TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,460
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,625

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,460 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x339a…1eaebacked No51c4,664$2,381 inLost-$2,381.361,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No49c4,635$2,271 inLost-$2,271.2365750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Yes51c4,000$2,040 inWon+$1,96019747.7%94 W · 103 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Yes49c1,917$932 inWon+$9855,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf836…f39cbacked No60c567.88$339 inLost-$339.2527059.6%161 W · 109 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39cb…46e8backed Yes37c413.77$153 inWon+$261.253246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+32%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked No32c390$125 inLost-$124.81,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed No49c323.4$158 inLost-$158.4783158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed No58c299.99$175 inLost-$17545657%260 W · 196 L+44.6wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed No62c263.99$164 inLost-$163.6716361.3%100 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0373…6d6bbacked Yes51c200$102 inWon+$986750.7%34 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bb…a2cdbacked Yes44c181.81$80 inWon+$101.811241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabdd…2d96backed No52c130$68 inLost-$67.760267.3%405 W · 197 L+46.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Yes42c92$38 inWon+$53.6432352.6%170 W · 153 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1877…78d7backed No32c78.13$25 inLost-$255242.3%22 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes37c68$25 inWon+$42.564,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa95d…6a82backed No32c67.68$22 inLost-$21.662931%9 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82d0…60a1backed No32c39$12 inLost-$12.4814643.8%64 W · 82 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked No55c36.12$20 inLost-$19.9992058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked No51c36$18 inLost-$18.3688057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5430…c1d3backed No49c36$18 inLost-$17.6422774.4%169 W · 58 L+22.5wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+15.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe0e5…9b4cbacked Yes51c27.02$14 inWon+$13.24616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-67.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8aa9…3fc6backed No59c16.95$10 inLost-$10450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.