NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22611b67d1a2aead754cc941a14c453f1d4956c8f20135a6f79d897b3885e3ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,093
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Over | 47c | 9,329$4,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,944.37 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 8,361$4,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,405.08 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Over | 49c | 3,529$1,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.83 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Over | 47c | 2,900$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 51c | 2,455$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.95 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Under | 53c | 1,792$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.5 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 49c | 1,460$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.66 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 51c | 688$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.88 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 46c | 544.32$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.93 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 525.28$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.79 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53aa…07fcbacked Over | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 54c | 398.75$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.32 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Over | 44c | 370$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.03 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Under | 57c | 350$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 34c | 320$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.2 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 45c | 297.37$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.41 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 51c | 200$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Under | 57c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 49c | 140.82$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 54c | 135.36$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.09 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 133.87$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 77c | 130$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc208…e74fbacked Under | 51c | 127.12$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.83 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 56c | 122.33$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.36 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 54c | 102.29$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 46c | 101.39$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 255 | 59.2%151 W · 104 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 57c | 96$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.43 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 56c | 89.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 41c | 86.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ad…34debacked Under | 37c | 82.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Over | 50c | 79.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 178 | 44.4%79 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 56c | 71.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 49c | 67.91$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 57.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf8…6b87backed Over | 48c | 54.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +4.5wins | +0.41per pick | 50cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 43c | 51.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Under | 53c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 55c | 47.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa30…c7abbacked Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 45c | 42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…6324backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 370 | 37.3%138 W · 232 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…2aabbacked Under | 57c | 38.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 49c | 36.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 57c | 33.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over | 50c | 29.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Over | 43c | 29.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9636…e617backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…4e91backed Over | 51c | 24.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Under | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 55c | 21.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 602 | 67.3%405 W · 197 L | +46.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b05…189ebacked Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 51c | 19.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…de71backed Over | 57c | 18.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…106cbacked Under | 63c | 18.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Over | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5this page
- Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Jarace Walker: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jay Huff: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Pacers vs. WizardsWizards won
- Pacers vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Wizards: O/U 230.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Wizards: O/U 235.5Over won
- Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Spread: Pacers (-1.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pacers (-2.5)Wizards won
- Tre Johnson: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Tre Johnson: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.