NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Wizards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b665e7c7398551cadd404c3eb0e0f2ca270b6faad7674b4225f6eb541598e26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Pacers, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,808,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,887,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,808,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,598 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Pacers | 48c | 115,038$54,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,668.06 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Wizards | 44c | 96,993$42,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,356.66 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Wizards | 51c | 67,402$34,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,877.2 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Wizards | 38c | 53,312$20,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,831.76 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Wizards | 51c | 49,737$25,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,370.89 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Pacers | 48c | 40,000$19,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,200 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Wizards | 52c | 40,000$20,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,331 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Wizards | 52c | 37,276$19,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,892.66 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Pacers | 75c | 37,000$27,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,674.48 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Wizards | 52c | 36,274$18,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,524.55 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Pacers | 48c | 35,991$17,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,275.68 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Pacers | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,400 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pacers | 50c | 28,863$14,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,429.54 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pacers | 49c | 24,248$11,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,806.8 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Wizards | 51c | 22,949$11,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,245.24 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pacers | 24c | 22,767$5,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,389.21 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…e270backed Wizards | 52c | 21,389$11,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,266.78 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…099dbacked Wizards | 50c | 21,154$10,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,591.01 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards | 37c | 20,665$7,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,054.8 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Pacers | 48c | 20,119$9,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,657.28 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Pacers | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,599.99 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Wizards | 53c | 19,114$10,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000.24 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Wizards | 53c | 18,896$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,896.27 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Wizards | 51c | 16,826$8,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,316.06 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Pacers | 48c | 16,564$7,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,950.51 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Pacers | 48c | 15,520$7,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,449.51 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Pacers | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,049.99 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed Pacers | 60c | 14,892$8,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,872 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Pacers | 33c | 14,083$4,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,687.09 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Wizards | 44c | 13,775$6,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,750.47 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09e0…e546backed Wizards | 25c | 13,500$3,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,124.96 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Pacers | 49c | 13,000$6,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,330 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Pacers | 52c | 12,360$6,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,486.21 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pacers | 53c | 11,583$6,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,107.01 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 59c | 10,523$6,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,313.06 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Wizards | 53c | 10,146$5,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,768.43 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Pacers | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…d373backed Wizards | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Pacers | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Pacers | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.99 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Pacers | 50c | 10,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,949.92 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Wizards | 51c | 9,837$5,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,780.19 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…2a22backed Wizards | 48c | 9,534$4,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,965.18 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pacers | 49c | 9,340$4,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,539.54 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c5…f0ecbacked Pacers | 48c | 8,333$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x307f…2c81backed Wizards | 53c | 8,330$4,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,915.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d60…649fbacked Wizards | 53c | 8,116$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,815.82 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pacers | 49c | 8,042$3,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,934.72 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Wizards | 47c | 8,029$3,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,240.5 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pacers | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Pacers | 25c | 7,908$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.01 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…c163backed Pacers | 35c | 7,900$2,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,736.33 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e41…a1c1backed Pacers | 48c | 7,813$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Pacers | 53c | 7,777$4,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,121.78 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Wizards | 52c | 7,000$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Pacers | 52c | 6,736$3,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,528.2 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…1079backed Wizards | 58c | 6,531$3,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,729.52 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02b6…fbbbbacked Wizards | 53c | 6,453$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,032.83 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4180…cf9cbacked Wizards | 53c | 6,128$3,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880.3 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Pacers | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64de…179fbacked Pacers | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f6…13f0backed Wizards | 51c | 5,990$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,935.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…0c61backed Pacers | 0c | 5,667$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Wizards | 53c | 5,660$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.38 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pacers | 49c | 5,624$2,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,756.85 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Pacers | 64c | 5,423$3,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,486.18 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd915…1d54backed Wizards | 47c | 5,400$2,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,862 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…ddf7backed Pacers | 53c | 5,400$2,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,862 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Wizards | 52c | 5,350$2,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,567.99 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b98…91d9backed Wizards | 47c | 5,319$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87de…75dbbacked Pacers | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61df…97ffbacked Pacers | 53c | 5,094$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Wizards | 42c | 5,037$2,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,920.81 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Pacers | 58c | 5,012$2,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,906.07 | 221 | 40.3%89 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Wizards | 53c | 5,005$2,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,352.35 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Pacers | 73c | 5,001$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,650.37 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8000…3a21backed Pacers | 50c | 5,000$2,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,511.47 | 259 | 47.5%123 W · 136 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdab4…a27abacked Pacers | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.99 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Wizards | 43c | 4,937$2,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,792.91 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26fe…4cc3backed Pacers | 53c | 4,906$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed Pacers | 48c | 4,700$2,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,256 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x336f…3ae1backed Pacers | 53c | 4,700$2,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,490.98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe387…cb84backed Wizards | 47c | 4,681$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ba…f893backed Pacers | 52c | 4,616$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400.21 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Wizards | 52c | 4,600$2,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,208 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Pacers | 64c | 4,524$2,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,884.91 | 385 | 40.3%155 W · 230 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Pacers | 53c | 4,474$2,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,371.22 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Pacers | 65c | 4,426$2,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,864.77 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Wizards | 48c | 4,414$2,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295.26 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…7fa0backed Pacers | 54c | 4,270$2,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,305.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Wizards | 47c | 4,111$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,178.79 | 272 | 47.1%128 W · 144 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Pacers | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c7…2b48backed Wizards | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Pacers | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 386 | 49.7%192 W · 194 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Pacers | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf9…5b10backed Pacers | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa68c…1aecbacked Pacers | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Wizards | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa8…242dbacked Wizards | 46c | 3,671$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,982.34 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4279…7bf8backed Pacers | 54c | 3,666$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.64 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Wizardsthis page
- Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Jarace Walker: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jay Huff: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Pacers vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Wizards: O/U 230.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Wizards: O/U 235.5Over won
- Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Spread: Pacers (-1.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pacers (-2.5)Wizards won
- Tre Johnson: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Tre Johnson: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.