Bundesliga · resolved market
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19ddb1b24a117ea48fe9bbd9537dbdd736b594cf808df8c118a15530ff662c9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,063
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 21c | 17,427$3,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,700.11 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed Under | 79c | 10,000$7,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,900 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Under | 65c | 3,271$2,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,122.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 43c | 2,320$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.39 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf425…be71backed Over | 23c | 2,304$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.7 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Under | 70c | 1,178$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -62%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…8e3bbacked Under | 70c | 1,178$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…b9f0backed Over | 43c | 1,170$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.28 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 27c | 894.31$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.01 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Under | 69c | 849.64$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.25 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 24c | 786.23$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.72 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…8793backed Under | 61c | 782.05$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.78 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…39fabacked Under | 73c | 767.25$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 31c | 715.32$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.57 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 26c | 610.37$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.29 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 76c | 606$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.92 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Under | 68c | 588.24$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…8b97backed Under | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 32c | 498.42$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.93 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…d343backed Over | 51c | 496.17$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.17 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 11c | 485$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 31c | 480.65$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.65 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 60c | 329.79$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.17 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Over | 39c | 313.15$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.15 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Over | 31c | 300$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 30c | 288.27$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.79 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 32c | 279.41$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 32c | 250$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +15.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Over | 17c | 240$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…d0fabacked Under | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…aa4bbacked Over | 18c | 191.01$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.69 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3422…cd99backed Under | 70c | 169.42$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 30c | 164.4$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.08 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43bc…d3ddbacked Under | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 31c | 154.84$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.84 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Over | 29c | 136.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa151…d8d0backed Under | 70c | 128.57$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Under | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…8936backed Under | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Under | 70c | 107.14$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Under | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 72cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf1…8277backed Over | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +130.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…f4b0backed Over | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +309.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a9…6afabacked Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed Under | 70c | 95.71$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…1477backed Under | 70c | 94.33$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 69c | 92$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.46 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…3ed5backed Under | 78c | 89.74$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.0wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x043c…595fbacked Under | 70c | 87.73$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8d…58e3backed Under | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 30c | 84.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 31c | 83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 31c | 81.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…c8cebacked Under | 80c | 75.42$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 38c | 73.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.18 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fc…ad4bbacked Under | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 76cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…872abacked Under | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88d2…2421backed Under | 70c | 71.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 36c | 71.23$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ce…ea8dbacked Under | 70c | 70.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.46per pick | 63cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Over | 17c | 70$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.1 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 32c | 69.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.27 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Over | 29c | 65.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.33 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +6.3wins | +0.33per pick | 46cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 147 | 58.5%86 W · 61 L | +15.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Under | 70c | 64.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 30c | 54.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 34c | 53.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Over | 21c | 49.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8804…a3a7backed Over | 43c | 46.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +169.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 33c | 46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 44c | 46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…b9c5backed Under | 70c | 45.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…1809backed Over | 27c | 41.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Over | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 32c | 38.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce7…81a3backed Under | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x281a…7c48backed Under | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2501…d795backed Under | 70c | 32.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…d230backed Under | 61c | 31.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Under | 69c | 29.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 63c | 25.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 68c | 25.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 63c | 23.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x010b…b668backed Under | 72c | 21.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed Under | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 56c | 21.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x101a…a4d2backed Under | 78c | 18.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb713…f288backed Under | 70c | 17.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed Under | 78c | 16.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5this page
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5Over won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5Over won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.