Bundesliga · resolved market
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe474178da147a685de9f6f5836b511042f19a3f2b0d25afb59c2509c673dc055
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $330,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $348,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $330,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 275 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Over | 51c | 89,960$45,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,258.05 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked Under | 49c | 71,175$34,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,875.56 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…73d6backed Under | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd12c…f2d4backed Under | 49c | 39,357$19,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,282.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Over | 51c | 19,600$9,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,603.95 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 9,853$4,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,958.14 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 51c | 9,796$4,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Over | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,615.38 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Over | 51c | 8,675$4,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,250.87 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 51c | 7,450$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,650.62 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over | 48c | 7,420$3,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,886.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 51c | 6,600$3,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,234 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0134…12d2backed Over | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 5,569$2,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,708.65 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 56c | 4,592$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.86 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 49c | 4,200$2,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,057.99 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 4,183$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.94 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 3,603$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803.68 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over | 51c | 3,242$1,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,588.78 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.99 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed Under | 2c | 3,024$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.01 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 45c | 2,762$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.1 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf425…be71backed Over | 42c | 2,375$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.5 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad5c…664abacked Over | 51c | 2,118$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.86 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 49c | 2,102$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.95 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Under | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…fdfebacked Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 49c | 1,976$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.71 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe03d…7208backed Over | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 49c | 1,774$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.26 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 51c | 1,582$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.18 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…b9f0backed Over | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.87 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Over | 51c | 1,476$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.47 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…e601backed Under | 66c | 1,282$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Under | 36c | 1,263$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x408c…9a1dbacked Over | 53c | 1,071$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.09 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 51c | 1,014$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.48 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…99f3backed Under | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7efb…add5backed Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 49c | 888$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.12 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 52c | 853.85$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.85 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 40c | 786.18$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.18 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Under | 48c | 778.94$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.89 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a53…505abacked Under | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Under | 48c | 640$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.2 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…3b61backed Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 48c | 574.96$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.58 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 51c | 506.33$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.1 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…8793backed Over | 68c | 484.62$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…0beebacked Over | 46c | 436.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 43c | 431.5$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.48 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over | 51c | 400.14$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.07 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf1…8277backed Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +130.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Over | 52c | 398.75$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.05 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x126b…298fbacked Over | 52c | 394.32$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 46c | 391.57$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.6 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 40c | 390.2$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.11 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 51c | 378.69$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.56 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 51c | 350.83$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.91 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aff…5f17backed Under | 73c | 344.8$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafb2…2825backed Under | 56c | 344.38$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Over | 51c | 339.22$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9184…6048backed Over | 51c | 320.11$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.62 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…0d72backed Under | 46c | 318.74$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.34 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…2a7ebacked Over | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…8b97backed Over | 39c | 308.47$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.25 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf034…d5a8backed Under | 63c | 305.51$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 46c | 299.94$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.63 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -15.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 53c | 289.12$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.23 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 50c | 270$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee40…ede2backed Over | 50c | 269.72$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.86 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Over | 53c | 251.67$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.43 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 50c | 230$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88ad…9e5fbacked Under | 45c | 220.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +15.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…05dfbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc42…b12cbacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +91%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5this page
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5Over won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5Over won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.