over	52c	364$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.48	126	42.1%53 W · 73 L	-11.6wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Under	51c	343.9$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.07	135	47.4%64 W · 71 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under	49c	300$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153	910	50.9%463 W · 447 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under	47c	300$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Over	53c	283.02$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	280	46.8%131 W · 149 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	47c	268.26$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.41	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under	48c	232$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.64	544	43%234 W · 310 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Over	51c	219.92$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.06	194	34.5%67 W · 127 L	-10.2wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-20%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9fa…222bbacked Under	48c	208.15$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.15	182	50%91 W · 91 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	48c	205.77$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.77	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9524…e904backed Under	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under	48c	201.82$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over	52c	200$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	324	50.3%163 W · 161 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Under	46c	200$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108	417	42%175 W · 242 L	-16.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under	46c	199.52$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.74	1,425	47.7%680 W · 745 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over	52c	198.11$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.02	558	46.8%261 W · 297 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d34…05d8backed Over	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-5.3wins	-0.21per pick	53cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under	49c	191.97$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.9	220	48.6%107 W · 113 L	-6.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Over	52c	170$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.4	591	44.5%263 W · 328 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…2e45backed Under	47c	168.66$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.66	84	56%47 W · 37 L	+5.9wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xffba…673fbacked Over	53c	168.66$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.39	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-32%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over	51c	166.77$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.05	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under	52c	164.59$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Under	48c	159.32$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.42	488	52%254 W · 234 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over	53c	149.99$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.49	806	53.6%432 W · 374 L	+16.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Over	53c	132.96$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	212	59.9%127 W · 85 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Under	48c	132.09$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.01	628	44.9%282 W · 346 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under	48c	127.96$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.37	927	50.6%469 W · 458 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Under	49c	124.49$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.49	824	40.4%333 W · 491 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under	48c	118.67$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.22	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	48c	113.42$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.68	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Under	52c	105.77$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.77	364	53%193 W · 171 L	-17.0wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51c2…2b13backed Under	48c	104.17$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.17	43	44.2%19 W · 24 L	-2.6wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-22%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd286…4c1bbacked Under	48c	104.17$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.17	71	52.1%37 W · 34 L	+3.6wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87ae…811bbacked Under	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	175	45.7%80 W · 95 L	-9.2wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	529	51.2%271 W · 258 L	+13.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Over	54c	100$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	952	60.2%573 W · 379 L	+37.0wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Under	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	555	33.5%186 W · 369 L	-15.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Over	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	323	46.4%150 W · 173 L	-8.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under	48c	84.07$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.12	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9973…cc32backed Under	49c	81.63$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.63	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b06…10a7backed Under	49c	81.63$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.63	85	58.8%50 W · 35 L	+8.1wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+17%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under	56c	79.82$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.82	760	54.6%415 W · 345 L	+56.7wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+33.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Under	48c	77$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.04	282	43.3%122 W · 160 L	-13.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc208…e74fbacked Over	54c	67.1$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.23	72	51.4%37 W · 35 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6b1…a7b6backed Under	48c	64.58$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.58	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Under	48c	62$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.24	762	50.4%384 W · 378 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd7e7…fef1backed Over	53c	61.86$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.84	90	46.7%42 W · 48 L	+5.6wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Over	53c	56.6$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	293	51.9%152 W · 141 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x50e3…c0bbbacked Under	48c	54.03$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.03	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Under	49c	52.08$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.56	219	48.9%107 W · 112 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae9a…7ceabacked Over	54c	51.98$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.07	78	47.4%37 W · 41 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23f8…810dbacked Under	49c	51.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.02	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	58cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa30…c7abbacked Under	49c	51.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.02	114	48.2%55 W · 59 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Over	52c	50.92$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.48	179	60.9%109 W · 70 L	+17.7wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xefef…cd06backed Over	49c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-4.6wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under	48c	49$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.48	1,018	51.6%525 W · 493 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb53e…1aa3backed Under	47c	42.33$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.33	69	39.1%27 W · 42 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under	52c	41.66$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x95be…9968backed Under	46c	41.3$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.3	335	52.8%177 W · 158 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb0a0…d84fbacked Over	54c	40.57$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.74	58	51.7%30 W · 28 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabdd…2d96backed Over	53c	40$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.2	602	67.3%405 W · 197 L	+46.2wins	+0.08per pick	60cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdfc0…3acebacked Over	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	198	48.5%96 W · 102 L	-8.9wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a30…37a6backed Under	52c	38.46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.46	78	55.1%43 W · 35 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Under	49c	35$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.85	109	40.4%44 W · 65 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf095…111bbacked Under	49c	30.58$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.6	112	50.9%57 W · 55 L	+6.8wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x59d0…a871backed Under	49c	28.57$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.57	75	50.7%38 W · 37 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…1497backed Under	48c	28.43$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.78	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Heat vs. Hawks: O/U 243.5this page
Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
Davion Mitchell: Points O/U 8.5No won
Davion Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Heat vs. HawksHeat won
Heat vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 125.5Under won
Heat vs. Hawks: O/U 242.5Under won
Heat vs. Hawks: O/U 244.5Under won
Heat vs. Hawks: O/U 245.5Under won
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 13.5No won
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 22.5No won
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Norman Powell: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Norman Powell: Points O/U 21.5No won
Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
Spread: Heat (-2.5)Heat won
Spread: Heat (-3.5)Heat won
Spread: Heat (-4.5)Heat won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Heat vs. Hawks: O/U 243.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event