TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Barletta: Felix Gill vs Martin Krumich

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Felix Gillof Felix Gill, Martin Krumich
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,083
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,266

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,083 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Martin Krumich37c6,935$2,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,561.048,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Martin Krumich39c6,482$2,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,536.666,59650.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L+259.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Felix Gill60c5,148$3,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,046.3511,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Felix Gill65c4,996$3,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,766.722,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Martin Krumich29c3,154$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.862,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Felix Gill60c3,017$1,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.373,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Martin Krumich28c1,870$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.052,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Felix Gill58c1,650$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.9829241.8%122 W · 170 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Martin Krumich37c1,027$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.882,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Felix Gill63c977.8$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.7957645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Felix Gill58c917.29$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.261,09350.4%551 W · 542 L-18.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Felix Gill67c878.27$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.8379855.9%446 W · 352 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Martin Krumich38c876.12$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.2727836.3%101 W · 177 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc55…a069backed Martin Krumich36c730.17$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.866550.8%33 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Felix Gill59c714.13$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.3295846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Felix Gill64c705.4$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.744,41151.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L+137.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Martin Krumich37c700$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25947639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Felix Gill58c512.62$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.787,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Martin Krumich26c496.2$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.532,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0c…218abacked Felix Gill60c494.79$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.9654138.1%206 W · 335 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Martin Krumich60c488$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.81,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Martin Krumich39c481.4$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.791,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Martin Krumich23c447.78$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.472,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Felix Gill45c423.88$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.431,01846.8%476 W · 542 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5444…bbdabacked Martin Krumich23c414.7$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3833149.2%163 W · 168 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Felix Gill72c409.67$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.7137071.9%266 W · 104 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Felix Gill62c331.27$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.8847552.4%249 W · 226 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1cc…1958backed Felix Gill61c329.96$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.565671.4%40 W · 16 L+8.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+21.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5dcf…87b8backed Felix Gill61c320.1$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.846842.6%29 W · 39 L-6.6wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Felix Gill65c318.49$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.5480153.1%425 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef5c…6ababacked Felix Gill61c304.72$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.819564.2%61 W · 34 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Felix Gill61c300$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1171,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Martin Krumich40c291.46$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.5211327.4%31 W · 82 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Martin Krumich17c266$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6424632.9%81 W · 165 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d29…c9eebacked Felix Gill61c263.24$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.587154.9%39 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Felix Gill62c260.48$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.0323758.6%139 W · 98 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e2f…9123backed Felix Gill48c255.32$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.7731656.3%178 W · 138 L+19.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Felix Gill61c252.06$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.259764.9%63 W · 34 L+8.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Martin Krumich39c231.22$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.773,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Martin Krumich39c227.65$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.736,74048.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L+58.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Felix Gill60c217.66$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.9334847.1%164 W · 184 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0676…f0f0backed Felix Gill62c200.12$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.0520552.7%108 W · 97 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Felix Gill65c195.81$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.421,84244.6%822 W · 1,020 L-15.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Felix Gill53c188.92$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.991,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Felix Gill76c188.78$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.912,11156.1%1,184 W · 927 L+42.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa78e…b6c9backed Felix Gill52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6511865.3%77 W · 41 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Martin Krumich51c173.32$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.474,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x46c1…2ba9backed Martin Krumich35c165.72$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.71421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-41.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b64…a351backed Felix Gill62c162.34$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6935268.2%240 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Martin Krumich39c160$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.486635.5%307 W · 559 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf97e…aa3fbacked Martin Krumich39c149.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.59757.7%56 W · 41 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+20.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Martin Krumich38c149.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe031…5c08backed Martin Krumich41c145.87$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0873549.8%366 W · 369 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c9…1cdabacked Martin Krumich27c143.04$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.62616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick21cpaid+108.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e9f…5403backed Felix Gill62c137.4$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.497350.7%37 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Martin Krumich17c137.05$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5569438%264 W · 430 L+21.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Martin Krumich43c136.1$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.931,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Felix Gill41c135.63$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.022,14454.2%1,162 W · 982 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Felix Gill62c131.23$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8719655.1%108 W · 88 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Martin Krumich17c128.78$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8145235.8%162 W · 290 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Martin Krumich23c124.41$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6128541.1%117 W · 168 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84bd…34d0backed Martin Krumich40c120.5$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.210829.6%32 W · 76 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Martin Krumich60c119.07$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.446,41154.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L+283.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Martin Krumich60c119.07$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4412831.3%40 W · 88 L-20.8wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-36.8%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Felix Gill58c108.25$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9640548.1%195 W · 210 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Martin Krumich39c106.25$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4422755.1%125 W · 102 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Martin Krumich14c106$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0648235.9%173 W · 309 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-8.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed Martin Krumich60c105.44$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4225756%144 W · 113 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb882…fcabbacked Felix Gill48c103.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.637349.3%36 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8c5…787cbacked Martin Krumich40c100.42$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.174938.8%19 W · 30 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-29.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Martin Krumich36c93.46$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.181,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51bb…a38bbacked Felix Gill70c87.89$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3722366.8%149 W · 74 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc47a…68e6backed Felix Gill59c85.84$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.197557.3%43 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Felix Gill58c83.83$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2196444.2%426 W · 538 L-3.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Martin Krumich37c83.74$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.981,41855%780 W · 638 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6353…cfcbbacked Martin Krumich25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x20b2…b2efbacked Felix Gill70c78.56$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.571338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5572…f01ebacked Martin Krumich40c75.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9257953.7%311 W · 268 L+19.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Martin Krumich39c69.67$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.064,64749.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L+159.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Felix Gill62c69.38$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3629958.5%175 W · 124 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Martin Krumich37c68.47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.336942%29 W · 40 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x280e…2779backed Martin Krumich45c65.28$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.594742.6%20 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8268…8534backed Martin Krumich45c64.47$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.014650%23 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Martin Krumich32c64.23$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.533,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Martin Krumich50c60.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.392,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Felix Gill59c60.73$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.91,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe75b…b4f5backed Felix Gill71c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.46563.1%41 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Felix Gill63c59$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8350259%296 W · 206 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Felix Gill67c58.88$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6486470%605 W · 259 L+43.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Felix Gill61c58.05$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5465246.3%302 W · 350 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6617…dfb9backed Martin Krumich42c56.96$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1724249.2%119 W · 123 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Felix Gill62c54.72$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7958253.3%310 W · 272 L-2.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66e8…c0e2backed Felix Gill62c54.51$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.512152.9%64 W · 57 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0484…4830backed Felix Gill60c53.39$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.355658.9%33 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Martin Krumich39c53.11$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.971,96546.4%911 W · 1,054 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Felix Gill49c53$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.036,68536.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L-96.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Felix Gill60c51.73$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6964358.8%378 W · 265 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8027…cf81backed Martin Krumich38c50.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2630853.6%165 W · 143 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00f7…4476backed Martin Krumich40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012447.6%59 W · 65 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dfe…d2d0backed Martin Krumich40c48.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.282934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.