Bundesliga · resolved market
FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x752f3a3e6a24647f288a4ae5807fcd0362db3da9aa0890d2fb873814ec5b9634
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $185,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $186,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 57c | 119,535$68,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,105.72 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 41,612$18,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,607.1 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 29,989$16,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,985.86 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb328…4df1backed Under | 43c | 22,000$9,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,540 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Under | 43c | 16,432$7,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,375.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 54c | 10,000$5,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,409.78 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 43c | 8,719$3,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,969.6 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 43c | 8,030$3,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,577.33 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 43c | 6,428$2,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,650.45 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6be7…8131backed Over | 0c | 6,158$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Over | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 56c | 2,625$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…71eebacked Over | 31c | 2,499$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.69 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 44c | 2,300$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.99 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Over | 53c | 2,073$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 56c | 1,977$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.19 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 43c | 1,912$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.9 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 44c | 1,820$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.16 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 45c | 1,786$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.06 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 15c | 1,667$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 43c | 1,628$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.96 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 1,286$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.72 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Under | 43c | 1,160$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 38cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 56c | 900$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…142abacked Over | 36c | 835.16$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 23c | 812$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.14 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d0…1d70backed Over | 56c | 639.26$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 56c | 582.14$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 56c | 482.14$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 56c | 349.6$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.78 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 10c | 299.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7e…cbbdbacked Over | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 47c | 201.95$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.58 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 63c | 196.28$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.62 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…73a1backed Over | 57c | 192.56$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 43c | 191$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.87 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2303…b9a7backed Under | 45c | 186.2$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 45c | 171.94$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 43c | 152.37$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.85 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked Over | 57c | 123$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.11 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 43c | 115$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.55 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 43c | 112$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Over | 36c | 110.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Over | 57c | 105.35$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…a45bbacked Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1842…b628backed Under | 78c | 97.04$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 75cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 44c | 90.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.86 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 43c | 90$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 43c | 90$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…6255backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d7…0ed9backed Over | 57c | 86.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 69.2%83 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Under | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 43c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 43c | 74.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Under | 44c | 70$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 44c | 70$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d3…eb28backed Over | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 45c | 67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 44c | 60.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.94 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 138 | 59.4%82 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 126 | 57.9%73 W · 53 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 39c | 55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…071abacked Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…05e1backed Over | 56c | 51.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f26…14f0backed Over | 56c | 51.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e7…0365backed Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -56%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Under | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4984…7aaabacked Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Under | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 45c | 48.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfad3…0a3abacked Over | 57c | 48.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 56c | 48.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 147 | 58.5%86 W · 61 L | +15.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Under | 45c | 46.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Over | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Under | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.