NHL · resolved market
Predators vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fc28dde154ccc6e869245cebc92a1372d2cd25866feccdd01923d8b481e75a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Predators, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,400,446
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,533,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,400,446 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 538 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Capitals | 61c | 699,890$425,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274,275.83 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Predators | 40c | 300,909$119,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119,754.35 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Capitals | 61c | 132,000$80,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,480 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Predators | 40c | 97,689$39,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,000.66 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Predators | 38c | 91,643$34,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,824.48 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Predators | 39c | 70,535$27,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,508.72 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Predators | 38c | 65,268$24,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,801.98 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Predators | 39c | 59,473$23,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,295.91 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb351…5fbfbacked Predators | 38c | 50,000$19,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,999.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Predators | 39c | 44,370$17,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,323.45 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Predators | 40c | 27,350$10,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,911.5 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Capitals | 61c | 25,000$15,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,750 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Predators | 39c | 20,829$8,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,123.29 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Predators | 39c | 20,486$8,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,003.73 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294a…bbbabacked Predators | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Capitals | 60c | 17,506$10,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,973.24 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Predators | 38c | 17,351$6,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,593.36 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Predators | 39c | 17,000$6,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,580 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Capitals | 61c | 15,084$9,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,907.75 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Capitals | 61c | 13,878$8,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,412.23 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ea…bb01backed Predators | 40c | 13,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Predators | 38c | 11,573$4,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,420.84 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Predators | 37c | 10,027$3,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,710.11 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Predators | 39c | 10,005$3,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,901.95 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Predators | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Predators | 38c | 9,654$3,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,665.85 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Predators | 27c | 8,484$2,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,325.82 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce3…e6a0backed Capitals | 62c | 8,029$4,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,051.02 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Capitals | 60c | 8,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Predators | 38c | 8,000$3,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,069.99 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Capitals | 62c | 7,587$4,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,883.06 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Predators | 39c | 7,336$2,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,895.27 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Predators | 38c | 7,000$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,660 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb84a…055dbacked Capitals | 63c | 6,775$4,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,506.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Predators | 38c | 6,445$2,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.01 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Capitals | 61c | 5,955$3,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.68 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Capitals | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Predators | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Predators | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.99 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Capitals | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.98 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Predators | 39c | 4,840$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893.28 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Capitals | 62c | 4,839$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.71 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Capitals | 70c | 4,718$3,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.65 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +9.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Predators | 39c | 4,507$1,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,757.79 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Predators | 0c | 4,350$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Capitals | 80c | 4,212$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.77 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc364…c413backed Capitals | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f86…e539backed Predators | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Capitals | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Predators | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.99 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Predators | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.99 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Predators | 40c | 3,750$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…c844backed Capitals | 61c | 3,284$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.83 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…b22bbacked Capitals | 61c | 3,238$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.7 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Capitals | 61c | 3,091$1,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Predators | 17c | 3,037$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.66 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Predators | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.96 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Capitals | 60c | 2,999$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.6 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Predators | 36c | 2,722$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.78 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Capitals | 62c | 2,652$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.68 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Capitals | 61c | 2,650$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.48 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…c4a0backed Capitals | 61c | 2,623$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.95 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Predators | 39c | 2,565$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.35 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2f…936abacked Capitals | 62c | 2,500$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Predators | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Capitals | 61c | 2,297$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.95 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Capitals | 61c | 2,235$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.06 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Capitals | 63c | 2,222$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.23 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Predators | 40c | 2,108$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.82 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Predators | 17c | 2,074$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.13 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Capitals | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Predators | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…ddc0backed Predators | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Capitals | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Capitals | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Predators | 6c | 1,959$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.32 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4f…f1e0backed Predators | 39c | 1,738$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.92 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Predators | 18c | 1,734$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.21 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0277…e121backed Capitals | 61c | 1,650$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9be…a7edbacked Predators | 40c | 1,650$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Capitals | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…461fbacked Capitals | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Capitals | 61c | 1,500$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.73 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Predators | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Predators | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa51…a910backed Predators | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…cbe2backed Capitals | 62c | 1,495$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.1 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Predators | 37c | 1,485$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.56 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Capitals | 71c | 1,412$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.74 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Capitals | 62c | 1,392$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.1 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Predators | 23c | 1,368$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.04 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Predators | 14c | 1,350$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7da…aad7backed Predators | 39c | 1,300$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Predators | 39c | 1,280$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.2 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9719…6ffabacked Predators | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Capitals | 62c | 1,227$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Predators | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.2 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Capitals | 61c | 1,180$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.33 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Predators | 39c | 1,155$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.45 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Capitals | 62c | 1,138$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.41 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Predators vs. Capitalsthis page
- Predators vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Capitals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.