TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Sevilla FC vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,371
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,855

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,371 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Under61c11,439$6,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,491.3390843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over40c5,999$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.6330446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under60c5,675$3,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,294.144,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfad…b7a7backed Over16c3,156$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under72c3,117$2,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.843,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Over40c3,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.998243.9%36 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under53c2,310$1,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.391,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under60c1,732$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.892,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under60c1,670$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6684334.9%15 W · 28 L-7.0wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-34%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under21c1,593$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,255.3122859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over40c1,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6006238.7%24 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over37c1,500$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55538729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x389b…8d69backed Under41c1,402$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.48757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over35c1,375$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.253342.4%14 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbc2d…48f8backed Over39c1,265$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over40c1,100$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4405058%29 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over50c1,010$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.543043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under77c907.41$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.591,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over40c900$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36064046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8374…6768backed Over45c882.27$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.02714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick37cpaid-70.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Over39c775.58$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-49.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Over40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under60c563$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.220449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under60c495.16$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.0631745.7%145 W · 172 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Under3c452.24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.689736.1%35 W · 62 L+14.3wins+0.15per pick21cpaid+150%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed Under6c386.55$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.726412.5%8 W · 56 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+50.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over52c362.5$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18813070.8%92 W · 38 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under60c332$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.823250.4%117 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd92a…8936backed Under5c306.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2912321.7%5 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick10cpaid+212.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4de1…22a0backed Under9c300$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2732213.6%3 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick9cpaid+83.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12e8…2cecbacked Under9c300$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2732213.6%3 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick9cpaid+83.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5b8…99f3backed Under9c300$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2731315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick9cpaid+113.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x941f…acfabacked Over20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-48.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over25c220$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5516745.5%76 W · 91 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012650.8%64 W · 62 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over38c200.1$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.048732.2%28 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8022746.7%106 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Over37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7410233.3%34 W · 68 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under58c198.79$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.881,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Under62c188.1$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.489347.3%44 W · 49 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd35…17debacked Over58c172.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.333764.9%24 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over37c150.65$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7414850.7%75 W · 73 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015451.3%79 W · 75 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507855.1%43 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over45c132.49$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608236.6%30 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over39c103.59$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4019344.6%86 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over27c102.07$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5634050%170 W · 170 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under50c102$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5183939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xafb7…eb35backed Over40c100.05$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4162744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2438748.1%186 W · 201 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc6c…2bf7backed Over44c96.9$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.61747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under75c96.81$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.217044.1%75 W · 95 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x92d6…0550backed Under56c95$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.81136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-43.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under49c93.36$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2157252.1%298 W · 274 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cf1…23c6backed Over41c91.25$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.412161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeecc…6930backed Over31c90.32$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283259.4%19 W · 13 L+5.5wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+23.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over37c80$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.61,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over36c79$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8179133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9720…798abacked Over19c79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.37977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+46.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd913…2cf7backed Under66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0c…b90abacked Over39c74.36$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe350…61f0backed Under60c74$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.61040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under56c71.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0328446.5%132 W · 152 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf343…fba6backed Over42c70.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over43c70$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.28958.4%52 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over35c69.13$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.29545.3%43 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d06…3b3ebacked Under60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.67650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…fb0bbacked Over35c61.93$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e64…e5adbacked Under61c59$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3aa…b3a1backed Under61c57.38$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.38728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-51.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50b7…9802backed Over53c56.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4e9…8c3ebacked Over34c55.85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9950%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eaf…bb0cbacked Over27c54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.592236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305967.8%40 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a1c…6b3fbacked Under61c50.79$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20dc…f74cbacked Over28c50.36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143839.5%15 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010244.1%45 W · 57 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2032145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over38c48.39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3913052.3%68 W · 62 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf60b…ff5fbacked Under62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.393148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8b1…fc8abacked Over40c47.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over28c44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3219544.1%86 W · 109 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb1e2…66e2backed Over51c43.29$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.081752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over58c43.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2524757.5%142 W · 105 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under79c40.75$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5261657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x66b2…5165backed Over31c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.21741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over37c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.889050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Under59c39.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3914044.3%62 W · 78 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa3…ea8dbacked Over38c39.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over40c39$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.67749.4%38 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under31c38.39$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3214259.9%85 W · 57 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Under43c38$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.810143.6%44 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bca…24aebacked Over54c33.17$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under58c32.89$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8528847.6%137 W · 151 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7911354.9%62 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under61c32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.561,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75fd…9a86backed Over37c29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.732065%13 W · 7 L+5.0wins+0.25per pick40cpaid+49.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1891…e36cbacked Under60c27.78$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee40…ede2backed Under60c26.95$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.78728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.28per pick56cpaid-54.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.