La Liga · resolved market
Sevilla FC vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37e68f63135763f33ff67b426b68d28cd1a9a747356720daaa9a05a30155d656
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,002
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,002 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 12,598$5,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,180.88 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 35c | 5,813$2,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,023.43 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 54c | 5,111$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,351.06 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed Over | 67c | 4,511$3,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.49 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 67c | 3,600$2,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.99 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 65c | 2,692$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.2 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 33c | 2,305$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.65 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 64c | 2,149$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.53 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…9661backed Over | 65c | 1,980$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.17 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2493…d529backed Over | 59c | 1,691$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 33c | 1,661$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.29 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked Over | 43c | 999.7$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.83 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 65c | 963.8$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.33 | 128 | 75%96 W · 32 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 38c | 601.54$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.28 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…17debacked Over | 72c | 555.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.06 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 49c | 515$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.73 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x717f…1501backed Over | 55c | 423.64$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 55c | 365.78$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.79 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked Under | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 275.2$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.54 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b9…8714backed Over | 57c | 265.21$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.27 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 10c | 185.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 33c | 117$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 61c | 113.84$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8819…4cf5backed Under | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Over | 68c | 110.29$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…e801backed Over | 60c | 110$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec3a…58b0backed Over | 65c | 107.2$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked Under | 37c | 84.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 64c | 78.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7700…2d07backed Under | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ce…5310backed Under | 30c | 73.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 65c | 66.05$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 35c | 58.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 29c | 55.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 51c | 49.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…a1cdbacked Over | 60c | 48.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 34c | 47.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d1…5557backed Under | 51c | 38.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…953bbacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabee…4f3fbacked Under | 41c | 35.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 65c | 30.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2823…eb3dbacked Over | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +4.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Over | 67c | 29.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +7.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 34c | 29.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 276 | 53.6%148 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 90 | 71.1%64 W · 26 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x45a6…2d17backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 64c | 25.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 44c | 24.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…65babacked Over | 48c | 23.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 60c | 22.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Over | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1557…04afbacked Over | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1339…f327backed Over | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sevilla FC vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5this page
- Sevilla FC vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sevilla FC vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sevilla FC vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sevilla FC vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)Deportivo Alavés won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-2.5)Deportivo Alavés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.